Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
FT
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
AI call
Difficult Ajax win or draw
51%
24%
25%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: Sportiko gives Ajax a 51% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar 25% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Oct 2026, 21:57.
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Timeline
Tolu Arokodare
assist: Abdellah Ouazane
9'
⚽
1–0
▮
26'
Weslley Patati
Yellow Card
Abdellah Ouazane
Yellow Card
30'
▮
Julian Brandt
⇄ Oscar Gloukh
38'
⇄
▮
44'
Mees de Wit
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
Wouter Goes
⇄ Wesley Hoedt
HT 1–0
Abdellah Ouazane
⇄ Marcos Leonardo
60'
⇄
Davy Klaassen
⇄ Yves Bissouma
60'
⇄
⇄
60'
Valdemar Byskov
⇄ Calvin Stengs
Tolu Arokodare
⇄ Steven Berghuis
74'
⇄
Jorthy Mokio
⇄ Daley Blind
74'
⇄
⇄
78'
Mees de Wit
⇄ Mateo Chávez
⇄
78'
Elijah Dijkstra
⇄ Denso Kasius
⇄
85'
Lewis Schouten
⇄ Bendegúz Kovács
FT 1–0
Ajax
Match Stats
AZ Alkmaar
48%
Ball Possession
52%
0.7
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
9
Total Shots
18
2
Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots off Goal
7
1
Blocked Shots
6
7
Shots insidebox
10
2
Shots outsidebox
7
1
Corner Kicks
8
0
Offsides
4
12
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1
482
Total passes
502
419
Passes accurate
451
11
Free Kicks
12
Ajax
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Marc-André Ter Stegen G | 8.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (30%) | – |
| 99 Tolu Arokodare F | 8.2 | 74' | 1 | – | 2 | 15 (10%) | – |
| 15 Youri Baas D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 83 (77%) | 2 |
| 5 Owen Wijndal D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (36%) | 3 |
| 8 Julian Brandt M | 7.1 | 38' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | – |
| 4 Sofyan Amrabat M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (64%) | 2 |
| 68 Abdellah Ouazane F | 6.9 | 60' | – | 1 | 2 | 30 (22%) | – |
| 30 Aaron Bouwman D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (44%) | 1 |
| 23 Steven Berghuis F | 6.8 | 16' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 2 Lucas Rosa D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (31%) | 3 |
| 10 Oscar Gloukh M | 6.7 | 52' | – | – | 2 | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 18 Davy Klaassen F | 6.6 | 60' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 28 Yves Bissouma M | 6.6 | 30' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 17 Daley Blind D | 6.5 | 16' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 38 Marcos Leonardo F | 6.5 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 24 Jorthy Mokio M | 6.4 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | – |
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dave Kwakman M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 58 (54%) | 1 |
| 29 Wesley Hoedt D | 7.0 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | 2 |
| 6 Peer Koopmeiners M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 62 (56%) | 2 |
| 14 Calvin Stengs M | 6.9 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 22 Elijah Dijkstra D | 6.8 | 78' | – | – | – | 33 (32%) | 2 |
| 28 Jari De Busser G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | – |
| 3 Wouter Goes D | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 59 (54%) | 1 |
| 7 Weslley Patati M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 25 (22%) | 2 |
| 5 Mateo Chávez D | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 9 Mexx Meerdink F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 10 (6%) | 2 |
| 4 Lewis Schouten D | 6.5 | 85' | – | – | – | 71 (66%) | 2 |
| 34 Mees de Wit D | 6.4 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 44 (41%) | 2 |
| 17 Valdemar Byskov M | 6.4 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 18 Bendegúz Kovács F | 6.3 | 5' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 11 Ro-Zangelo Daal M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 33 (28%) | 2 |
| 30 Denso Kasius D | 6.1 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (51%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Ajax win or draw
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Ajax
WWWWW
AZ Alkmaar
LLLWD
Last 3 meetings
Ajax · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
Ajax faces AZ Alkmaar in a crucial Eredivisie clash. Ajax has shown a strong offensive line, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season, while maintaining a solid defensive record with only 1.2 goals conceded per game. AZ Alkmaar, on the other hand, has been resilient, with a midfield that controls possession well, averaging 55% in their last five matches. The matchup will likely hinge on Ajax's ability to break down AZ's defense, which has been consistent but occasionally vulnerable against top-tier teams. Expect a tactical battle with potential for high-scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Ajax
J. Brandt
6 gls
T. Arokodare
6 gls
AZ Alkmaar
R. Daal
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
0
Ajax Wins
2
Draws
1
AZ Alkmaar Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 1 | Ajax |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ajax | 0 - 2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Ajax | 2 - 2 | AZ Alkmaar |
Ajax — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Twente | W | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Nov | A FC Midtjylland | W | 1 - 6 |
| 31 Oct | H AZ Alkmaar | W | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Sparta Rotterdam | W | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | H Atalanta | W | 2 - 0 |
AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Juventus | L | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Ajax | L | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Twente | L | 0 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Ararat-Armenia | W | 0 - 4 |
| 18 Oct | A Cambuur | D | 2 - 2 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 23 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Cambuur
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 |
Ajax
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Míchel
1
Stegen
5
Wijndal
15
Baas
30
Bouwman
2
Rosa
8
Brandt
4
Amrabat
24
Mokio
68
Ouazane
99
Arokodare
18
Klaassen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. ter Stegen | G |
| 2 | Lucas Rosa | D |
| 30 | A. Bouwman | D |
| 15 | Y. Baas | D |
| 5 | O. Wijndal | D |
| 24 | J. Mokio | M |
| 4 | S. Amrabat | M |
| 8 | J. Brandt | M |
| 18 | D. Klaassen | F |
| 99 | T. Arokodare | F |
| 68 | A. Ouazane | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | S. Berghuis | F |
| 6 | T. Kehrer | D |
| 67 | Mohamed Abdalla | M |
| 28 | Y. Bissouma | M |
| 17 | D. Blind | D |
| 43 | Rayane Bounida | F |
| 10 | O. Gloukh | M |
| 36 | D. Janse | D |
| 26 | M. Paes | G |
| 49 | D. Pugno | F |
| 38 | Marcos Leonardo | F |
| 21 | Jofre Torrents | D |
AZ Alkmaar
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: L. Echteld
28
Busser
34
Wit
4
Schouten
3
Goes
22
Dijkstra
21
Kwakman
6
Koopmeiners
11
Daal
17
Byskov
7
Patati
9
Meerdink
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | J. De Busser | G |
| 22 | E. Dijkstra | D |
| 3 | W. Goes | D |
| 4 | L. Schouten | D |
| 34 | M. de Wit | D |
| 6 | P. Koopmeiners | M |
| 21 | D. Kwakman | M |
| 7 | Weslley Patati | M |
| 17 | V. Byskov | M |
| 11 | R. Daal | M |
| 9 | M. Meerdink | F |
Substitutes
| 54 | Jerolldino Bergraaf | F |
| 27 | Wassim bouziane | F |
| 5 | M. Chávez | D |
| 8 | J. Clasie | M |
| 29 | W. Hoedt | D |
| 30 | D. Kasius | D |
| 18 | B. Kovacs | F |
| 2 | S. Maikuma | D |
| 20 | A. Natali | D |
| 1 | R. Owusu-Oduro | G |
| 14 | C. Stengs | M |
| 75 | H. de Wit | M |