Vitória SC vs Moreirense Prediction
FT
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
AI call
Difficult Vitória SC win or draw
63%
24%
14%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Vitória SC vs Moreirense prediction: Sportiko gives Vitória SC a 63% chance of winning, Moreirense 14% and the draw 24%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 16:33.
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Timeline
Gustavo Silva
⇄ Miguel Nogueira
12'
⇄
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
52'
Tiago Andrade
assist: L. Vonić
Alan
⇄ Beni Mukendi
57'
⇄
Gonçalo Nogueira
⇄ Matija Mitrović
57'
⇄
Lohann Doucet
⇄ Samu
57'
⇄
⇄
63'
L. Vonić
⇄ Yan Maranhão
⇄
63'
Kiko Bondoso
⇄ Chipyoka Songa
⇄
66'
Tiago Andrade
⇄ Rodrigo Alonso
⇄
67'
Manuel Mendonça
⇄ Landerson
Oumar Camara
⇄ Victor Andersson
72'
⇄
⇄
89'
Nile John
⇄ Kevyn Monteiro
Toni Borevković
assist: Miguel Nogueira
90+6'
⚽
1–1
FT 1–1
Vitória SC
Match Stats
Moreirense
66%
Ball Possession
34%
14
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
3
7
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
0
10
Shots insidebox
4
4
Shots outsidebox
3
3
Corner Kicks
0
1
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
638
Total passes
330
552
Passes accurate
252
11
Free Kicks
10
Vitória SC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Toni Borevković D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 103 (93%) | 2 |
| 16 Beni Mukendi M | 7.4 | 33' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | – |
| 28 Thiago Balieiro D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 100 (96%) | 1 |
| 13 João Mendes D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (54%) | 1 |
| 23 Tony Strata D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (50%) | 5 |
| 44 Lohann Doucet M | 7.0 | 57' | – | – | – | 47 (45%) | – |
| 8 Gonçalo Nogueira M | 6.9 | 57' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | 1 |
| 20 Samu M | 6.8 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 17 Miguel Nogueira M | 6.7 | 78' | – | 1 | 3 | 33 (26%) | 1 |
| 7 Oumar Camara M | 6.6 | 72' | – | – | 3 | 15 (14%) | – |
| 10 Alan M | 6.5 | 57' | – | – | – | 36 (30%) | – |
| 6 Matija Mitrović M | 6.5 | 33' | – | – | 2 | 30 (23%) | 1 |
| 11 Gustavo Silva M | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 9 Arnel Jakupović F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (16%) | 7 |
| 48 Oliwier Zych G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | – |
| 19 Victor Andersson M | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | – |
Moreirense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Tiago Andrade M | 8.1 | 66' | 1 | – | 2 | 10 (4%) | 1 |
| 26 Maracás D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (45%) | 1 |
| 79 L. Vonić F | 7.3 | 63' | – | 1 | 1 | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 66 Gilberto Batista D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (43%) | 3 |
| 27 Kiko D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (27%) | 5 |
| 21 Rodrigo Alonso M | 6.9 | 24' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 99 Yan Maranhão F | 6.8 | 27' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | – |
| 23 Nile John M | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | 2 |
| 4 Kevyn Monteiro D | 6.6 | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 65 Guilherme Liberato M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 6 |
| 76 Dinis Pinto D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 2 |
| 10 Kiko Bondoso M | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 7 Manuel Mendonça M | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 10 (5%) | 4 |
| 28 Chipyoka Songa F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 13 André Ferreira G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (16%) | – |
| 11 Landerson F | 6.1 | 23' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Medium (63%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Vitória SC win or draw
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Vitória SC
DLDLW
Moreirense
DWLLW
Last 3 meetings
Vitória SC · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
Guimaraes will face Moreirense in a Primeira Liga clash on September 20, 2026. Guimaraes has demonstrated solid form at home, consistently performing well in front of their supporters, while Moreirense has struggled in away matches, often conceding more goals than they score. Statistical analysis shows Guimaraes has a superior attack and a stronger defensive record this season. Expect Guimaraes to leverage their offensive capabilities to control the game and potentially secure a crucial win against Moreirense.
Live insights
90'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Moreirense leads 0-1. Win probability: 76.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 23.3%.
53'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 0-1. Moreirense win: 56.7%. BTTS: 55.3%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 73.7%. Over 1.5 remaining: 41.6%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
14%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Vitória SC vs Moreirense
1
Vitória SC Wins
1
Draws
1
Moreirense Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Vitória SC | 1 - 0 | Moreirense |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Moreirense | 2 - 0 | Vitória SC |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Moreirense | 2 - 2 | Vitória SC |
Vitória SC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Moreirense | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Academico Viseu | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Casa Pia | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Aug | A SC Braga | L | 1 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | H Nacional | W | 1 - 0 |
Moreirense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Vitória SC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | H Maritimo | W | 3 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 4 |
| 04 Sep | A FC Porto | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Casa Pia | W | 0 - 1 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Moreirense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vasco Costa
13
Ferreira
27
Kiko
26
Maracás
66
Batista
76
Pinto
65
Liberato
23
John
19
Andrade
7
Mendonça
10
Bondoso
79
Vonić
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | André Ferreira | G |
| 76 | Dinis Pinto | D |
| 66 | Gilberto Batista | D |
| 26 | Maracás | D |
| 27 | Kiko | D |
| 23 | N. John | M |
| 65 | Guilherme Liberato | M |
| 10 | Kiko Bondoso | M |
| 7 | Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça | M |
| 19 | Tiago Andrade | M |
| 79 | L. Vonić | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | A. Duville-Parsemain | F |
| 99 | Maranhão | F |
| 8 | M. Stjepanović | M |
| 28 | Chipyoka Songa | F |
| 2 | Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos | D |
| 21 | Rodri Alonso | M |
| 17 | Álvaro Martínez | D |
| 11 | Landerson | F |
| 4 | Kevyn Monteiro | D |
| 1 | Aranha | G |
| 12 | Francisco Barbosa Sampaio | G |
| 32 | José | D |
Vitória SC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: David Pagou
48
Zych
13
Mendes
28
Balieiro
21
Borevković
23
Strata
44
Doucet
8
Nogueira
7
Camara
10
Alan
11
Gustavo
9
Jakupovic
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | O. Zych | G |
| 23 | T. Strata | D |
| 21 | T. Borevković | D |
| 28 | Thiago Balieiro | D |
| 13 | João Mendes | D |
| 8 | Gonçalo Nogueira | M |
| 44 | L. Doucet | M |
| 11 | Gustavo | M |
| 10 | Alan | M |
| 7 | O. Camara | M |
| 9 | A. Jakupovic | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | J. Castillo | G |
| 19 | V. Andersson | M |
| 82 | F. Dias | D |
| 2 | Miguel Maga | D |
| 6 | M. Mitrović | M |
| 16 | Beni | M |
| 17 | Miguel Nogueira | M |
| 29 | V. Ouotro | F |
| 4 | Óscar Rivas | D |
| 20 | Samu | M |
| 5 | A. Sidibé | D |
| 56 | S. Verdi | M |