AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Fortuna Sittard

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI call Fortuna Sittard or draw

30%

28%

42%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 30% chance of winning, Fortuna Sittard 42% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Fortuna Sittard

WLWWL

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar faces Fortuna Sittard. AZ has been strong at home, boasting a solid record with an average of 2.1 goals scored per match, while Fortuna Sittard tends to struggle defensively, allowing 1.8 goals per match on average. Key players to watch include AZ’s top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Fortuna’s leading playmaker, responsible for 6 assists. With AZ's superior offensive stats and overall league position, they are likely to pose a significant challenge for Fortuna in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fortuna Sittard goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	8	7	4	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

Fortuna Sittard

M. Ihattaren 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	7.7%	7.1%	3.7%	1.4%
1	6.2%	13.4%	9.1%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.9%	7.6%	5.8%	3.0%	1.2%
3	2.1%	3.2%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar	17.5%	4.5%	2.4%
Draw	11.5%	17.0%	15.0%
Fortuna Sittard	2.0%	4.6%	25.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard

2 AZ Alkmaar Wins

0 Draws

1 Fortuna Sittard Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Fortuna Sittard	0 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
04 Apr 2026	AZ Alkmaar	2 - 0	Fortuna Sittard
21 Dec 2025	Fortuna Sittard	4 - 3	AZ Alkmaar

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AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Fortuna Sittard — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Ajax	L	1 - 5
06 Sep	A ADO Den Haag	W	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Groningen	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	H AZ Alkmaar	L	0 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.