FC Porto vs Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1

09 Aug 2026, 17:00

Post on X

Alverca

Away

AI call FC Porto to win

78%

15%

Home Win · 1.20 Draw · 7.95 Away Win · 17.50

FC Porto vs Alverca prediction: Sportiko gives FC Porto a 78% chance of winning, Alverca 7% and the draw 15%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:01.

Premium picks

Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — the AI's sharpest picks across all 70+ markets are Premium.

75% 72% 71%

See Premium picks

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Already have an account? Log in

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on FC Porto vs Alverca

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Live in-play co-pilot

Go Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

FC Porto

WWWLW

Alverca

LLDLW

Last 2 meetings FC Porto · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

FC Porto enters this match against Alverca with a strong track record in the Primeira Liga, leveraging their high attacking efficiency and solid defensive structure. Historically, Porto has maintained a high possession rate, often exceeding 60%, which allows them to control the pace of the game. Alverca may struggle to cope with Porto's pressing game, as they typically rely on counter-attacks and may not have the depth to sustain pressure for the full match. Key players for Porto, particularly in midfield and attack, will be critical in breaking down Alverca’s defensive setup. Expect Porto to dominate possession and create multiple scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alverca goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	1
1	13	10	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ FC Porto goals · most likely 2–0 (14.2%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	3.2%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
1	12.6%	10.3%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.3%	9.4%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
3	9.8%	6.5%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
4	5.1%	3.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

29%

34%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Porto	Draw	Alverca
FC Porto	48.1%	3.1%	0.7%
Draw	20.1%	14.0%	4.4%
Alverca	2.0%	2.6%	5.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: FC Porto vs Alverca

2 FC Porto Wins

0 Draws

0 Alverca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 May 2026	FC Porto	1 - 0	Alverca
22 Dec 2025	Alverca	0 - 3	FC Porto

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Torreense	W	1 - 0
25 Jul	H Aston Villa	W	2 - 1
16 May	H Santa Clara	W	1 - 0
10 May	A AVS	L	3 - 1
02 May	H Alverca	W	1 - 0

Alverca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	A Mafra	L	1 - 0
16 May	A Famalicao	L	1 - 0
10 May	H Estoril	D	1 - 1
02 May	A FC Porto	L	1 - 0
24 Apr	H Arouca	W	2 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	D	GF	GA	Pts
1	Famalicao	1	1	1	1	1
2	Estoril	1	1	1	1	1
3	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0
4	Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0
5	GIL Vicente	0	0	0	0	0
6	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0
7	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0
8	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0
11	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0
12	Maritimo	0	0	0	0	0
13	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0
14	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0
16	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0
17	Academico Viseu	0	0	0	0	0
18	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.