Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 13

22 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

AZ Alkmaar

Away

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

AI call Difficult AZ Alkmaar win or draw

18%

28%

54%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: Sportiko gives Sparta Rotterdam a 18% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar 54% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Sparta Rotterdam

LLDLD

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Last 3 meetings Sparta Rotterdam · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Sparta Rotterdam will face AZ Alkmaar in a crucial Eredivisie matchup on November 22, 2026. Sparta currently boasts a solid home record, with a strong defensive line that has conceded just 1.2 goals per match on average this season. In contrast, AZ Alkmaar has shown offensive prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match, driven by their high pressing and quick transitions. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where both teams will vie for control to dictate the pace. This match could be pivotal for both teams’ aspirations in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AZ Alkmaar goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	12	11	6	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Sparta Rotterdam goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Players in form

Sparta Rotterdam

M. Zonneveld 4 gls

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

28%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

28%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

74% Away (No Draw) 26% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	12.1%	11.1%	6.0%	2.4%
1	5.7%	13.3%	9.5%	5.1%	2.1%
2	3.1%	5.1%	4.1%	2.2%	0.9%
3	0.9%	1.5%	1.2%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam	10.4%	3.9%	2.2%
Draw	7.7%	18.2%	19.1%
AZ Alkmaar	1.1%	3.8%	33.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar

1 Sparta Rotterdam Wins

0 Draws

2 AZ Alkmaar Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Feb 2026	AZ Alkmaar	3 - 1	Sparta Rotterdam
02 Nov 2025	Sparta Rotterdam	0 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
26 Jan 2025	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 2	Sparta Rotterdam

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Sparta Rotterdam — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heerenveen	L	0 - 4
13 Sep	A PSV Eindhoven	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Excelsior	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Utrecht	D	3 - 3

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.