GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
AI call GIL Vicente or draw
46%
30%
24%
Home Win Draw Away Win

GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave prediction: Sportiko gives GIL Vicente a 46% chance of winning, Rio Ave 24% and the draw 30%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 21:32.

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Timeline

Weverson ⇄ David Moreira
19' ⇄
⇄ 26'
Ryan Guilherme ⇄ Tamblé Monteiro
Facundo Cáseres Yellow Card
32' ▮
▮ 45+4'
Nelson Abbey Yellow Card
HT 0–0
▮ 47'
Andreas Ndoj Red Card
⇄ 50'
⇄ Tamás Nikitscher
David Moreira ⇄ José Silva
65' ⇄
Facundo Cáseres ⇄ Zé Carlos
65' ⇄
Andreas Lausen ⇄ Hector Hernandez
76' ⇄
Gil Martins ⇄ Tidjany Touré
76' ⇄
⇄ 83'
⇄ Dario Špikić
⇄ 83'
Jalen Blesa ⇄ Marios Vrousai
⇄ 83'
Diogo Nascimento ⇄ Jakub Brabec
▮ 85'
Jakub Brabec Yellow Card
Hector Hernandez Penalty
87' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 90+1'
Georgios Liavas Yellow Card
Yellow Card
90+8' ▮
FT 1–0
GIL Vicente

Match Stats

Rio Ave
64% Ball Possession 36%
1.41 Expected Goals (xG) 0.31
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 1
5 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
490 Total passes 287
432 Passes accurate 222
88% Passes % 77%
0.32 goals_prevented 0.32
GIL Vicente
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
47 Ricardo Esgaio D 7.7 98' – – – 57 (49%) 5
39 Jonathan Buatu D 7.3 98' – – – 76 (72%) 2
10 Santi García M 7.2 98' – – – 33 (31%) 1
6 Zé Carlos M 7.2 33' – – – 30 (29%) 1
23 Hector Hernandez F 7.0 22' 1 – 2 3 (2%) 1
5 Facundo Cáseres M 6.9 65' – – – 42 (37%) –
30 Lucão G 6.9 98' – – – 34 (26%) –
2 José Silva D 6.9 33' – – – 16 (12%) 1
45 David Moreira D 6.7 46' – – – 29 (23%) –
7 Tidjany Touré F 6.7 21' – – 1 7 (5%) –
11 Joelson Fernandes M 6.6 98' – – 1 20 (17%) 3
4 Marvin Elimbi Gilbert D 6.6 98' – – – 67 (62%) –
26 Weverson D 6.5 19' – – 1 6 (4%) –
29 Carlos Eduardo F 6.5 98' – – 2 8 (6%) 1
12 Andreas Lausen M 6.3 76' – – – 40 (36%) 1
20 Gil Martins M 6.2 77' – – 1 22 (21%) –
Rio Ave
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
99 Ennio Van Der Gouw G 7.3 98' – – – 45 (32%) –
23 Francisco Petrasso D 7.2 98' – – – 36 (32%) –
30 Roland Galčík M 7.0 50' – – 1 12 (11%) –
39 Gustavo Mancha D 6.9 98' – – – 39 (29%) 1
6 Nelson Abbey D 6.9 98' – – – 21 (17%) 5
44 Tamás Nikitscher M 6.9 48' – – – 8 (5%) 3
9 Tamblé Monteiro F 6.9 72' – – – 18 (13%) 1
54 Georgios Liavas D 6.9 98' – – – 29 (23%) 4
7 Diogo Bezerra M 6.7 83' – – 2 16 (10%) 1
77 Dario Špikić F 6.7 15' – – – 3 (2%) 1
90 Diogo Nascimento M 6.7 83' – – – 29 (25%) –
17 Marios Vrousai F 6.5 16' – – 1 2 (1%) –
11 Jalen Blesa F 6.5 82' – – 1 13 (9%) 1
14 Jakub Brabec D 6.3 15' – – – 1 –
8 Ryan Guilherme M 6.3 26' – – – 4 (3%) –
5 Andreas Ndoj M 5.7 47' – – – 11 (10%) 1
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean
GIL Vicente or draw
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GIL Vicente
DLLDW
Rio Ave
LDLLW
Last 3 meetings GIL Vicente · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

GIL Vicente will face Rio Ave in an intriguing Primeira Liga matchup. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with GIL Vicente securing 1.2 goals per match and conceding 1.5, while Rio Ave averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 allowed. The key will be GIL Vicente's offensive strategy against Rio Ave's defense, which has struggled with set pieces. Additionally, both squads' ability to capitalize on counter-attacks could determine the outcome. Expect a closely contested game, with both teams seeking critical points early in the season.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
24%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

GIL Vicente
Héctor Hernández 3 gls
Rio Ave

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave

0 GIL Vicente Wins
3 Draws
0 Rio Ave Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 May 2026 Rio Ave 0 - 0 GIL Vicente
20 Dec 2025 GIL Vicente 2 - 2 Rio Ave
16 May 2025 Rio Ave 1 - 1 GIL Vicente
See all 10 meetings — Premium

GIL Vicente — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Maritimo D 1 - 1
13 Sep A Benfica L 3 - 1
06 Sep H Academico Viseu L 0 - 1
30 Aug A Famalicao D 0 - 0
24 Aug H Casa Pia W 2 - 0

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Alverca L 1 - 0
14 Sep H Estrela D 3 - 3
06 Sep A Santa Clara L 4 - 0
28 Aug H Sporting CP L 0 - 4
22 Aug A Estoril W 0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Rio Ave

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
99 Gouw
6 Abbey
39 Mancha
23 Petrasso
54 Liavas
5 Ndoj
90 Nascimento
7 Bezerra
8 Guilherme
30 Galčík
11 Blesa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 Ennio Van Der Gouw G
54 Georgios Liavas D
23 Francisco Petrasso D
39 Gustavo Mancha D
6 Nelson Abbey D
90 Diogo Nascimento M
5 Andreas Ndoj M
30 Roland Galčík M
8 Ryan Guilherme M
7 Diogo Bezerra M
11 Jalen Blesa F

Substitutes

9 Tamblé Monteiro F
22 Kevin Chamorro G
63 Julien Lomboto D
68 Caike D
14 Jakub Brabec D
17 Marios Vrousai F
44 Tamás Nikitscher M
79 Miguel Patricío F
70 Antoine Wenck M
25 Rafael Lobato F
67 Samuel da Silva Alves F
77 Dario Špikić F

GIL Vicente

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luis Pinto
30 Lucão
26 Weverson
39 Buatu
4 Gilbert
47 Esgaio
5 Cáseres
12 Lausen
20 Martins
10 García
11 Fernandes
29 Eduardo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 Lucão G
47 Ricardo Esgaio D
4 Marvin Elimbi Gilbert D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
26 Weverson D
12 Andreas Lausen M
5 Facundo Cáseres M
11 Joelson Fernandes M
10 Santi García M
20 Gil Martins M
29 Carlos Eduardo F

Substitutes

45 David Moreira D
1 Andre Picornell G
44 Tiago Ferreira G
3 Antonio Espigares D
2 José Silva D
6 Zé Carlos M
7 Tidjany Touré F
32 Martin Fernández M
86 Diogo Prioste M
27 Agustín Moreira F
99 Mohamed Kaba F
23 Héctor Hernández F

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