Ajax vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

14 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

PEC Zwolle

Away

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

AI call Difficult Ajax win or draw

58%

27%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ajax vs PEC Zwolle prediction: Sportiko gives Ajax a 58% chance of winning, PEC Zwolle 15% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Ajax

DWWLW

PEC Zwolle

LLDLW

Last 3 meetings Ajax · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Ajax enters the match against PEC Zwolle with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season. Their possession-based style allows them to control the tempo, which is critical against a Zwolle side that has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Zwolle will need to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities to challenge Ajax's backline, which has shown vulnerability in high-pressure situations. Historically, Ajax has dominated this fixture, making them favorites to secure the three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

PEC Zwolle goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	5	3	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Ajax goals · most likely 1–0 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

PEC Zwolle

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

27%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

27%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	5.3%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
1	13.5%	12.7%	4.2%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.5%	9.4%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	7.0%	5.2%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.9%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
Ajax	36.5%	3.5%	0.8%
Draw	20.4%	18.0%	6.6%
PEC Zwolle	2.2%	3.6%	8.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ajax vs PEC Zwolle

2 Ajax Wins

1 Draws

0 PEC Zwolle Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Aug 2026	PEC Zwolle	0 - 2	Ajax
01 Mar 2026	PEC Zwolle	0 - 0	Ajax
13 Sep 2025	Ajax	3 - 1	PEC Zwolle

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

PEC Zwolle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Groningen	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	0 - 7
04 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H NEC Nijmegen	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Heerenveen	W	0 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.