Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 20

24 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Fortuna Sittard

Away

AI call Difficult Fortuna Sittard win or draw

12%

25%

63%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard prediction: Sportiko gives Excelsior a 12% chance of winning, Fortuna Sittard 63% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Excelsior

DLDWW

Fortuna Sittard

WLWWL

Last 3 meetings Excelsior · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Excelsior will face Fortuna Sittard in a crucial Eredivisie matchup. Excelsior has shown resilience at home, recording a 60% win rate in their last five home games, while Fortuna Sittard has struggled on the road with a 20% win rate in away fixtures this season. Both teams are likely to rely on their attacking units, with Excelsior averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Fortuna's 1.0. The outcome may hinge on Excelsior's ability to exploit defensive gaps in Sittard's backline, which has conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game in away matches.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fortuna Sittard goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	14	14	8	4	1
1	4	12	9	6	2	1
2	2	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Excelsior goals · most likely 0–1 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

Fortuna Sittard

M. Ihattaren 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

25%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

25%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	14.2%	14.0%	8.4%	3.8%
1	4.4%	11.6%	9.2%	5.5%	2.5%
2	1.9%	3.4%	3.1%	1.8%	0.8%
3	0.4%	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Excelsior	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior	6.5%	3.2%	2.1%
Draw	5.2%	16.7%	21.6%
Fortuna Sittard	0.7%	3.1%	40.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard

1 Excelsior Wins

0 Draws

2 Fortuna Sittard Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Feb 2026	Fortuna Sittard	2 - 1	Excelsior
19 Oct 2025	Excelsior	1 - 0	Fortuna Sittard
03 Mar 2024	Fortuna Sittard	5 - 2	Excelsior

See all 8 meetings — Premium

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Fortuna Sittard — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Ajax	L	1 - 5
06 Sep	A ADO Den Haag	W	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Groningen	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	H AZ Alkmaar	L	0 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.