Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 15

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

NEC Nijmegen

Away

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

AI call Difficult NEC Nijmegen win or draw

16%

30%

54%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: Sportiko gives Sparta Rotterdam a 16% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen 54% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 15.8%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Sparta Rotterdam

LLDLD

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings Sparta Rotterdam · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Sparta Rotterdam faces NEC Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash on December 6, 2026. Sparta has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season while maintaining a defensive solidity with a goals-against average of 1.0. NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, struggles on the road, securing only 1.0 points per away match on average. The matchup will likely hinge on Sparta's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities against NEC's defense, which has conceded 1.6 goals per away game. Expect a competitive encounter, with Sparta aiming to leverage their offensive capabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

16%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

54%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NEC Nijmegen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	16	13	6	2	1
1	7	13	9	4	1
2	3	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Sparta Rotterdam goals · most likely 0–1 (15.8%)

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Players in form

Sparta Rotterdam

M. Zonneveld 4 gls

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

30%

Home Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

30%

Home Win

16%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 16% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.5%	15.8%	12.5%	6.1%	2.2%
1	6.6%	13.3%	8.5%	4.1%	1.5%
2	2.8%	4.0%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%
3	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam	8.7%	3.4%	1.8%
Draw	7.3%	21.0%	20.2%
NEC Nijmegen	0.8%	3.5%	33.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

51%

34%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen

1 Sparta Rotterdam Wins

1 Draws

1 NEC Nijmegen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Feb 2026	Sparta Rotterdam	1 - 1	NEC Nijmegen
29 Nov 2025	NEC Nijmegen	3 - 1	Sparta Rotterdam
06 Apr 2025	Sparta Rotterdam	2 - 0	NEC Nijmegen

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Sparta Rotterdam — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heerenveen	L	0 - 4
13 Sep	A PSV Eindhoven	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Excelsior	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Utrecht	D	3 - 3

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.