Heerenveen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 21

31 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Ajax

Away

Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

AI call Ajax or draw

25%

27%

48%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Heerenveen vs Ajax prediction: Sportiko gives Heerenveen a 25% chance of winning, Ajax 48% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Heerenveen

WDLDL

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 3 meetings Heerenveen · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Heerenveen will face Ajax on January 31, 2027. Ajax, historically a dominant force, has shown strong form, characterized by an average of 2.5 goals per game this season. Heerenveen, while competitive, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The matchup will hinge on Ajax's ability to exploit Heerenveen's defensive vulnerabilities, while the home side will need to capitalize on any opportunities to disrupt Ajax’s rhythm. A tactical battle is expected, but Ajax's attacking prowess may prove decisive.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Heerenveen goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Heerenveen

No scorer data.

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

27%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

27%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

66% Away (No Draw) 34% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.4%	8.3%	4.7%	2.0%
1	5.3%	13.0%	9.7%	5.4%	2.3%
2	4.0%	6.7%	5.6%	3.1%	1.3%
3	1.5%	2.6%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Heerenveen	Draw	Ajax
Heerenveen	14.3%	4.4%	2.6%
Draw	9.7%	16.5%	16.6%
Ajax	1.7%	4.4%	29.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Heerenveen vs Ajax

0 Heerenveen Wins

3 Draws

0 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	Ajax	2 - 2	Heerenveen
17 May 2026	Heerenveen	0 - 0	Ajax
01 Nov 2025	Ajax	1 - 1	Heerenveen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Heerenveen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	W	0 - 4
13 Sep	H Telstar	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Willem II	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H PEC Zwolle	L	0 - 2

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.