GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1

09 Aug 2026, 19:30

Post on X

Rio Ave

Away

AI call GIL Vicente or draw

46%

30%

24%

Home Win · 1.99 Draw · 3.60 Away Win · 4.20

GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave prediction: Sportiko gives GIL Vicente a 46% chance of winning, Rio Ave 24% and the draw 30%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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GIL Vicente

LLDWL

Rio Ave

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings GIL Vicente · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

GIL Vicente will face Rio Ave in an intriguing Primeira Liga matchup. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with GIL Vicente securing 1.2 goals per match and conceding 1.5, while Rio Ave averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 allowed. The key will be GIL Vicente's offensive strategy against Rio Ave's defense, which has struggled with set pieces. Additionally, both squads' ability to capitalize on counter-attacks could determine the outcome. Expect a closely contested game, with both teams seeking critical points early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

24%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rio Ave goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	9	5	1
1	14	15	6	2
2	9	8	3	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ GIL Vicente goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.2%	9.1%	4.6%	1.3%	0.3%
1	13.6%	14.8%	5.7%	1.6%	0.4%
2	9.3%	8.0%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
3	3.8%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.2%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	GIL Vicente	Draw	Rio Ave
GIL Vicente	28.0%	5.1%	1.6%
Draw	14.9%	22.7%	12.3%
Rio Ave	1.1%	3.0%	11.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave

0 GIL Vicente Wins

3 Draws

0 Rio Ave Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Rio Ave	0 - 0	GIL Vicente
20 Dec 2025	GIL Vicente	2 - 2	Rio Ave
16 May 2025	Rio Ave	1 - 1	GIL Vicente

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GIL Vicente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 May	A Sporting CP	L	3 - 0
11 May	H Arouca	L	1 - 3
03 May	A Rio Ave	D	0 - 0
27 Apr	H Casa Pia	W	2 - 1
18 Apr	H Guimaraes	L	0 - 1

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Tondela	W	3 - 1
16 May	A Casa Pia	D	1 - 1
11 May	H Sporting CP	L	1 - 4
03 May	H GIL Vicente	D	0 - 0
25 Apr	A Guimaraes	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	D	GF	GA	Pts
1	Famalicao	1	1	1	1	1
2	Estoril	1	1	1	1	1
3	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0
4	Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0
5	GIL Vicente	0	0	0	0	0
6	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0
7	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0
8	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0
11	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0
12	Maritimo	0	0	0	0	0
13	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0
14	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0
16	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0
17	Academico Viseu	0	0	0	0	0
18	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.