PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 16

13 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Excelsior

Away

AI call PEC Zwolle to win or draw

74%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives PEC Zwolle a 74% chance of winning, Excelsior 6% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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74% 72%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.8%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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PEC Zwolle

LLDLW

Excelsior

DLDWW

Last 3 meetings PEC Zwolle · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

PEC Zwolle faces Excelsior in a key Eredivisie matchup. Zwolle has struggled at times this season, with a current record showing a mix of wins, draws, and losses, while Excelsior has been slightly more consistent, sitting mid-table. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, with Zwolle conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match and Excelsior not far behind. The outcome may hinge on Zwolle's ability to exploit Excelsior's defensive frailties and their own need for improved offensive output to secure vital points. Key players to watch include Zwolle's leading scorer and Excelsior's playmaker, who can dictate the tempo of the game.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Excelsior goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	3	1
1	16	9	2
2	18	8	2
3	12	5	1
4	6	3	1
5	3	1

↑ PEC Zwolle goals · most likely 2–0 (17.8%)

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Players in form

PEC Zwolle

No scorer data.

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	2.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
1	16.2%	8.5%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%
2	17.8%	7.8%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
3	12.3%	5.4%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	6.3%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	PEC Zwolle	Draw	Excelsior
PEC Zwolle	50.5%	2.1%	0.3%
Draw	23.6%	13.8%	2.8%
Excelsior	1.8%	2.1%	3.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

64%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior

1 PEC Zwolle Wins

1 Draws

1 Excelsior Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	PEC Zwolle	2 - 2	Excelsior
20 Dec 2025	Excelsior	2 - 1	PEC Zwolle
06 Apr 2024	PEC Zwolle	2 - 1	Excelsior

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PEC Zwolle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Groningen	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	0 - 7
04 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H NEC Nijmegen	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Heerenveen	W	0 - 2

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.