Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19

17 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

NEC Nijmegen

Away

AI call Difficult Telstar win or draw

63%

24%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: Sportiko gives Telstar a 63% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen 13% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Telstar

LDLDL

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings Telstar · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Telstar faces NEC Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash that promises to be competitive. Telstar has struggled for consistency this season, highlighted by a defensive record that has seen them concede more than 40 goals. In contrast, NEC Nijmegen has demonstrated a stronger attacking presence, averaging over 1.5 goals per match. The matchup may hinge on Telstar's ability to tighten their defense against NEC's forward momentum. Both teams will be keen for points as they navigate the middle of the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NEC Nijmegen goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	11	4	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	8	6	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Telstar goals · most likely 2–0 (12.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

24%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	3.8%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
1	11.5%	11.3%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.6%	9.8%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
3	8.3%	6.5%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%
4	4.1%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Telstar	Draw	NEC Nijmegen
Telstar	41.9%	3.4%	0.8%
Draw	20.7%	14.9%	5.5%
NEC Nijmegen	2.5%	3.3%	7.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen

1 Telstar Wins

2 Draws

0 NEC Nijmegen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Aug 2026	NEC Nijmegen	1 - 2	Telstar
02 May 2026	NEC Nijmegen	1 - 1	Telstar
13 Dec 2025	Telstar	2 - 2	NEC Nijmegen

Telstar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AZ Alkmaar	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	A Heerenveen	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	A Twente	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Cambuur	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H Ajax	L	0 - 4

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.