AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

09 Jan 2027, 20:00

Post on X

Heerenveen

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI call AZ Alkmaar or draw

38%

28%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 38% chance of winning, Heerenveen 34% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Heerenveen

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie match, AZ Alkmaar will face Heerenveen. AZ has shown strong form this season, currently ranking higher in the league and boasting a solid home record, averaging 2.2 goals per game at home. Heerenveen, while competitive, has struggled defensively, allowing 1.8 goals per game away. The matchup will likely hinge on AZ's ability to exploit Heerenveen's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own defensive solidity. Overall, AZ's offensive prowess gives them an edge in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Heerenveen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	3	1
1	6	13	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

Heerenveen

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

34%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

34%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	6.0%	5.4%	2.6%	0.9%
1	6.4%	12.9%	8.2%	3.9%	1.4%
2	6.1%	8.7%	6.3%	3.0%	1.1%
3	3.1%	4.5%	3.2%	1.5%	0.6%
4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar	23.1%	4.7%	2.2%
Draw	13.7%	16.2%	12.5%
Heerenveen	2.4%	4.7%	20.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen

2 AZ Alkmaar Wins

0 Draws

1 Heerenveen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Sep 2026	Heerenveen	2 - 3	AZ Alkmaar
12 Apr 2026	AZ Alkmaar	3 - 0	Heerenveen
23 Nov 2025	Heerenveen	3 - 1	AZ Alkmaar

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AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Heerenveen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	W	0 - 4
13 Sep	H Telstar	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Willem II	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H PEC Zwolle	L	0 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.