Twente vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Excelsior

Away

De Grolsch Veste, Enschede

AI call Twente to win or draw

70%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Twente vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives Twente a 70% chance of winning, Excelsior 9% and the draw 22%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Twente

WWWDW

Excelsior

DLDWW

Last 3 meetings Twente · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Twente faces Excelsior in this Eredivisie matchup, where Twente has historically performed well, particularly at home. As of the latest season data, Twente boasts a solid home record, averaging over 1.5 goals per game, while Excelsior struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game on the road. Both teams will be looking to capitalize on scoring opportunities, but Twente's more robust attack could prove decisive. Excelsior will need to tighten their defense and find a way to exploit any gaps in Twente's backline to secure points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Excelsior goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	3	1
1	14	10	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Twente goals · most likely 2–0 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Twente

W. Weghorst 4 gls

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	3.2%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
1	13.9%	10.0%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.3%	9.0%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%
3	10.3%	6.1%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	5.2%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Twente	Draw	Excelsior
Twente	46.7%	2.7%	0.5%
Draw	22.4%	14.4%	4.0%
Excelsior	2.1%	2.7%	4.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Twente vs Excelsior

1 Twente Wins

1 Draws

1 Excelsior Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Twente	0 - 0	Excelsior
30 Aug 2025	Excelsior	1 - 0	Twente
10 Feb 2024	Excelsior	0 - 3	Twente

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Twente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	H ADO Den Haag	W	2 - 0
09 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Groningen	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Cambuur	W	1 - 4

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.