Feyenoord vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 14

29 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Ajax

Away

AI call Ajax or draw

31%

27%

41%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Feyenoord vs Ajax prediction: Sportiko gives Feyenoord a 31% chance of winning, Ajax 41% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Feyenoord

WWLWD

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 3 meetings Feyenoord · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash between Feyenoord and Ajax, both teams will be looking to assert their dominance in this high-stakes rivalry. Feyenoord currently boasts a strong home record, while Ajax has been formidable in attack, ranking among the league leaders in goals scored. Key players to watch include Feyenoord’s talismanic forward, who has been in excellent form, and Ajax’s creative midfielders, who excel in playmaking. The match promises to be a tactical battle, with both sides needing to mitigate defensive lapses to secure crucial points. Overall, expect a closely contested encounter that could have significant implications for the title race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

41%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	7	7	4	1
1	5	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	4	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Feyenoord goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

Feyenoord

G. Zechiël 5 gls

A. Hadj-Moussa 5 gls

L. Valente 4 gls

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

31%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

82%

43%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

31%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

57% Away (No Draw) 43% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

82%

43%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	6.6%	6.5%	3.5%	1.4%
1	5.5%	12.7%	9.1%	4.9%	2.0%
2	4.8%	7.8%	6.3%	3.4%	1.4%
3	2.2%	3.6%	2.9%	1.6%	0.6%
4	0.8%	1.3%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Feyenoord	Draw	Ajax
Feyenoord	18.7%	4.7%	2.6%
Draw	11.5%	15.9%	14.6%
Ajax	2.1%	4.6%	25.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Feyenoord vs Ajax

0 Feyenoord Wins

1 Draws

2 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Feyenoord	1 - 1	Ajax
14 Dec 2025	Ajax	2 - 0	Feyenoord
02 Feb 2025	Ajax	2 - 1	Feyenoord

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Feyenoord — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Utrecht	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A PEC Zwolle	W	0 - 7
09 Sep	A Barcelona	L	5 - 1
05 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	W	1 - 3
30 Aug	H ADO Den Haag	D	2 - 2

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.