Santa Clara vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
AI call Difficult Santa Clara win or draw
50%
29%
20%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave prediction: Sportiko gives Santa Clara a 50% chance of winning, Rio Ave 20% and the draw 29%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 16:26.

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  • Home or Away 71%
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Timeline

Brenner assist: Vinícius Lopes
3' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 45'
Diogo Bezerra ⇄ Malik Sellouki
⇄ 45'
Marios Vrousai ⇄ Pedro Amaral
⇄ 45'
Dario Špikić ⇄ Sebastian Clemmensen
HT 1–0
Tiago Ribeiro assist: Gonçalo Paciência
47' ⚽ 2–0
Vinícius Lopes
52' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 64'
Tamblé Monteiro ⇄ Roland Galčík
Tiago Ribeiro ⇄ Daniel Borges
66' ⇄
Brenner ⇄ Sorriso
66' ⇄
Vinícius Lopes ⇄ João Vasconcelos
76' ⇄
Gonçalo Paciência
76' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Andreas Ndoj ⇄ João Tomé
▮ 83'
Tamás Nikitscher Yellow Card
Daniel Borges Yellow Card
84' ▮
José Tavares ⇄ Frederico Silva
85' ⇄
90' ⚽ 4–0
FT 4–0
Santa Clara

Match Stats

Rio Ave
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 3
2 Shots outsidebox 2
8 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
489 Total passes 353
435 Passes accurate 300
8 Free Kicks 11
Santa Clara
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
70 Vinícius Lopes M 9.0 76' 1 1 2 30 (28%) 2
10 Brenner M 8.2 66' 1 – 4 22 (18%) 4
20 Tiago Ribeiro M 8.0 66' 1 – 1 37 (30%) –
Seamus Maughan 7.8 14' 1 – 2 3 (1%) 1
4 Pedro Pacheco D 7.7 90' – – – 73 (68%) –
42 Lucas Soares D 7.6 90' – – – 57 (50%) 2
5 Guilherme Romão D 7.6 90' – – – 41 (39%) 1
9 Gonçalo Paciência F 7.5 76' – 1 3 19 (16%) 1
21 Emanuel Fernandes D 7.4 90' – – – 56 (53%) –
6 Pedro Ferreira M 7.2 90' – – – 47 (43%) 8
8 José Tavares M 7.0 85' – – 2 54 (46%) –
1 Lucas França G 7.0 90' – – – 17 (15%) –
17 João Vasconcelos M 6.8 14' – – – 8 (7%) –
41 Daniel Borges M 6.8 24' – – 1 12 (10%) 1
99 Sorriso F 6.5 24' – – 1 12 (10%) –
25 Frederico Silva F 6.5 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
Rio Ave
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Tamblé Monteiro F 6.6 64' – – – 12 (11%) –
80 Sebastian Clemmensen F 6.4 44' – – – 10 (8%) 1
30 Roland Galčík F 6.3 26' – – – 2 (2%) –
44 Tamás Nikitscher M 6.2 90' – – – 21 (20%) 1
5 Andreas Ndoj M 6.2 77' – – – 28 (23%) 2
11 Jalen Blesa M 6.2 90' – – 1 18 (16%) 2
23 Francisco Petrasso D 6.1 90' – – – 54 (49%) –
39 Gustavo Mancha D 6.0 90' – – – 50 (42%) 1
19 Malik Sellouki M 6.0 44' – – 3 14 (13%) –
99 Ennio Van Der Gouw G 5.9 90' – – – 43 (36%) –
7 Diogo Bezerra M 5.9 46' – – 1 6 (5%) –
17 Marios Vrousai D 5.8 46' – – – 19 (16%) 1
24 Pedro Amaral D 5.8 44' – – – 15 (8%) –
77 Dario Špikić M 5.7 46' – – – 10 (8%) –
20 João Tomé D 5.7 13' – – – 3 (3%) –
54 Georgios Liavas D 5.5 90' – – – 48 (40%) 1
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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Santa Clara win or draw
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Santa Clara
DWWDW
Rio Ave
LDLLW
Last 3 meetings Santa Clara · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Santa Clara will face Rio Ave in a Primeira Liga clash on September 6. Both teams have shown varying form this season, with Santa Clara sitting slightly higher in the standings. Santa Clara's home performance has been solid, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while Rio Ave has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Key players for Santa Clara include their top scorer, who has netted 4 goals in the last 5 matches, while Rio Ave will need to improve their away form to secure points. This match could be pivotal for both teams in their quest for mid-table stability.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
50%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
20%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Santa Clara
Gonçalo Paciência 5 gls
Rio Ave

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Santa Clara vs Rio Ave

0 Santa Clara Wins
2 Draws
1 Rio Ave Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 Apr 2026 Santa Clara 0 - 2 Rio Ave
30 Nov 2025 Rio Ave 1 - 1 Santa Clara
18 Apr 2025 Rio Ave 1 - 1 Santa Clara
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Santa Clara — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H SC Braga D 0 - 0
13 Sep A Arouca W 1 - 2
06 Sep H Rio Ave W 4 - 0
29 Aug A Alverca D 1 - 1
23 Aug H Famalicao W 1 - 0

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Alverca L 1 - 0
14 Sep H Estrela D 3 - 3
06 Sep A Santa Clara L 4 - 0
28 Aug H Sporting CP L 0 - 4
22 Aug A Estoril W 0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Rio Ave

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Silaidopoulos
99 Gouw
17 Vrousai
39 Mancha
23 Petrasso
54 Liavas
5 Ntoi
44 Nikitscher
77 Špikić
11 Blesa
7 Bezerra
9 Monteiro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 E. van der Gouw G
54 G. Liavas D
23 F. Petrasso D
39 Gustavo Mancha D
17 M. Vrousai D
44 T. Nikitscher M
5 A. Ntoi M
7 Diogo Bezerra M
11 J. Blesa M
77 D. Špikić M
9 Tamble Monteiro F

Substitutes

22 K. Chamorro G
79 M. Patricio M
20 João Tomé D
30 R. Galčík F
24 Pedro Amaral D
80 S. Clemmensen F
60 Caike D
27 T. Medina M
98 Rodrigo Ramos Real G
19 M. Sellouki M
70 A. Wenck M
67 Samuel F

Santa Clara

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
1 França
5 Romão
21 Fernandes
4 Pacheco
42 Soares
8 Tavares
6 Ferreira
10 Santos
20 Ribeiro
70 Lopes
9 Paciência

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lucas França G
42 Lucas Soares D
4 Pedro Pacheco D
21 Emanuel Fernandes D
5 Guilherme Romão D
6 Pedro Ferreira M
8 José Luís Rocha Tavares M
70 Vinícius Lopes M
20 Tiago Ribeiro M
10 Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos M
9 Gonçalo Paciência F

Substitutes

99 Sorriso F
25 F. Medeiros F
11 Welinton Torrão F
12 Neneca G
3 Henrique Silva D
22 Vitinho M
41 Daniel Borges M
18 A. Duarte F
73 Léo Jacó F
80 Tiago Ribeiro Duarte F
7 Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira F
17 João Vasconcelos M

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