Estoril vs Famalicao Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Famalicao

Away

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

AI call Famalicao or draw

29%

30%

41%

Home Win · 3.14 Draw · 3.40 Away Win · 2.47

Estoril vs Famalicao prediction: Sportiko gives Estoril a 29% chance of winning, Famalicao 41% and the draw 30%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 21:10.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 32'

Georgios Koutsias assist: Gil Dias

HT 0–1

Ricard Sánchez Yellow Card

53' ▮

André Lacximicant ⇄ Fabrício Garcia

66' ⇄

Ricard Sánchez ⇄ Pedro Carvalho

66' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Pedro Santos

Yanis Begraoui assist: Pedro Carvalho

72' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 76'

Rodrigo Pinheiro Yellow Card

⇄ 77'

Sorriso ⇄ Romeo Beney

⇄ 77'

Gil Dias ⇄ Óscar Aranda

Xeka ⇄ Jandro Orellana

83' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Georgios Koutsias ⇄ Umar Abubakar

Antef Tsoungui ⇄ Tiago Brito

87' ⇄

▮ 90+3'

Romeo Beney Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Estoril

Match Stats

Famalicao

50% Ball Possession 50%

0.99 Expected Goals (xG) 1.14

14 Total Shots 5

3 Shots on Goal 2

8 Shots off Goal 1

3 Blocked Shots 2

10 Shots insidebox 3

4 Shots outsidebox 2

7 Corner Kicks 5

3 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

422 Total passes 429

356 Passes accurate 359

84% Passes % 84%

-0.67 goals_prevented -0.67

Estoril

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Yanis Begraoui F	7.9	92'	1	–	1	14 (12%)	–
22 Pedro Carvalho D	7.2	26'	–	1	–	9 (7%)	–
2 Ricard Sánchez D	6.9	66'	–	–	–	23 (14%)	3
99 Rafik Guitane M	6.9	92'	–	–	1	37 (32%)	4
15 Ismael Sierra Arnal D	6.9	92'	–	–	2	91 (80%)	1
3 Fernando Medrano D	6.9	92'	–	–	–	46 (40%)	3
7 André Lacximicant M	6.7	66'	–	–	3	16 (13%)	1
4 Ferro D	6.6	92'	–	–	–	63 (56%)	1
98 Fabrício Garcia F	6.6	26'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
12 João Carvalho M	6.5	92'	–	–	2	27 (20%)	–
1 Joel Robles G	6.3	92'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	–
5 Antef Tsoungui M	6.3	87'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	2
6 Jandro Orellana M	6.3	9'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
8 Xeka M	6.3	83'	–	–	2	33 (30%)	1
90 Tiago Brito M	—	5'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–

Famalicao

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Sorriso M	7.2	77'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	1
3 Léo Realpe D	7.0	92'	–	–	–	66 (56%)	2
4 Finn van Breemen D	6.9	92'	–	–	–	72 (64%)	2
14 Mathias De Amorim M	6.9	92'	–	–	–	28 (23%)	6
11 Óscar Aranda F	6.9	15'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
28 Pedro Bondo D	6.9	92'	–	–	–	45 (34%)	1
17 Rodrigo Pinheiro D	6.7	92'	–	–	–	47 (41%)	1
70 Georgios Koutsias F	6.6	83'	1	–	1	20 (16%)	–
6 Tom Van De Looi M	6.6	92'	–	–	–	36 (30%)	3
9 Umar Abubakar F	6.6	9'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
10 Pedro Santos M	6.3	66'	–	–	–	25 (23%)	–
18 Romeo Beney F	6.3	15'	–	–	1	–	–
25 Lazar Carević G	6.2	92'	–	–	–	34 (33%)	–
23 Gil Dias M	6.2	77'	–	1	1	22 (14%)	1
21 Tamás Szűcs M	6.2	26'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Famalicao or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Estoril

DDDLD

Famalicao

DWDDW

Last 3 meetings Estoril · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Estoril will face Famalicao in the Primeira Liga, both teams looking to secure crucial early points. Estoril finished last season with a modest home record, indicating they can be resilient on their turf. Famalicao, known for their attacking prowess, will seek to exploit any defensive lapses from Estoril. Key players to watch include Estoril's midfield creator and Famalicao's leading goal scorer, who can change the game's dynamics. Both teams will need to control possession and leverage set pieces to gain an edge.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 70.7%. Late goal chance: 32.2%.

74' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 69.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Famalicao leads. Win probability: 77.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 67.9%.

32' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Famalicao win: 76%. BTTS: 47.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Famalicao goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	11	9	4	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	5	7	4	2	1
3	2	2	1	1
4		1
5

↑ Estoril goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

30%

Home Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

30%

Home Win

29%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	11.1%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%
1	7.9%	14.6%	8.7%	3.9%	1.3%
2	4.8%	6.5%	4.4%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.6%	2.2%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estoril	Draw	Famalicao
Estoril	15.6%	4.2%	1.8%
Draw	10.4%	20.1%	15.3%
Famalicao	1.4%	4.3%	26.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estoril vs Famalicao

0 Estoril Wins

0 Draws

3 Famalicao Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Estoril	0 - 1	Famalicao
14 Dec 2025	Famalicao	4 - 0	Estoril
12 Apr 2025	Famalicao	3 - 0	Estoril

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Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Famalicao	D	1 - 1
31 Jul	A CF Os Belenenses	D	1 - 1
25 Jul	H Torreense	D	0 - 0
16 May	H Benfica	L	1 - 3
10 May	A Alverca	D	1 - 1

Famalicao — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Estoril	D	1 - 1
16 May	H Alverca	W	1 - 0
11 May	A Estrela	D	0 - 0
02 May	H Benfica	D	2 - 2
26 Apr	A Estoril	W	0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	D	GF	GA	Pts
1	Famalicao	1	1	1	1	1
2	Estoril	1	1	1	1	1
3	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0
4	Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0
5	GIL Vicente	0	0	0	0	0
6	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0
7	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0
8	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0
11	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0
12	Maritimo	0	0	0	0	0
13	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0
14	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0
15	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0
16	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0
17	Academico Viseu	0	0	0	0	0
18	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0

Estoril

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Matos

1 Robles

3 Medrano

15 Arnal

4 Ferro

2 Sánchez

5 Tsoungui

8 Xeka

7 Lacximicant

12 Carvalho

99 Guitane

14 Begraoui

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Joel Robles	G
2	Ricard Sánchez	D
4	Ferro	D
15	Ismael Sierra Arnal	D
3	Fernando Medrano	D
8	Xeka	M
5	Antef Tsoungui	M
99	Rafik Guitane	M
12	João Carvalho	M
7	André Lacximicant	M
14	Yanis Begraoui	F

Substitutes

16	Martin Turk	G
31	Diogo Dias	G
22	Pedro Carvalho	D
55	Tiago Parente	D
18	Gonçalo Costa	D
42	Jordan Arnolin	D
80	Luis Gomes	M
6	Jandro Orellana	M
90	Tiago Brito	M
98	Fabrício Garcia	F
17	Peixinho	F

Famalicao

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

25 Carević

28 Bondo

4 Breemen

3 Realpe

17 Pinheiro

14 Amorim

6 Looi

7 Sorriso

10 Santos

23 Dias

70 Koutsias

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	Lazar Carević	G
17	Rodrigo Pinheiro	D
3	Léo Realpe	D
4	Finn van Breemen	D
28	Pedro Bondo	D
6	Tom Van De Looi	M
14	Mathias De Amorim	M
23	Gil Dias	M
10	Pedro Santos	M
7	Sorriso	M
70	Georgios Koutsias	F

Substitutes

1	Ivan Zlobin	G
5	Leny Meyer	D
30	Vojin Serafimović	D
36	Matheus Mattara	D
2	Gustavo García	D
11	Óscar Aranda	F
8	Marcos Peña	M
21	Tamás Szűcs	M
19	Paulo Moreira	M
18	Romeo Beney	F
91	Rudi Almeida	F
9	Umar Abubakar	F