Moreirense vs Maritimo Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
AI call Maritimo or draw
33%
32%
35%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Moreirense vs Maritimo prediction: Sportiko gives Moreirense a 33% chance of winning, Maritimo 35% and the draw 32%. Last updated 14 Sep 2026, 21:10.

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Timeline

8'
Rodrigo Andrade Yellow Card
Kiko Bondoso Yellow Card
11'
Manuel Mendonça assist: Tiago Andrade
17' 1–0
L. Vonić assist: Kiko Bondoso
28' 2–0
45'
Rodrigo Andrade ⇄ Maxime Dominguez
45'
Bryan Limbombe ⇄ Israel Ayuma
HT 2–0
59'
Maxime Dominguez Yellow Card
L. Vonić ⇄ Alexandre Parsemain
61'
Kiko Bondoso ⇄ Landerson
61'
Nile John ⇄ Rodrigo Alonso
69'
71'
Vladan Danilović ⇄ Samuel Bamba
2–1 79'
Romain Correia
Maracás ⇄ Kevyn Monteiro
81'
Manuel Mendonça ⇄ Chipyoka Songa
81'
81'
Raphael Guzzo ⇄ M. Bassouamina
81'
Martín Tejón ⇄ Maurice Boakye
Alexandre Parsemain Penalty
86' 3–1
90+3'
Israel Ayuma Yellow Card
FT 3–1
Moreirense

Match Stats

Maritimo
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
335 Total passes 539
267 Passes accurate 453
15 Free Kicks 12
Moreirense
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
79 L. Vonić F 7.7 61' 1 3 12 (8%) 1
9 Alexandre Parsemain F 7.6 29' 1 1 5 (4%)
66 Gilberto Batista D 7.1 90' 35 (33%) 2
19 Tiago Andrade M 7.1 90' 1 2 25 (16%) 1
10 Kiko Bondoso M 7.0 61' 1 1 17 (17%)
7 Manuel Mendonça M 7.0 81' 1 1 23 (14%)
27 Kiko D 6.9 90' 44 (36%) 1
26 Maracás D 6.8 81' 35 (31%) 2
4 Kevyn Monteiro D 6.7 9' 1 2 (2%)
13 André Ferreira G 6.6 90' 27 (19%)
23 Nile John M 6.6 69' 20 (17%) 2
21 Rodrigo Alonso M 6.5 21' 15 (15%)
8 Mateja Stjepanović M 6.4 90' 33 (24%)
76 Dinis Pinto D 6.4 90' 1 32 (22%) 1
28 Chipyoka Songa F 6.2 9' 1 3 (3%)
11 Landerson F 6.1 29' 6 (5%)
Maritimo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
44 Romain Correia D 7.8 90' 1 1 91 (83%)
35 Bryan Limbombe F 6.8 46' 19 (15%)
90 Maurice Boakye F 6.7 9' 1 1
4 Rafael Fernandes D 6.6 90' 95 (83%) 2
14 Raphael Guzzo M 6.6 81' 46 (39%) 2
10 Martín Tejón F 6.5 81' 5 21 (16%) 1
18 Vladan Danilović M 6.4 71' 42 (38%) 1
17 Adrián Butzke F 6.4 90' 19 (13%)
27 Samuel Bamba F 6.3 19' 3 (3%)
12 M. Bassouamina F 6.3 9' 2 (1%)
8 Maxime Dominguez M 6.1 44' 21 (19%)
2 Igor Julião D 6.0 90' 56 (44%) 1
23 Paulo Henrique D 6.0 90' 1 51 (38%)
6 Rodrigo Andrade M 5.9 46' 1 19 (15%)
66 Israel Ayuma M 5.9 44' 15 (15%) 1
13 Alfonso Pastor G 5.8 90' 33 (27%) 1
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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Our lean
Maritimo or draw
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Moreirense
DWLLW
Maritimo
DLLLD
Last 3 meetings Moreirense · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Primeira Liga matchup, Moreirense will face Maritimo. Moreirense has shown solid form at home, with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five home fixtures. Maritimo, on the other hand, struggles away from home, with only 1 victory in their last five outings, showcasing defensive vulnerabilities. Key players to watch include Moreirense’s attacking forward, who has been pivotal in their recent successes, and Maritimo's goalkeeper, who will need to perform at his best to counter Moreirense’s attacking threats. This clash could hinge on Moreirense’s ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
35%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Moreirense vs Maritimo

1 Moreirense Wins
1 Draws
1 Maritimo Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Mar 2022 Moreirense 0 - 1 Maritimo
01 Oct 2021 Maritimo 0 - 0 Moreirense
07 Mar 2021 Maritimo 0 - 2 Moreirense
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Vitória SC D 1 - 1
14 Sep H Maritimo W 3 - 1
09 Sep H Benfica L 0 - 4
04 Sep A FC Porto L 2 - 1
30 Aug A Casa Pia W 0 - 1

Maritimo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A GIL Vicente D 1 - 1
14 Sep A Moreirense L 3 - 1
05 Sep H Benfica L 0 - 3
29 Aug A Arouca L 2 - 1
22 Aug H Academico Viseu D 2 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Moreirense

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Costa
13 Ferreira
27 Kiko
26 Maracás
66 Batista
76 Pinto
8 Stjepanović
23 John
19 Andrade
7 Mendonça
10 Bondoso
79 Vonić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 André Ferreira G
76 Dinis Pinto D
66 Gilberto Batista D
26 Maracás D
27 Kiko D
23 N. John M
8 M. Stjepanović M
10 Kiko Bondoso M
7 Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça M
19 Tiago Andrade M
79 L. Vonić F

Substitutes

1 Aranha G
25 Afonso Assis M
9 A. Duville-Parsemain F
4 Kevyn Monteiro D
11 Landerson F
17 Álvaro Martínez D
21 Rodri Alonso M
2 Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos D
28 Chipyoka Songa F
99 Maranhão F
12 Francisco Barbosa Sampaio G

Maritimo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: M. van der Gaag
13 Pastor
23 Henrique
44 Correia
4 Fernandes
2 Julião
6 Andrade
18 Danilović
14 Guzzo
10 Tejón
17 Butzke
35 Limbombe

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Alfonso Pastor G
2 Igor Julião D
4 Rafael Fernandes D
44 Romain Correia D
23 Paulo Henrique D
14 Raphael Guzzo M
18 V. Danilović M
6 Rodrigo Andrade M
35 B. Limbombe F
17 Adrián Butzke F
10 Martín Tejón F

Substitutes

21 I. Alani M
30 Fran Vieites G
15 Tomás Tavares D
1 Gonçalo Tabuaço G
22 G. Szalai D
5 Nilton Varela D
8 M. Dominguez M
12 M. Bassouamina F
27 S. Bamba F
66 I. Ayuma M
90 Maurice Osei Boakye F

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