Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10

25 Oct 2026, 11:15

Post on X

Excelsior

Away

Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard

AI call Fortuna Sittard to win or draw

72%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives Fortuna Sittard a 72% chance of winning, Excelsior 7% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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73% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.2%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Fortuna Sittard

WLWWL

Excelsior

DLDWW

Last 3 meetings Fortuna Sittard · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the Eredivisie clash, Fortuna Sittard hosts Excelsior on October 25, 2026. Fortuna has shown a solid home record, capitalizing on their offensive strength, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season. Excelsior, however, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Both teams' form suggests a potentially high-scoring encounter, with Fortuna's attack pitted against Excelsior's leaky defense. Key players to watch include Fortuna's leading scorer, who has been pivotal in recent matches, aiming to exploit Excelsior's vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Excelsior goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	3	1
1	16	9	2
2	17	8	2
3	11	5	1
4	6	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Fortuna Sittard goals · most likely 2–0 (17.2%)

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Players in form

Fortuna Sittard

M. Ihattaren 3 gls

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	16.2%	9.2%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.2%	8.1%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
3	11.4%	5.4%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
4	5.7%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard	48.6%	2.3%	0.4%
Draw	23.2%	14.7%	3.2%
Excelsior	1.8%	2.3%	3.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

63%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior

2 Fortuna Sittard Wins

0 Draws

1 Excelsior Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Feb 2026	Fortuna Sittard	2 - 1	Excelsior
19 Oct 2025	Excelsior	1 - 0	Fortuna Sittard
03 Mar 2024	Fortuna Sittard	5 - 2	Excelsior

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Fortuna Sittard — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Ajax	L	1 - 5
06 Sep	A ADO Den Haag	W	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Groningen	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	H AZ Alkmaar	L	0 - 2

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.