Ajax vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19
17 Jan 2027, 16:00
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Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
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At a glance

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Ajax
WWWWW
Groningen
LLDLW
Last 3 meetings Ajax · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Ajax enters this Eredivisie match against Groningen with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season. Their possession-based style has led to a high pass completion rate of 85%, indicating effective ball control. Groningen, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The tactical battle will likely hinge on Ajax's ability to exploit Groningen's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own defensive solidity. Expect Ajax to dominate possession and create multiple scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
83%
45%
Draw
14%
45%
Away
3%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Ajax
J. Brandt 6 gls
T. Arokodare 6 gls
Groningen
B. Willumsson 8 gls
T. van Bergen 7 gls

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Head to Head: Ajax vs Groningen

2 Ajax Wins
0 Draws
1 Groningen Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Oct 2026 Groningen 2 - 5 Ajax
07 Mar 2026 Groningen 3 - 1 Ajax
02 Dec 2025 Ajax 2 - 0 Groningen
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Ajax — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Twente W 0 - 1
05 Nov A FC Midtjylland W 1 - 6
31 Oct H AZ Alkmaar W 1 - 0
25 Oct A Sparta Rotterdam W 1 - 2
22 Oct H Atalanta W 2 - 0

Groningen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov H Sparta Rotterdam L 2 - 3
29 Oct H Emmen L 0 - 2
25 Oct A NEC Nijmegen D 2 - 2
18 Oct H Ajax L 2 - 5
11 Oct A Excelsior W 1 - 5

Eredivisie Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Feyenoord
11 7 4 0 +21 25
2
Ajax
11 7 3 1 +17 24
3
PSV Eindhoven
11 7 2 2 +22 23
4
Twente
11 7 2 2 +18 23
5
AZ Alkmaar
11 6 2 3 +7 20
6
Fortuna Sittard
12 5 5 2 0 20
7
Heerenveen
11 5 3 3 +6 18
8
GO Ahead Eagles
12 4 5 3 -3 17
9
Groningen
11 4 3 4 +2 15
10
Cambuur
11 4 3 4 +1 15
11
Utrecht
11 3 3 5 -12 12
12
Sparta Rotterdam
12 3 3 6 -8 12
13
PEC Zwolle
12 3 3 6 -11 12
14
NEC Nijmegen
11 2 5 4 -2 11
15
Excelsior
12 3 2 7 -13 11
16
Telstar
12 2 4 6 -7 10
17
ADO Den Haag
12 2 3 7 -9 9
18
Willem II
12 0 3 9 -29 3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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