Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 15

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

PEC Zwolle

Away

Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard

AI call Fortuna Sittard or draw

44%

32%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle prediction: Sportiko gives Fortuna Sittard a 44% chance of winning, PEC Zwolle 23% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Fortuna Sittard

WLWWL

PEC Zwolle

LLDLW

Last 3 meetings Fortuna Sittard · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Fortuna Sittard and PEC Zwolle are set to clash in a key Eredivisie matchup. Fortuna has shown a tendency to control possession, averaging 54% in recent matches, while PEC Zwolle has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game this season. The outcome may hinge on Fortuna's ability to capitalize on set pieces, as they rank in the upper half for goals scored from dead-ball situations. Conversely, Zwolle needs to improve their conversion rate in front of goal, averaging just 1 goal per match. This encounter promises to be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

23%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

PEC Zwolle goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	10	8	4	1
3	4	4	2
4	1	1
5

↑ Fortuna Sittard goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Fortuna Sittard

M. Ihattaren 3 gls

PEC Zwolle

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

32%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

32%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.5%	8.5%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
1	13.4%	14.7%	5.6%	1.6%	0.3%
2	9.7%	8.3%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.1%	3.5%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fortuna Sittard	Draw	PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard	26.8%	4.0%	1.1%
Draw	17.2%	22.0%	10.0%
PEC Zwolle	1.7%	4.0%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle

1 Fortuna Sittard Wins

0 Draws

2 PEC Zwolle Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Fortuna Sittard	3 - 2	PEC Zwolle
13 Dec 2025	PEC Zwolle	1 - 0	Fortuna Sittard
26 Jan 2025	Fortuna Sittard	1 - 4	PEC Zwolle

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Fortuna Sittard — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Ajax	L	1 - 5
06 Sep	A ADO Den Haag	W	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Groningen	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	H AZ Alkmaar	L	0 - 2

PEC Zwolle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Groningen	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	0 - 7
04 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H NEC Nijmegen	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Heerenveen	W	0 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.