Maritimo vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
AI call Maritimo or draw
45%
28%
27%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Maritimo vs Casa Pia prediction: Sportiko gives Maritimo a 45% chance of winning, Casa Pia 27% and the draw 28%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 16:29.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Under 3.5 Goals 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

45+2'
David Sousa Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Raphael Guzzo assist: Martín Tejón
61' 1–0
66'
Abdu Conté ⇄ Pedro Rosas
66'
Oluwakorede Osundina ⇄ Kevin Prieto
78'
Gabi Pereira ⇄ Alassana Jatta
80'
Sebastian Perez ⇄ Selvi Clúa
81'
João Goulart ⇄ Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Simo Bouzaidi ⇄ Samuel Bamba
82'
86'
Alassana Jatta Yellow Card
Adrián Butzke ⇄ Maurice Boakye
87'
Martín Tejón ⇄ Tomás Tavares
87'
Raphael Guzzo Yellow Card
90+1'
Vladan Danilović ⇄ Yellu Santiago
90+1'
Raphael Guzzo ⇄ Gábor Szalai
90+1'
Tomás Tavares Yellow Card
90+6'
FT 1–0
Maritimo

Match Stats

Casa Pia
39% Ball Possession 61%
1.25 Expected Goals (xG) 0.61
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
307 Total passes 470
239 Passes accurate 416
78% Passes % 89%
0.86 goals_prevented 0.86
Maritimo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Raphael Guzzo M 8.0 91' 1 2 24 (15%) 2
10 Martín Tejón F 7.5 87' 1 4 19 (14%) 2
6 Rodrigo Andrade M 7.3 96' 28 (25%) 2
18 Vladan Danilović M 7.2 91' 1 35 (32%) 2
4 Rafael Fernandes D 7.0 96' 38 (35%)
17 Adrián Butzke F 7.0 87' 1 16 (9%) 1
13 Alfonso Pastor G 6.9 96' 27 (14%)
2 Igor Julião D 6.9 96' 18 (13%) 4
23 Paulo Henrique D 6.9 96' 1 24 (19%) 2
11 Simo Bouzaidi F 6.9 82' 2 23 (18%) 1
44 Romain Correia D 6.6 96' 1 48 (41%)
90 Maurice Boakye F 6.5 9' 2 1
15 Tomás Tavares D 6.3 9' 2 (2%)
27 Samuel Bamba F 6.2 14' 2 (1%)
22 Gábor Szalai D 5' 1 (1%)
25 Yellu Santiago M 5'
Casa Pia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
31 André Gomes G 7.9 96' 32 (29%)
5 Abdu Conté D 7.3 66' 37 (36%) 2
19 Kevin Prieto F 7.0 30' 6 (3%) 1
4 João Goulart D 6.9 81' 69 (67%) 1
43 David Sousa D 6.9 96' 2 78 (72%)
10 Rochinha F 6.9 96' 2 27 (20%) 1
24 Sebastian Perez M 6.7 80' 40 (32%) 1
3 Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira D 6.7 15' 11 (9%)
75 Pedro Rosas D 6.6 30' 12 (6%)
8 Gabi Pereira M 6.6 78' 21 (20%) 3
16 Selvi Clúa M 6.6 16' 4 (2%)
18 Andre Geraldes D 6.5 96' 46 (43%) 1
80 Lawrence Ofori M 6.3 96' 56 (49%) 1
9 Henrique Araújo F 6.3 96' 1 16 (15%)
13 Oluwakorede Osundina F 6.2 66' 10 (9%)
20 Alassana Jatta F 6.2 18'
Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Maritimo vs Casa Pia

  • All 70+ probability markets
  • AI Deep-Dive match report
  • Value Edge — model vs market
  • Pick types you choose
Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean
Maritimo or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Maritimo
DLLLD
Casa Pia
WLDLL
Last 2 meetings Maritimo · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

Maritimo faces Casa Pia in a Primeira Liga clash on August 8, 2026. Maritimo will be looking to leverage their recent form, having secured key victories in their last few matches, while Casa Pia seeks to maintain momentum after a solid start to the season. Historically, Maritimo has struggled against Casa Pia, which could impact their confidence. Set pieces and defensive organization will be critical for both teams as they aim to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Expect a competitive match with tactical adjustments likely to play a significant role in the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Maritimo vs Casa Pia

0 Maritimo Wins
0 Draws
2 Casa Pia Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Mar 2023 Casa Pia 2 - 0 Maritimo
03 Oct 2022 Maritimo 1 - 2 Casa Pia

Maritimo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A GIL Vicente D 1 - 1
14 Sep A Moreirense L 3 - 1
05 Sep H Benfica L 0 - 3
29 Aug A Arouca L 2 - 1
22 Aug H Academico Viseu D 2 - 2

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Estoril W 1 - 2
12 Sep H FC Porto L 1 - 4
06 Sep A Vitória SC D 0 - 0
30 Aug H Moreirense L 0 - 1
24 Aug A GIL Vicente L 2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Casa Pia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Filipe Coelho
31 Gomes
5 Conté
43 Sousa
4 Goulart
18 Geraldes
8 Pereira
80 Ofori
24 Pérez
10 Rochinha
9 Araújo
13 Osundina

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 André Gomes G
18 André Geraldes D
4 João Goulart D
43 David Sousa D
5 Abdu Conté D
24 Sebastián Pérez M
80 Lawrence Ofori M
8 Gabi Pereira M
13 Oluwakorede Osundina F
9 Henrique Araújo F
10 Rochinha F

Substitutes

95 Ivan Mandić G
22 Daniel Azevedo G
3 Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira D
75 Pedro Rosas D
27 Kaique Rocha D
19 Kevin Prieto F
16 Selvi Clúa M
59 Abdu Dafe M
11 Raúl Blanco M
20 Alassana Jatta F
99 Claudio Mendes F

Maritimo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mitchell van der Gaag
13 Pastor
23 Henrique
44 Correia
4 Fernandes
2 Julião
18 Danilović
6 Andrade
14 Guzzo
10 Tejón
17 Butzke
11 Bouzaidi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Alfonso Pastor G
2 Igor Julião D
4 Rafael Fernandes D
44 Romain Correia D
23 Paulo Henrique D
14 Raphael Guzzo M
6 Rodrigo Andrade M
18 Vladan Danilović M
11 Simo Bouzaidi F
17 Adrián Butzke F
10 Martín Tejón F

Substitutes

77 Pedro Teixeira G
1 Gonçalo Tabuaço G
22 Gábor Szalai D
68 Nelio Batista M
16 Francisco Silva M
66 Israel Ayuma M
15 Tomás Tavares D
25 Yellu Santiago M
90 Maurice Boakye F
27 Samuel Bamba F

Sportiko Assistant

Features, the contest, or football

Sign up free to chat with the Sportiko Assistant — ask about predictions, the contest, anything football.

Sign up free Already have an account? Log in