Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 21

31 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

NEC Nijmegen

Away

Euroborg, Groningen

AI call NEC Nijmegen to win or draw

24%

68%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: Sportiko gives Groningen a 8% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen 68% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 18.1%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Groningen

WDDLL

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings Groningen · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the Eredivisie clash between Groningen and NEC Nijmegen, both teams are looking to improve their standings. Groningen, currently struggling with consistency, will seek to leverage their attacking options, aiming to capitalize on NEC's defensive vulnerabilities. NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, has shown resilience in recent matches, often relying on a solid midfield to create chances. This encounter will be pivotal for both squads as they aim for crucial points in the league. Key player performances, particularly in midfield and defense, will likely determine the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NEC Nijmegen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	18	17	10	4	2
1	4	10	8	5	2	1
2	1	2	2	1
3
4
5

↑ Groningen goals · most likely 0–1 (18.1%)

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Players in form

Groningen

T. van Bergen 4 gls

B. Willumsson 4 gls

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

90% Away (No Draw) 10% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 8% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.0%	18.1%	17.0%	10.0%	4.4%
1	3.9%	10.0%	7.8%	4.6%	2.0%
2	1.2%	2.0%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%
3	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Groningen	Draw	NEC Nijmegen
Groningen	4.3%	2.5%	1.6%
Draw	3.8%	17.3%	23.3%
NEC Nijmegen	0.4%	2.4%	44.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

63%

29%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen

2 Groningen Wins

0 Draws

1 NEC Nijmegen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Groningen	2 - 1	NEC Nijmegen
09 Nov 2025	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 0	Groningen
08 Feb 2025	Groningen	2 - 1	NEC Nijmegen

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Groningen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Twente	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Fortuna Sittard	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A PSV Eindhoven	L	5 - 1

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.