Groningen vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 13

22 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Heerenveen

Away

Euroborg, Groningen

AI call Heerenveen to win or draw

20%

75%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Groningen vs Heerenveen prediction: Sportiko gives Groningen a 5% chance of winning, Heerenveen 75% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 19.2%

Both teams to score

27%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Groningen

WDDLL

Heerenveen

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings Groningen · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Groningen faces Heerenveen in a crucial Eredivisie clash, with both teams vying for valuable points. Groningen has shown a stronger defensive record this season, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Heerenveen's attack has been inconsistent, scoring only 1.1 goals per game. The match will be pivotal for both sides, as Groningen aims to solidify its mid-table position, while Heerenveen seeks to escape the relegation zone. Key players to watch include Groningen's top scorer, who has netted 7 goals this season, and Heerenveen's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. Expect a tightly contested encounter with potential playoff implications.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

75%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Heerenveen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	19	19	12	6	2
1	3	8	7	4	2	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Groningen goals · most likely 0–2 (19.2%)

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Players in form

Groningen

T. van Bergen 4 gls

B. Willumsson 4 gls

Heerenveen

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Away Win

75%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

75%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Away Scores More 20% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	18.7%	19.2%	12.5%	6.1%
1	2.7%	8.0%	6.9%	4.5%	2.2%
2	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%
3	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

23%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Groningen	Draw	Heerenveen
Groningen	2.7%	1.9%	1.4%
Draw	2.6%	15.1%	24.2%
Heerenveen	0.2%	1.9%	50.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

70%

25%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Groningen vs Heerenveen

3 Groningen Wins

0 Draws

0 Heerenveen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Heerenveen	0 - 2	Groningen
16 Aug 2025	Groningen	2 - 1	Heerenveen
25 Jan 2025	Groningen	1 - 0	Heerenveen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Groningen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Twente	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Fortuna Sittard	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A PSV Eindhoven	L	5 - 1

Heerenveen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	W	0 - 4
13 Sep	H Telstar	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Willem II	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H PEC Zwolle	L	0 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.