Utrecht vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 21

31 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Excelsior

Away

Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

AI call Difficult Utrecht win or draw

55%

28%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Utrecht vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives Utrecht a 55% chance of winning, Excelsior 17% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Utrecht

LWDLD

Excelsior

DLDWW

Last 3 meetings Utrecht · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Utrecht will face Excelsior in what promises to be a competitive Eredivisie clash. Utrecht has shown strength in their home matches, boasting a solid defensive record, while Excelsior has struggled on the road with a high number of goals conceded. Key players to watch include Utrecht’s leading scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Excelsior's playmaker, who will be vital in creating opportunities. Both teams will look to gain crucial points, making this encounter critical as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Excelsior goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	5	3	1
1	13	13	5	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Utrecht goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Utrecht

Artem Stepanov 5 gls

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

28%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

28%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	5.5%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
1	12.6%	13.0%	4.7%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.6%	9.5%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
3	6.4%	5.2%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.6%	2.2%	0.9%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Utrecht	Draw	Excelsior
Utrecht	34.8%	3.7%	1.0%
Draw	19.7%	18.0%	7.3%
Excelsior	2.2%	3.8%	9.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Utrecht vs Excelsior

2 Utrecht Wins

0 Draws

1 Excelsior Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	Excelsior	1 - 2	Utrecht
26 Apr 2026	Excelsior	5 - 0	Utrecht
24 Aug 2025	Utrecht	4 - 1	Excelsior

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Utrecht — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Feyenoord	L	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Excelsior	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	3 - 3
30 Aug	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 6
22 Aug	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	3 - 3

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.