PEC Zwolle vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Groningen

Away

AI call PEC Zwolle to win or draw

75%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

PEC Zwolle vs Groningen prediction: Sportiko gives PEC Zwolle a 75% chance of winning, Groningen 4% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 20.6%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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PEC Zwolle

LLDLW

Groningen

WDDLL

Last 3 meetings PEC Zwolle · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

PEC Zwolle will face Groningen in a crucial Eredivisie clash. Zwolle has shown a strong home performance, with a solid average possession rate of 54% over the last five matches, contributing to their ability to control games. Conversely, Groningen has struggled on the road, securing only 1 point from their last 5 away fixtures, highlighting issues in both defense and attack. Key players to watch include Zwolle’s leading scorer, who has found the net multiple times this season, while Groningen will need a strong defensive display to counteract Zwolle's attacking threats. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Zwolle slightly favored based on recent form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Groningen goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	3	1
1	21	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	13	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ PEC Zwolle goals · most likely 1–0 (20.6%)

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Players in form

PEC Zwolle

No scorer data.

Groningen

T. van Bergen 4 gls

B. Willumsson 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.2%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	20.6%	7.3%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	12.8%	3.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.0%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	PEC Zwolle	Draw	Groningen
PEC Zwolle	50.1%	1.6%	0.1%
Draw	25.0%	15.7%	2.2%
Groningen	1.3%	1.7%	2.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: PEC Zwolle vs Groningen

0 PEC Zwolle Wins

2 Draws

1 Groningen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Sep 2026	Groningen	3 - 0	PEC Zwolle
13 Mar 2026	PEC Zwolle	1 - 1	Groningen
23 Nov 2025	Groningen	2 - 2	PEC Zwolle

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PEC Zwolle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Groningen	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	0 - 7
04 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H NEC Nijmegen	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Heerenveen	W	0 - 2

Groningen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Twente	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Fortuna Sittard	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A PSV Eindhoven	L	5 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.