AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 16

13 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

NEC Nijmegen

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI call AZ Alkmaar or draw

43%

28%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 43% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen 29% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium picks

Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — the AI's sharpest picks across all 70+ markets are Premium.

76% 72%

See Premium picks

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Already have an account? Log in

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar will host NEC Nijmegen. AZ has shown strong form at home, boasting a solid offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season. NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. The matchup will likely hinge on AZ's ability to exploit defensive lapses from NEC, while the visitors will need to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities. Overall, AZ enters the match as the favorite based on current form and scoring capabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NEC Nijmegen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	5.9%	4.7%	2.0%	0.7%
1	7.6%	13.2%	7.5%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.2%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.8%	4.9%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar	26.1%	4.5%	1.9%
Draw	15.3%	16.7%	11.1%
NEC Nijmegen	2.5%	4.6%	17.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen

0 AZ Alkmaar Wins

1 Draws

2 NEC Nijmegen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 3	NEC Nijmegen
28 Sep 2025	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
29 Mar 2025	NEC Nijmegen	3 - 3	AZ Alkmaar

See all 10 meetings — Premium

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.