Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction
FT
Euroborg, Groningen
AI call
Difficult Groningen win or draw
53%
24%
23%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction: Sportiko gives Groningen a 53% chance of winning, Sparta Rotterdam 23% and the draw 24%. Last updated 1 Nov 2026, 17:38.
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- Away to Score 73%
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Timeline
Jacob Ondrejka
assist: Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
1'
⚽
1–0
Tika de Jonge
Yellow Card
5'
▮
⚽
1–1
15'
Cedric Hatenboer
assist: Marvin Young
⚽
1–2
25'
Milan Zonneveld
Thom van Bergen
assist: Hans Hateboer
29'
⚽
2–2
▮
36'
Bruno Martins Indi
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
Nick Verschuren
⇄ Teo Quintero
HT 2–2
⇄
55'
Jens Toornstra
⇄ Robin van Cruijsen
▮
61'
Lushendry Edward Martes
Yellow Card
⇄
71'
Milan Zonneveld
⇄
71'
I. Babadi
⇄ Shunsuke Mito
▮
75'
Cedric Hatenboer
Yellow Card
Thom van Bergen
⇄ Tygo Land
75'
⇄
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
⇄ Jismerai Dillema
83'
⇄
Jacob Ondrejka
⇄ Nils Eggens
83'
⇄
Jorg Schreuders
⇄ Wouter Prins
83'
⇄
⚽
2–3
85'
Marco Rente
⇄ Oskar Zawada
87'
⇄
⇄
87'
Mitchell van Bergen
⇄ Giannino Vianello
FT 2–3
Groningen
Match Stats
Sparta Rotterdam
59%
Ball Possession
41%
2.18
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
20
Total Shots
8
10
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots off Goal
2
3
Blocked Shots
2
14
Shots insidebox
6
6
Shots outsidebox
2
2
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
3
8
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
8
497
Total passes
338
415
Passes accurate
263
14
Free Kicks
8
Groningen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jacob Ondrejka F | 8.2 | 83' | 1 | – | 5 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 26 Thom van Bergen M | 7.7 | 75' | 1 | – | 5 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 9 Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson F | 7.2 | 83' | – | 1 | 3 | 27 (23%) | 1 |
| 24 Pelle Clement M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (49%) | 3 |
| 33 Hans Hateboer D | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 41 (34%) | 1 |
| 8 Tika de Jonge M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 58 (53%) | 2 |
| 14 Jorg Schreuders F | 6.6 | 83' | – | – | 2 | 48 (44%) | 2 |
| 3 Thijmen Blokzijl D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (57%) | 3 |
| 19 Oskar Zawada F | 6.4 | 3' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 20 Nils Eggens F | 6.3 | 7' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 4 Márk Csinger D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (30%) | 2 |
| 5 Marco Rente D | 6.1 | 87' | – | – | – | 64 (53%) | 1 |
| 18 Tygo Land M | 5.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 2 Wouter Prins D | 5.9 | 7' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 1 Etienne Vaessen G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (29%) | – |
| 44 Jismerai Dillema M | 5.7 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
Sparta Rotterdam
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Milan Zonneveld F | 8.0 | 71' | 1 | – | 4 | 8 (6%) | – |
| Seamus Maughan | 7.6 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (1%) | – |
| 1 Michael Brouwer G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (11%) | 1 |
| 3 Marvin Young D | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 51 (46%) | 1 |
| 14 Teo Quintero D | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | – | 27 (27%) | 2 |
| 8 Cedric Hatenboer M | 6.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (19%) | – |
| 21 Shunsuke Mito F | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 5 Bas Kuipers D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | – |
| 7 Mitchell van Bergen M | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 11 I. Babadi M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | – |
| 6 Nick Verschuren D | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 4 Bruno Martins Indi D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (37%) | 1 |
| 10 Jens Toornstra M | 6.1 | 55' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
| 18 Robin van Cruijsen M | 6.0 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 2 Lushendry Edward Martes D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 3 |
| 15 Giannino Vianello D | 5.7 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Medium (53%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Groningen win or draw
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Groningen
LLDLW
Sparta Rotterdam
LWDLW
Last 3 meetings
Groningen · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
In the Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam, both teams will be looking for crucial points as the season progresses. Groningen has struggled for consistency, currently sitting in the lower half of the table, while Sparta Rotterdam is slightly better positioned, having shown resilience in their recent matches. Key players to watch include Groningen’s attacking force, which has been inconsistent, and Sparta’s solid defense that has kept them competitive in tough fixtures. This matchup could hinge on Groningen's ability to convert chances, as Sparta looks to capitalize on any defensive lapses.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
23%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Groningen
B. Willumsson
8 gls
T. van Bergen
7 gls
Sparta Rotterdam
M. Zonneveld
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam
0
Groningen Wins
0
Draws
3
Sparta Rotterdam Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 - 0 | Groningen |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Groningen | 0 - 2 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 0 | Groningen |
Groningen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | H Sparta Rotterdam | L | 2 - 3 |
| 29 Oct | H Emmen | L | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A NEC Nijmegen | D | 2 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H Ajax | L | 2 - 5 |
| 11 Oct | A Excelsior | W | 1 - 5 |
Sparta Rotterdam — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A ADO Den Haag | L | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Groningen | W | 2 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | H Fortuna Sittard | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Ajax | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Willem II | W | 3 - 2 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 23 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Cambuur
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 |
Groningen
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: D. Lukkien
1
Vaessen
4
Csinger
5
Rente
3
Blokzijl
33
Hateboer
24
Clement
26
Bergen
8
Jonge
11
Ondrejka
9
Willumsson
14
Schreuders
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Vaessen | G |
| 33 | H. Hateboer | D |
| 3 | T. Blokzijl | D |
| 5 | M. Rente | D |
| 4 | M. Csinger | D |
| 8 | T. de Jonge | M |
| 26 | T. van Bergen | M |
| 24 | P. Clement | M |
| 14 | J. Schreuders | F |
| 9 | B. Willumsson | F |
| 11 | J. Ondrejka | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | M. Brandis | D |
| 44 | Besnik Mashuku | M |
| 20 | Nils Eggens | F |
| 53 | J. Hall | M |
| 18 | T. Land | M |
| 29 | Tyrique Mercera | D |
| 42 | J. Mosselaar | D |
| 16 | A. Nordin | M |
| 2 | Wouter Prins | D |
| 19 | O. Zawada | F |
| 13 | L. Štubljar | G |
| 30 | P. Boevink | G |
Sparta Rotterdam
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: R. Meijer
1
Brouwer
5
Kuipers
4
Indi
6
Verschuren
3
Young
2
Martes
11
Babadi
8
Hatenboer
10
Toornstra
7
Bergen
9
Zonneveld
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Brouwer | G |
| 2 | L. Martes | D |
| 3 | M. Young | D |
| 6 | N. Verschuren | D |
| 4 | B. Martins Indi | D |
| 5 | B. Kuipers | D |
| 7 | M. van Bergen | M |
| 10 | J. Toornstra | M |
| 8 | Cedric Hatenboer | M |
| 11 | I. Babadi | M |
| 9 | M. Zonneveld | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | F. Bednarek | G |
| 13 | J. Baas | M |
| 22 | Joel Ideho | F |
| 19 | Andrej Kostić | F |
| 30 | P. Kuiper | G |
| 21 | S. Mito | F |
| 14 | Teo Quintero | D |
| 12 | B. Reith | D |
| 16 | A. Roaldsøy | M |
| 17 | C. Terho | F |
| 18 | Robin van Cruijsen | M |
| 15 | G. Vianello | D |