Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10

25 Oct 2026, 15:45

Post on X

Ajax

Away

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

AI call Ajax to win or draw

18%

78%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction: Sportiko gives Sparta Rotterdam a 4% chance of winning, Ajax 78% and the draw 18%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 20%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Sparta Rotterdam

LLDLD

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 3 meetings Sparta Rotterdam · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Sparta Rotterdam faces Ajax in a crucial Eredivisie clash. Sparta currently sits mid-table, showcasing a solid defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. Ajax, on the other hand, is in pursuit of the title, boasting the league's highest scoring rate at 2.5 goals per game. Historically, Ajax has dominated this matchup, but Sparta's disciplined defense could pose challenges. The key will be whether Sparta can withstand Ajax's attacking prowess while taking advantage of any defensive lapses from the visitors.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	19	20	14	7	3
1	2	7	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Sparta Rotterdam goals · most likely 0–2 (20.0%)

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Players in form

Sparta Rotterdam

M. Zonneveld 4 gls

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

78%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

78%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

95% Away (No Draw) 5% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Away Scores More 18% Equal Goals 4% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	18.5%	20.0%	13.8%	7.2%
1	2.2%	7.0%	6.4%	4.4%	2.3%
2	0.5%	1.0%	1.0%	0.7%	0.4%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

36%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam	2.0%	1.6%	1.3%
Draw	2.1%	13.6%	24.4%
Ajax	0.2%	1.6%	53.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

73%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

0 Sparta Rotterdam Wins

2 Draws

1 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Ajax	4 - 0	Sparta Rotterdam
04 Oct 2025	Sparta Rotterdam	3 - 3	Ajax
27 Apr 2025	Ajax	1 - 1	Sparta Rotterdam

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sparta Rotterdam — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heerenveen	L	0 - 4
13 Sep	A PSV Eindhoven	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Excelsior	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Utrecht	D	3 - 3

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.