Nacional vs Famalicao Prediction
FT
Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
AI call
Famalicao or draw
27%
30%
43%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Nacional vs Famalicao prediction: Sportiko gives Nacional a 27% chance of winning, Famalicao 43% and the draw 30%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 16:25.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 75%
- Over 1.5 Goals 71%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
7'
Georgios Koutsias
assist: Sorriso
⚽
0–2
13'
Sorriso
▮
28'
Víctor Rofino
Yellow Card
⚽
0–3
40'
Georgios Koutsias
assist: Mathias De Amorim
José Gomes
⇄ Williams Kokolo
45'
⇄
Min-kyu Song
⇄ Stavros Gavriel
45'
⇄
Ze Vitor
⇄ Ivanildo Fernandes
45'
⇄
HT 0–3
Matchoi Djaló
⇄ Pablo
61'
⇄
▮
63'
Pedro Bondo
Yellow Card
⚽
0–4
67'
Sorriso
assist: Mathias De Amorim
Williams Kokolo
Yellow Card
71'
▮
Daniel De la Cruz
⇄ Wesley Gasolina
72'
⇄
⇄
73'
Pedro Bondo
⇄ Leny Meyer
⇄
73'
Gil Dias
⇄ Pedro Santos
Matheus Dias
Yellow Card
74'
▮
▮
75'
Finn van Breemen
Yellow Card
Matheus Dias
Red Card
77'
▮
⇄
80'
Sorriso
⇄ Óscar Aranda
⇄
80'
Georgios Koutsias
⇄ Umar Abubakar
⇄
83'
Rodrigo Pinheiro
⇄ Gustavo García
FT 0–4
Nacional
Match Stats
Famalicao
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
7
6
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
5
7
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
487
Total passes
403
433
Passes accurate
345
9
Free Kicks
11
Nacional
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Chiheb Labidi M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 43 (41%) | 5 |
| 99 Pablo F | 6.4 | 29' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 2 |
| 20 Matchoi Djaló M | 6.4 | 61' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Allen Obando F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 12 Min-kyu Song M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 38 Ze Vitor D | 6.1 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 55 (50%) | 1 |
| 33 Francisco Gonçalves D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 77 (73%) | – |
| 52 Wesley Gasolina D | 6.0 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 14 Ivanildo Fernandes D | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 35 (31%) | 1 |
| 5 José Gomes D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 8 Miguel Baeza M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 35 (30%) | – |
| 6 Matheus Dias M | 5.8 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 67 (60%) | 1 |
| 11 Stavros Gavriel M | 5.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 2 Daniel De la Cruz D | 5.6 | 72' | – | – | – | 43 (42%) | 1 |
| 1 Renato Marin G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (16%) | – |
| 21 Williams Kokolo D | 5.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | – |
Famalicao
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Sorriso M | 9.8 | 80' | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 (14%) | 2 |
| 70 Georgios Koutsias F | 9.3 | 80' | 2 | – | 4 | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 14 Mathias De Amorim M | 8.6 | 90' | – | 2 | – | 35 (31%) | 4 |
| 4 Finn van Breemen D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (46%) | 1 |
| 2 Gustavo García D | 7.2 | 7' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | – |
| 5 Leny Meyer D | 7.1 | 17' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 17 Rodrigo Pinheiro D | 7.0 | 83' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | 2 |
| 15 Víctor Rofino D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (46%) | 1 |
| 8 Marcos Peña M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (43%) | 1 |
| 11 Óscar Aranda F | 6.8 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 21 Tamás Szűcs M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (35%) | 2 |
| 25 Lazar Carević G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | – |
| 23 Gil Dias M | 6.6 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 24 (18%) | 2 |
| 10 Pedro Santos F | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 12 (12%) | – |
| 9 Umar Abubakar F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 28 Pedro Bondo D | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 21 (14%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
Famalicao or draw
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Nacional
LLLLL
Famalicao
WDDDL
Last 3 meetings
Nacional · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Nacional faces Famalicao on September 20, 2026. Historically, Nacional has shown solid defensive statistics, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match this season, while Famalicao has struggled offensively, netting only 0.8 goals per game. Both teams will look to control midfield, but Nacional's higher possession rate of 55% may provide them with more opportunities to create chances. Set-pieces could be crucial, as Nacional has scored 30% of their goals from corners. This match will be pivotal for both teams as they aim to gain momentum in the league.
Live insights
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Famalicao leads 0-4. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.
68'
Goal
85% sure
Famalicao now leads 0-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 44.2%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-3. Famalicao leads. Win probability: 99.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.9%.
42'
Goal
85% sure
Famalicao now leads 0-3 with 99% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.2%.
16'
Goal
85% sure
Famalicao now leads 0-2 with 91% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 84.7%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
43%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Nacional
No scorer data.
Famalicao
G. Koutsias
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nacional vs Famalicao
1
Nacional Wins
0
Draws
2
Famalicao Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Famalicao | 1 - 0 | Nacional |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Nacional | 0 - 1 | Famalicao |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Nacional | 2 - 1 | Famalicao |
Nacional — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Famalicao | L | 0 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Alverca | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Sporting CP | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Estrela | L | 2 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitória SC | L | 1 - 0 |
Famalicao — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Nacional | W | 0 - 4 |
| 13 Sep | H Sporting CP | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Estrela | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H GIL Vicente | D | 0 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | A Santa Clara | L | 1 - 0 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Nacional
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Alexandre Santos
1
Bellucci
5
Gomes
38
Vitor
33
Gonçalves
2
Cruz
6
Dias
12
Min-Kyu
20
Djaló
15
Labidi
8
Baeza
9
Obando
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renato Bellucci | G |
| 2 | Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz | D |
| 33 | Francisco Gonçalves | D |
| 38 | Zé Vitor | D |
| 5 | José Gomes | D |
| 6 | Matheus Dias | M |
| 8 | Miguel Baeza | M |
| 15 | C. Labidi | M |
| 20 | Matchoi Djaló | M |
| 12 | Song Min-Kyu | M |
| 9 | A. Obando | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | D. Dongmo | M |
| 14 | Ivanildo Fernandes | D |
| 11 | S. Gavriel | M |
| 7 | M. Jensen | M |
| 13 | João Gonçalves | G |
| 21 | W. Kokolo | D |
| 23 | Mateus Iseppe | M |
| 50 | Kevyn | G |
| 99 | Pablo Ruan | F |
| 52 | Wesley Gasolina | D |
| 10 | Daniel Júnior | M |
Famalicao
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Carlos Carvalhal
25
Carević
28
Francisco
4
Breemen
15
Rofino
17
Pinheiro
21
Szücs
8
Peña
7
Sorriso
14
Amorim
23
Dias
70
Koutsias
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | L. Carević | G |
| 17 | Rodrigo Pinheiro | D |
| 15 | Víctor Rofino | D |
| 4 | F. van Breemen | D |
| 28 | Pedro Francisco | D |
| 8 | Marcos Peña | M |
| 21 | Tamás Szücs | M |
| 23 | Gil Dias | M |
| 14 | Mathias De Amorim | M |
| 7 | Sorriso | M |
| 70 | G. Koutsias | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | L. Realpe | D |
| 33 | P. Salas | F |
| 10 | Pedro Santos | F |
| 1 | I. Zlobin | G |
| 5 | L. Meyer | D |
| 19 | Paulo Moreira | M |
| 24 | Mathis Jangeal | M |
| 2 | Gustavo Garcia | D |
| 9 | U. Abubakar | F |
| 22 | Gabriel | G |
| 36 | M. Mattara | D |
| 11 | Óscar Aranda | F |