NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 17

20 Dec 2026, 16:00

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ADO Den Haag

Away

Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

AI call Difficult NEC Nijmegen win or draw

58%

25%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag prediction: Sportiko gives NEC Nijmegen a 58% chance of winning, ADO Den Haag 17% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

ADO Den Haag

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings NEC Nijmegen · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

NEC Nijmegen faces ADO Den Haag in an Eredivisie clash on December 20, 2026. NEC has demonstrated a strong home record, capitalizing on their familiarity with the pitch and local conditions. Conversely, ADO Den Haag struggles on the road, with a history of inconsistent performances away from home. Key players to watch include NEC's attacking threats and ADO's defensive organization, which will be crucial in containing the opposition's offensive play. Given their current form, NEC might have the upper hand in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ADO Den Haag goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	3	1
1	10	12	5	2
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ NEC Nijmegen goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	4.3%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.0%	12.1%	5.0%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.7%	10.0%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	6.7%	6.3%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.1%	3.0%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	NEC Nijmegen	Draw	ADO Den Haag
NEC Nijmegen	37.4%	3.9%	1.2%
Draw	19.1%	15.5%	7.0%
ADO Den Haag	2.6%	3.8%	9.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag

1 NEC Nijmegen Wins

0 Draws

2 ADO Den Haag Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Mar 2017	ADO Den Haag	1 - 0	NEC Nijmegen
10 Dec 2016	NEC Nijmegen	3 - 0	ADO Den Haag
20 Mar 2016	ADO Den Haag	1 - 0	NEC Nijmegen

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NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

ADO Den Haag — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Cambuur	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Twente	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Fortuna Sittard	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Feyenoord	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	A GO Ahead Eagles	L	3 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.