AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10

25 Oct 2026, 19:00

Post on X

Twente

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI call Twente or draw

32%

28%

40%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 32% chance of winning, Twente 40% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Twente

WWWDW

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar will face Twente. AZ has been strong at home, boasting a solid win rate and a robust defensive record this season, conceding an average of less than one goal per match. Twente, on the other hand, has shown inconsistent form away, leading to a lower points haul on the road. Key players to watch include AZ's prolific striker, who has a high goal conversion rate, and Twente's midfield playmaker, known for his creativity and assists. This match could hinge on AZ's ability to exploit Twente's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

40%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Twente goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	7	7	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	4	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

Twente

W. Weghorst 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	7.0%	6.5%	3.3%	1.3%
1	6.0%	13.1%	8.9%	4.6%	1.8%
2	5.2%	7.9%	6.1%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.4%	3.6%	2.8%	1.4%	0.6%
4	0.8%	1.2%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Twente
AZ Alkmaar	19.3%	4.7%	2.5%
Draw	11.9%	16.5%	14.4%
Twente	2.1%	4.6%	24.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs Twente

1 AZ Alkmaar Wins

1 Draws

1 Twente Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	AZ Alkmaar	2 - 2	Twente
30 Nov 2025	Twente	1 - 0	AZ Alkmaar
25 May 2025	AZ Alkmaar	3 - 2	Twente

See all 10 meetings — Premium

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Twente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	H ADO Den Haag	W	2 - 0
09 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Groningen	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Cambuur	W	1 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.