Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Prediction
FT
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
AI call
Fortuna Sittard or draw
43%
27%
30%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives Fortuna Sittard a 43% chance of winning, Excelsior 30% and the draw 27%. Last updated 25 Oct 2026, 13:10.
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- Away to Score 71%
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Timeline
S. Simons
Yellow Card
41'
▮
⇄
45'
Noah Naujoks
⇄ Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
S. Simons
⇄ Ole Romeny
45'
⇄
HT 0–0
⇄
56'
Nesto Groen
⇄ David Garden
Shiloh 't Zand
Yellow Card
58'
▮
Nick de Groot
⇄ Jasper Dahlhaus
66'
⇄
Kristoffer Peterson
⇄ D. Sinkgraven
66'
⇄
▮
68'
Irakli Yegoian
Yellow Card
⇄
76'
Aymen Sliti
⇄ Alireza Jahanbakhsh
⇄
76'
K. Bos
⇄ Simon Janssen
Philip Brittijn
⇄ Mohamed Ihattaren
82'
⇄
Édouard Michut
⇄ Iván Márquez
86'
⇄
Rodrigo Guth
assist: Mohamed Ihattaren
90+1'
⚽
1–0
FT 1–0
Fortuna Sittard
Match Stats
Excelsior
43%
Ball Possession
57%
0.45
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
7
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
3
0
Blocked Shots
1
5
Shots insidebox
6
2
Shots outsidebox
0
7
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
389
Total passes
535
308
Passes accurate
453
13
Free Kicks
13
Fortuna Sittard
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Justin Hubner D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 64 (56%) | 3 |
| 3 Rodrigo Guth D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 52 (44%) | – |
| 6 Syb van Ottele M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (52%) | 2 |
| 52 Mohamed Ihattaren M | 7.3 | 8' | – | 1 | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 20 Édouard Michut M | 7.1 | 86' | – | – | 2 | 44 (40%) | – |
| 24 D. Sinkgraven D | 7.1 | 24' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 4 Iván Márquez D | 7.0 | 4' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 12 Ivo Pinto D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | – |
| 8 Jasper Dahlhaus D | 6.8 | 24' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 31 Mattijs Branderhorst G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (16%) | – |
| 14 S. Simons F | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 12 (6%) | – |
| 10 Ole Romeny F | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 23 Philip Brittijn M | 6.6 | 82' | – | – | – | 18 (12%) | 1 |
| 7 Kristoffer Peterson F | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 15 Nick de Groot D | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | – | 25 (16%) | 1 |
| 22 Shiloh 't Zand F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
Excelsior
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Casper Widell D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 72 (63%) | 2 |
| 1 Stijn van Gassel G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (33%) | – |
| 3 Rick Meissen D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 72 (56%) | 2 |
| 14 Jan Plug D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 103 (93%) | 1 |
| 15 Simon Janssen D | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 20 Lennard Hartjes M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (45%) | 2 |
| 12 K. Bos D | 6.6 | 76' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | 2 |
| 7 Aymen Sliti F | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 34 (27%) | – |
| 6 Daniel van Vianen M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (34%) | 1 |
| 10 Noah Naujoks M | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (7%) | – |
| 11 Alireza Jahanbakhsh F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 19 David Garden F | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 28 Nesto Groen F | 6.2 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 7 (2%) | – |
| 30 Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson M | 6.1 | 44' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | – |
| 8 Irakli Yegoian F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (42%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
Fortuna Sittard or draw
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Fortuna Sittard
DDDWD
Excelsior
LLWLL
Last 3 meetings
Fortuna Sittard · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the Eredivisie clash, Fortuna Sittard hosts Excelsior on October 25, 2026. Fortuna has shown a solid home record, capitalizing on their offensive strength, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season. Excelsior, however, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Both teams' form suggests a potentially high-scoring encounter, with Fortuna's attack pitted against Excelsior's leaky defense. Key players to watch include Fortuna's leading scorer, who has been pivotal in recent matches, aiming to exploit Excelsior's vulnerabilities.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
30%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Fortuna Sittard
A. Descotte
5 gls
Excelsior
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior
2
Fortuna Sittard Wins
0
Draws
1
Excelsior Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 - 1 | Excelsior |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Excelsior | 1 - 0 | Fortuna Sittard |
| 03 Mar 2024 | Fortuna Sittard | 5 - 2 | Excelsior |
Fortuna Sittard — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Telstar | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Feyenoord | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Sparta Rotterdam | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Excelsior | W | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A NEC Nijmegen | D | 2 - 2 |
Excelsior — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H GO Ahead Eagles | L | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Twente | L | 0 - 9 |
| 28 Oct | A MVV | W | 0 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | A Fortuna Sittard | L | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Heerenveen | L | 4 - 0 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 23 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Cambuur
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 |
Excelsior
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: R. den Uil
1
Gassel
12
Bos
14
Plug
4
Widell
3
Meissen
6
Vianen
20
Hartjes
10
Naujoks
8
Yegoian
28
Groen
7
Sliti
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. van Gassel | G |
| 3 | R. Meissen | D |
| 4 | C. Widell | D |
| 14 | J. Plug | D |
| 12 | K. Bos | D |
| 10 | N. Naujoks | M |
| 20 | L. Hartjes | M |
| 6 | D. van Vianen | M |
| 7 | A. Sliti | F |
| 28 | N. Groen | F |
| 8 | I. Yegoian | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Celton Biai | G |
| 24 | Giulliano Cairo | M |
| 2 | Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira | F |
| 9 | Mario Domínguez | F |
| 11 | A. Jahanbakhsh | F |
| 15 | S. Janssen | D |
| 21 | I. Silva Timas | F |
| 18 | V. Sulzbacher | M |
| 30 | Á. Þorsteinsson | M |
| 19 | D. Garden | F |
| 34 | Quinten Kraaivanger | M |
Fortuna Sittard
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: D. Buijs
31
Branderhorst
15
Groot
28
Hubner
3
Guth
12
Pinto
20
Michut
6
Ottele
23
Brittijn
22
Zand
14
Simons
7
Peterson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | M. Branderhorst | G |
| 12 | Ivo Pinto | D |
| 3 | Rodrigo Guth | D |
| 28 | Justin Quincy Hubner | D |
| 15 | N. de Groot | D |
| 23 | P. Brittijn | M |
| 6 | S. van Ottele | M |
| 20 | É. Michut | M |
| 7 | K. Peterson | F |
| 14 | S. Simons | F |
| 22 | Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | L. Koopmans | G |
| 52 | M. Ihattaren | M |
| 8 | J. Dahlhaus | D |
| 39 | Ganni Buyukhan | M |
| 4 | Iván Márquez | D |
| 5 | Y. Oukili | M |
| 33 | K. Reitmaier | G |
| 24 | D. Sinkgraven | D |
| 2 | S. Wylin | D |
| 10 | O. Romeny | F |