AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 12

08 Nov 2026, 15:45

Post on X

Groningen

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI call AZ Alkmaar to win or draw

77%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 77% chance of winning, Groningen 5% and the draw 18%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 18.1%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Groningen

WDDLL

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar will host Groningen on November 8, 2026. AZ Alkmaar has shown strong form this season, currently sitting in the upper half of the league table, benefiting from a solid attack averaging 2 goals per match. Conversely, Groningen has struggled, featuring a defense that has conceded an average of 2.5 goals per game. Given AZ's superior goal difference and overall performance metrics, they will be favored to secure a win in this encounter. However, Groningen could pose a challenge if they capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Groningen goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2	1
1	16	8	1
2	18	8	2
3	13	6	1
4	7	3	1
5	3	1

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 2–0 (18.1%)

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

Groningen

T. van Bergen 4 gls

B. Willumsson 4 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	2.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	15.7%	7.9%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.1%	7.6%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.1%	5.5%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.2%	3.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Groningen
AZ Alkmaar	52.9%	1.9%	0.3%
Draw	23.6%	12.7%	2.4%
Groningen	1.7%	2.0%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

66%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen

2 AZ Alkmaar Wins

0 Draws

1 Groningen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Groningen	3 - 0	AZ Alkmaar
10 Aug 2025	AZ Alkmaar	4 - 1	Groningen
11 May 2025	AZ Alkmaar	3 - 0	Groningen

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AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Groningen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Twente	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Fortuna Sittard	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A PSV Eindhoven	L	5 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.