Vitória SC vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
AI call Difficult Vitória SC win or draw
61%
25%
14%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia prediction: Sportiko gives Vitória SC a 61% chance of winning, Casa Pia 14% and the draw 25%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 19:02.

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Timeline

⇄ 29'
André Gomes ⇄ Ivan Mandić
⇄ 45'
Kevin Prieto ⇄ João Trevisol
HT 0–0
⇄ 57'
Benjamin Pauwels ⇄ Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
⇄ 57'
Alassana Jatta ⇄ Henrique Araújo
Gustavo Silva Yellow Card
62' ▮
▮ 62'
Ivan Mandić Yellow Card
Alioune Ndoye ⇄ Arnel Jakupović
63' ⇄
Yellow Card
66' ▮
⇄ 70'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira ⇄ João Goulart
Miguel Nogueira ⇄ Oumar Camara
70' ⇄
Franck Ahmed Sidibé ⇄ Óscar Rivas
71' ⇄
▮ 72'
João Trevisol Yellow Card
Thiago Balieiro Yellow Card
86' ▮
Lohann Doucet ⇄ Patrick Ouotro
87' ⇄
Samu ⇄ Gonçalo Nogueira
87' ⇄
FT 0–0
Vitória SC

Match Stats

Casa Pia
74% Ball Possession 26%
27 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 4
10 Blocked Shots 0
15 Shots insidebox 4
12 Shots outsidebox 3
17 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 7
550 Total passes 190
455 Passes accurate 106
6 Free Kicks 13
Vitória SC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Alioune Ndoye F 7.5 63' – – 4 12 (7%) 1
44 Lohann Doucet M 7.4 87' – – 2 54 (49%) 1
16 Beni Mukendi M 7.2 90' – – – 74 (63%) 2
23 Tony Strata D 7.2 90' – – 1 74 (57%) 1
5 Franck Ahmed Sidibé D 7.1 71' – – – 55 (48%) 2
48 Oliwier Zych G 7.0 90' – – – 26 (19%) –
13 João Mendes D 6.9 90' – – 3 59 (48%) 1
7 Oumar Camara F 6.9 20' – – – 10 (5%) –
28 Thiago Balieiro D 6.8 90' – – 2 68 (66%) 1
17 Miguel Nogueira M 6.7 70' – – 3 23 (21%) –
11 Gustavo Silva M 6.7 90' – – 4 29 (21%) 2
9 Arnel Jakupović F 6.6 27' – – 2 9 (8%) –
4 Óscar Rivas D 6.5 19' – – 1 16 (14%) –
8 Gonçalo Nogueira M 6.5 3' – – – 8 (8%) –
20 Samu M 6.2 87' – – 4 31 (20%) 1
29 Patrick Ouotro F 6.1 3' – – 1 1 (1%) –
Casa Pia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
95 Ivan Mandić G 8.0 61' – – – 26 (6%) –
75 Pedro Rosas D 7.0 90' – – 1 10 (5%) 4
3 Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira D 7.0 70' – – – 10 (7%) 3
70 João Rêgo M 6.9 90' – – – 16 (13%) 3
43 David Sousa D 6.8 90' – – 1 13 (4%) 3
16 Selvi Clúa M 6.7 90' – – 1 12 (8%) 2
4 João Goulart D 6.6 20' – – – 3 (3%) 1
31 André Gomes G 6.6 29' – – – 10 (2%) –
20 Alassana Jatta F 6.5 57' – – – 9 (5%) –
11 Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri F 6.5 33' – – 1 7 (5%) –
18 Andre Geraldes D 6.4 90' – – – 12 (8%) 1
77 Benjamin Pauwels M 6.4 57' – – 1 9 (7%) 1
9 Henrique Araújo F 6.4 33' – – 1 10 (6%) –
80 Lawrence Ofori M 6.3 90' – – 1 23 (18%) –
98 João Trevisol M 6.2 44' – – – 8 (3%) 7
19 Kevin Prieto M 6.1 46' – – – 11 (5%) 1
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Vitória SC win or draw
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Vitória SC
DLDLW
Casa Pia
WLDLL
Last 3 meetings Vitória SC · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Guimaraes faces Casa Pia in a Primeira Liga matchup, with both teams seeking crucial points early in the season. Guimaraes has historically performed well at home, boasting a solid defensive record, while Casa Pia has shown resilience but may struggle against stronger opposition. Key players to watch include Guimaraes' attacking threats, who have been effective in breaking down defenses, and Casa Pia's counter-attacking prowess. The outcome may hinge on Guimaraes' ability to control possession and limit Casa Pia's chances on the break.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Vitória SC vs Casa Pia

1 Vitória SC Wins
1 Draws
1 Casa Pia Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 May 2026 Vitória SC 0 - 1 Casa Pia
28 Dec 2025 Casa Pia 0 - 0 Vitória SC
01 Mar 2025 Vitória SC 1 - 0 Casa Pia
See all 8 meetings — Premium

Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Moreirense D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Academico Viseu L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Casa Pia D 0 - 0
31 Aug A SC Braga L 1 - 0
23 Aug H Nacional W 1 - 0

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Estoril W 1 - 2
12 Sep H FC Porto L 1 - 4
06 Sep A Vitória SC D 0 - 0
30 Aug H Moreirense L 0 - 1
24 Aug A GIL Vicente L 2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Vitória SC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
48 Zych
13 Mendes
5 Sidibé
28 Balieiro
23 Strata
44 Doucet
16 Beni
11 Gustavo
20 Samu
17 Nogueira
24 Ndoye

Starting XI

# Player Pos
48 O. Zych G
23 T. Strata D
28 Thiago Balieiro D
5 A. Sidibé D
13 João Mendes D
16 Beni M
44 L. Doucet M
17 Miguel Nogueira M
20 Samu M
11 Gustavo M
24 A. Ndoye F

Substitutes

56 S. Verdi M
7 O. Camara F
22 J. Castillo G
9 A. Jakupovic F
82 F. Dias D
6 M. Mitrović M
19 V. Andersson M
29 V. Ouotro F
4 Óscar Rivas D
2 Miguel Maga D
18 Telmo Arcanjo M
8 Gonçalo Nogueira M

Casa Pia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Filipe Coelho
31 Gomes
75 Rosas
43 Sousa
3 Kaly
18 Geraldes
80 Ofori
16 Silvi
77 Pauwels
70 Rêgo
19 Prieto
20 Jatta

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 André Gomes G
18 Geraldes D
3 Kaly D
43 David Sousa D
75 Pedro Rosas D
16 Silvi M
80 L. Ofori M
19 K. Prieto M
70 João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo M
77 B. Pauwels M
20 A. Jatta F

Substitutes

10 Rochinha F
59 Abdu Dafe M
90 Cassiano F
8 Gabi Pereira M
4 João Goulart D
95 Ivan Mandić G
17 E. Maurin F
9 Henrique Araújo F
24 S. Pérez M
11 M. El Boukammiri F
21 A. Zouin F
98 João Trevisol M

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