Utrecht vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

14 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Groningen

Away

Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

AI call Utrecht to win or draw

74%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Utrecht vs Groningen prediction: Sportiko gives Utrecht a 74% chance of winning, Groningen 5% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.1%

Both teams to score

27%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Utrecht

LWDLD

Groningen

WDDLL

Last 3 meetings Utrecht · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Utrecht will face Groningen in this Eredivisie matchup on March 14, 2027. Utrecht, known for their solid home form, will look to capitalize on their attacking prowess, having scored an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. Conversely, Groningen has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match, which could be a critical factor. Both teams will aim to secure valuable points as they navigate the mid-season challenges. Key players to watch will be Utrecht's leading scorer and Groningen's defensive stalwart, as their performances may dictate the match outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Groningen goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	3	1
1	19	8	1
2	19	7	1
3	12	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Utrecht goals · most likely 2–0 (19.1%)

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Players in form

Utrecht

Artem Stepanov 5 gls

Groningen

T. van Bergen 4 gls

B. Willumsson 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

22%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.4%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	19.1%	8.1%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
2	19.1%	6.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
3	12.2%	4.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.8%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Utrecht	Draw	Groningen
Utrecht	49.3%	1.9%	0.2%
Draw	24.3%	15.6%	2.7%
Groningen	1.4%	1.9%	2.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

70%

25%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Utrecht vs Groningen

1 Utrecht Wins

0 Draws

2 Groningen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Aug 2026	Groningen	2 - 1	Utrecht
14 Feb 2026	Groningen	1 - 2	Utrecht
14 Sep 2025	Utrecht	0 - 1	Groningen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Utrecht — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Feyenoord	L	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Excelsior	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	3 - 3
30 Aug	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 6
22 Aug	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	3 - 3

Groningen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Twente	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Fortuna Sittard	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A PSV Eindhoven	L	5 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.