Alverca vs Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
AI call Santa Clara or draw
30%
31%
38%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Alverca vs Santa Clara prediction: Sportiko gives Alverca a 30% chance of winning, Santa Clara 38% and the draw 31%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 16:30.

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  • Away to Score 73%
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Timeline

Nabil Touaizi ⇄ Diogo Spencer
21' ⇄
HT 0–0
▮ 60'
Emanuel Fernandes Yellow Card
Ian Luccas ⇄ Vasco Moreira
63' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Tiago Ribeiro ⇄ Vitinho
⇄ 63'
Sorriso ⇄ Brenner
Vivaldo assist: I. James
69' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 71'
Gonçalo Paciência
⇄ 71'
Vinícius Lopes ⇄ Welinton
Vivaldo
74' ⇄
Francisco Chissumba ⇄ Sergi Gómez
75' ⇄
André Vidigal ⇄ Marco Essimi
75' ⇄
⇄ 85'
José Tavares ⇄ Leo Jacó
⚽ 1–1 87'
Brenner assist: Welinton
Figueiredo Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
▮ 90+3'
Brenner Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Alverca

Match Stats

Santa Clara
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 7
3 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 5
10 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
345 Total passes 346
273 Passes accurate 257
8 Free Kicks 14
Alverca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Vivaldo F 7.9 74' 1 – 1 5 (4%) –
4 Yaya Bojang D 7.0 90' – – – 52 (48%) –
12 I. James D 7.0 90' – 1 – 45 (37%) 1
14 Steven Baseya D 6.9 90' – – – 43 (33%) 1
31 Mateus Oliveira G 6.8 90' – – – 20 (15%) –
21 Sergi Gómez D 6.7 15' – – – 3 (2%) –
55 Francisco Chissumba M 6.6 75' – – – 30 (26%) 4
35 Rayan Lucas M 6.6 90' – – 1 35 (31%) 2
2 Nabil Touaizi M 6.5 21' – – – 10 (7%) 2
19 Marco Essimi F 6.5 15' – – – 2 (2%) –
25 Ian Luccas M 6.4 63' – – 2 18 (13%) 1
8 Vasco Moreira M 6.4 27' – – – 11 (4%) 1
22 Figueiredo M 6.3 90' – – – 26 (21%) –
20 Diogo Spencer D 6.1 69' – – 1 24 (15%) 2
7 André Vidigal M 6.1 75' – – – 18 (13%) –
Santa Clara
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Brenner F 8.2 27' 1 – 3 12 (8%) –
11 Welinton F 6.9 19' – 1 – 2 (1%) –
20 Tiago Ribeiro M 6.9 63' – – 3 15 (11%) 1
70 Vinícius Lopes M 6.8 71' – – 2 14 (11%) –
6 Pedro Ferreira M 6.7 90' – – – 36 (32%) 3
73 Leo Jacó F 6.6 5' – – – 3 (3%) –
9 Gonçalo Paciência F 6.4 71' – – 1 12 (7%) 1
21 Emanuel Fernandes D 6.4 90' – – 1 48 (39%) 1
8 José Tavares M 6.3 85' – – 2 26 (18%) 2
99 Sorriso M 6.3 63' – – 1 10 (7%) 1
5 Guilherme Romão D 6.2 90' – – 1 35 (19%) 2
2 Diogo Calila D 6.0 90' – – – 37 (27%) 1
22 Vitinho M 6.0 27' – – – 3 (2%) –
1 Lucas França G 5.8 90' – – – 30 (20%) –
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean
Santa Clara or draw
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Alverca
WWLDL
Santa Clara
DWWDW
Last 2 meetings Alverca · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Primeira Liga clash, Alverca faces Santa Clara on August 30, 2026. Alverca has shown a solid home record, with a strong emphasis on maintaining possession and creating scoring opportunities. Santa Clara, on the other hand, tends to rely on counter-attacks and has struggled defensively against teams that press high. The match could come down to Alverca’s ability to break down Santa Clara's defensive setup. Key players to watch will be Alverca’s midfield orchestrators and Santa Clara’s pace on the flanks.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
30%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
38%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Alverca
D. Camara 3 gls
Santa Clara
Gonçalo Paciência 5 gls

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Head to Head: Alverca vs Santa Clara

0 Alverca Wins
1 Draws
1 Santa Clara Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Feb 2026 Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara
20 Sep 2025 Santa Clara 2 - 1 Alverca

Alverca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rio Ave W 1 - 0
12 Sep A Nacional W 1 - 3
05 Sep H SC Braga L 1 - 2
29 Aug H Santa Clara D 1 - 1
22 Aug A Sporting CP L 3 - 1

Santa Clara — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H SC Braga D 0 - 0
13 Sep A Arouca W 1 - 2
06 Sep H Rio Ave W 4 - 0
29 Aug A Alverca D 1 - 1
23 Aug H Famalicao W 1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Santa Clara

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
1 França
6 Ferreira
5 Romão
21 Fernandes
2 Calila
99 Sorriso
8 Tavares
9 Paciência
70 Lopes
20 Ribeiro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lucas França G
2 Diogo Calila D
21 Emanuel Fernandes D
5 Guilherme Romão D
6 Pedro Ferreira M
8 José Luís Rocha Tavares M
99 Sorriso M
20 Tiago Ribeiro M
70 Vinícius Lopes M
9 Gonçalo Paciência F

Substitutes

22 Vitinho M
3 Henrique Silva D
12 Neneca G
42 Lucas Soares D
10 Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos F
73 Léo Jacó F
11 Welinton Torrão F
17 João Vasconcelos M
18 A. Duarte F

Alverca

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: David Pagou
31 Oliveira
12 James
4 Bojang
14 Baseya
55 Chissumba
35 Rayan
25 Luccas
2 Zoubdi
22 Figueiredo
7 Vidigal
9 Semedo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Mateus Oliveira G
14 S. Baseya D
4 Y. Bojang D
12 I. James D
2 Zoubdi M
25 Ian Luccas M
35 Rayan M
55 Francisco Chissumba M
7 André Vidigal M
22 Figueiredo M
9 Vivaldo Semedo F

Substitutes

19 M. Essimi Ateba F
21 Sergi Gómez D
6 D. Gui M
91 Jhonatan G
15 I. Julian D
18 Z. Kassary M
8 Vasco Moreira M
11 C. Nuozzi F
20 Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques D
27 Toni Tamarit F
93 Zé Rafael M

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