Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
AI call FC Porto to win or draw
7%
18%
74%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Casa Pia vs FC Porto prediction: Sportiko gives Casa Pia a 7% chance of winning, FC Porto 74% and the draw 18%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 19:01.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Draw/Away & Over 1.5 76%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 76%
  • Away 2H Over 0.5 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Henrique Araújo Penalty
43' 1–0
45'
Jakub Kiwior Yellow Card
1–1 45+3'
André Silva assist: Pablo Rosario
HT 1–1
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira Yellow Card
53'
Andre Geraldes Yellow Card
54'
1–2 60'
Jakub Kiwior assist: Gabri Veiga
62'
William Gomes ⇄ Borja Sainz
62'
André Silva ⇄ Santiago Giménez
1–3 66'
Borja Sainz
Benjamin Pauwels ⇄ E. Maurin
68'
70'
Hwang In-beom ⇄ Alan Varela
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri ⇄ JP
74'
Henrique Araújo ⇄ Cassiano
74'
80'
Gabri Veiga ⇄ Seko Fofana
80'
Alberto Costa ⇄ Martim Fernandes
David Sousa Yellow Card
87'
João Rêgo ⇄ A. Zouin
88'
Ivan Mandić Yellow Card
90'
1–4 90+1'
Santiago Giménez Penalty
FT 1–4
Casa Pia

Match Stats

FC Porto
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 7
6 Shots insidebox 12
9 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 10
0 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
242 Total passes 402
163 Passes accurate 328
10 Free Kicks 13
Casa Pia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Henrique Araújo F 6.8 74' 1 2 16 (14%)
90 Cassiano F 6.6 16' 1 3 (1%)
16 Selvi Clúa M 6.5 90' 2 27 (20%) 1
17 E. Maurin F 6.3 22' 2 9 (7%)
21 A. Zouin F 6.3 2'
11 Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri M 6.1 74' 2 19 (16%) 1
98 JP M 6.0 16' 11 (9%) 2
80 Lawrence Ofori M 6.0 90' 19 (15%) 2
75 Pedro Rosas D 5.9 90' 12 (9%) 1
70 João Rêgo M 5.9 88' 5 25 (19%) 1
77 Benjamin Pauwels M 5.8 68' 1 5 (1%)
43 David Sousa D 5.7 90' 14 (11%) 2
3 Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira D 5.5 90' 23 (17%) 2
95 Ivan Mandić G 5.3 90' 37 (10%)
18 Andre Geraldes D 5.0 90' 20 (14%)
FC Porto
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 André Silva F 8.0 62' 1 3 10 (7%)
29 Santiago Giménez F 7.7 28' 1 1 2 (2%) 1
17 Borja Sainz F 7.4 28' 1 1 5 (4%) 1
4 Jakub Kiwior D 7.3 90' 1 1 89 (77%) 1
10 Gabri Veiga M 7.2 80' 1 3 22 (15%)
5 Jan Bednarek D 7.0 90' 1 69 (65%)
99 Diogo Costa G 6.9 90' 28 (19%)
13 Pablo Rosario M 6.8 90' 1 2 26 (22%) 2
74 Francisco Moura D 6.6 90' 33 (27%) 2
16 Hwang In-beom M 6.5 70' 26 (22%) 1
7 William Gomes F 6.4 62' 3 14 (8%)
20 Alberto Costa D 6.3 80' 2 23 (18%) 1
22 Alan Varela M 6.2 20' 14 (13%)
52 Martim Fernandes D 6.2 10' 6 (6%)
11 Pepê F 6.1 90' 25 (15%) 1
42 Seko Fofana M 6.0 10' 3 (2%)
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Confidence High (74%)

At a glance

Our lean
FC Porto to win or draw
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Casa Pia
WLDLL
FC Porto
WWLWW
Last 3 meetings Casa Pia · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Casa Pia will face a challenging match against FC Porto. Casa Pia has shown solid defensive statistics this season, conceding only 1.2 goals per match on average, but will need to enhance their attacking output, currently averaging 1.0 goals per game. FC Porto, on the other hand, boasts a potent offense, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match, and they have a strong away record. The contrasting styles suggest a tactical battle, with Porto likely looking to exploit any defensive lapses from Casa Pia while the home side will aim to remain compact and capitalize on counter-attacks. This match will be crucial for both teams as they push for points in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

FC Porto
Gabri Veiga 4 gls
Borja Sainz 3 gls
André Silva 3 gls
William 2 gls

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Head to Head: Casa Pia vs FC Porto

1 Casa Pia Wins
0 Draws
2 FC Porto Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 Feb 2026 Casa Pia 2 - 1 FC Porto
24 Aug 2025 FC Porto 4 - 0 Casa Pia
12 Apr 2025 Casa Pia 0 - 1 FC Porto
See all 8 meetings — Premium

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Estoril W 1 - 2
12 Sep H FC Porto L 1 - 4
06 Sep A Vitória SC D 0 - 0
30 Aug H Moreirense L 0 - 1
24 Aug A GIL Vicente L 2 - 0

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Benfica W 3 - 1
12 Sep A Casa Pia W 1 - 4
08 Sep H Manchester City L 0 - 2
04 Sep H Moreirense W 2 - 1
29 Aug A Academico Viseu W 0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

FC Porto

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: F. Farioli
99 Costa
74 Moura
4 Kiwior
5 Bednarek
20 Baio
10 Veiga
13 Rosario
16 In-Beom
11 Aquino
19 Silva
7 William

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 Diogo Costa G
20 Alberto Baio D
5 J. Bednarek D
4 J. Kiwior D
74 Francisco Moura D
16 Hwang In-Beom M
13 P. Rosario M
10 Gabri Veiga M
7 William F
19 André Silva F
11 Pepê Aquino F

Substitutes

33 Souza D
42 S. Fofana M
29 S. Giménez F
52 Martim Fernandes D
14 Cláudio Ramos G
21 D. Prpić D
18 N. Pérez D
17 Borja Sainz F
22 A. Varela M
58 T. Silva M
50 J. Afonso G
37 Gabriel Mec F

Casa Pia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Filipe Coelho
95 Mandić
75 Rosas
43 Sousa
3 Kaly
18 Geraldes
80 Ofori
16 Silvi
77 Pauwels
70 Rêgo
11 Boukammiri
9 Araújo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
95 Ivan Mandić G
18 Geraldes D
3 Kaly D
43 David Sousa D
75 Pedro Rosas D
16 Silvi M
80 L. Ofori M
11 M. El Boukammiri M
70 João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo M
77 B. Pauwels M
9 Henrique Araújo F

Substitutes

4 João Goulart D
8 Gabi Pereira M
90 Cassiano F
59 Abdu Dafe M
10 Rochinha F
20 A. Jatta F
17 E. Maurin F
19 K. Prieto F
24 S. Pérez M
1 P. Sequeira G
21 A. Zouin F
98 JP M

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