Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle Prediction
FT
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
AI call
Difficult Utrecht win or draw
57%
24%
20%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction: Sportiko gives Utrecht a 57% chance of winning, PEC Zwolle 20% and the draw 24%. Last updated 24 Oct 2026, 16:26.
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Timeline
O. Agougil
Yellow Card
26'
▮
⇄
45'
Dylan Mbayo
⇄ Elias Sørensen
HT 0–0
Niklas Vesterlund
⇄ Adrian Blake
62'
⇄
⇄
71'
Damian van der Haar
⇄ Jan Bürger
⚽
0–1
72'
Elias Sørensen
assist: Thijs Oosting
Yoann Cathline
⇄ Sem van Duijn
74'
⇄
Ángel Alarcón
⇄ Artem Stepanov
74'
⇄
▮
76'
Gilles van der Wal
Yellow Card
⇄
83'
Gilles van der Wal
⇄ Koen Kostons
Siebe Horemans
⇄ N. Amrabat
83'
⇄
O. Agougil
⇄ Davy van den Berg
83'
⇄
▮
87'
Tobias Sommer
Yellow Card
Joris van Overeem
Yellow Card
89'
▮
Sem van Duijn
90+1'
⚽
1–1
FT 1–1
Utrecht
Match Stats
PEC Zwolle
60%
Ball Possession
40%
1.57
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
23
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots off Goal
3
10
Blocked Shots
1
14
Shots insidebox
7
9
Shots outsidebox
2
7
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
516
Total passes
348
408
Passes accurate
255
7
Free Kicks
11
Utrecht
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sem van Duijn F | 8.2 | 16' | 1 | – | 1 | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 3 Matisse Didden D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 80 (65%) | 3 |
| 22 Sergio Padt G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (27%) | – |
| 15 Adrian Blake F | 7.0 | 28' | – | – | 4 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 92 Arthur Zagre D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (40%) | 1 |
| 2 Siebe Horemans D | 6.8 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 49 (40%) | 1 |
| 11 Ángel Alarcón M | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | 5 | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 5 Nikolas Panagiotou D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (55%) | 2 |
| 38 O. Agougil M | 6.6 | 83' | – | – | 3 | 38 (33%) | 2 |
| 39 N. Amrabat F | 6.5 | 7' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 10 Yoann Cathline M | 6.4 | 74' | – | – | 4 | 21 (13%) | – |
| 8 Joris van Overeem M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 73 (60%) | 4 |
| 9 Artem Stepanov F | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 20 Dani de Wit F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (22%) | – |
| 23 Niklas Vesterlund M | 6.1 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 34 Davy van den Berg M | 6.0 | 7' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 2 |
PEC Zwolle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Elias Sørensen F | 7.5 | 44' | 1 | – | 3 | 13 (7%) | – |
| 25 Thijs Oosting M | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 28 Simon Graves D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (42%) | 2 |
| 10 Koen Kostons F | 6.9 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 3 Olivier Aertssen D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 2 |
| 8 Tobias Sommer M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (44%) | – |
| 6 Jan Bürger D | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | 1 |
| 33 Damian van der Haar D | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | 1 |
| 11 Dylan Mbayo M | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 1 Jasper Schendelaar G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (18%) | – |
| 30 Ryan Thomas M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (32%) | – |
| 37 Gilles van der Wal M | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 17 (11%) | 3 |
| 24 Nick Viergever D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (29%) | 1 |
| 17 Sydney van Hooijdonk F | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (18%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (57%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Utrecht win or draw
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Utrecht
LWDWW
PEC Zwolle
DWLDW
Last 3 meetings
Utrecht · 1W 2D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Utrecht faces PEC Zwolle, both teams entering the match with contrasting form. Utrecht has shown resilience, currently ranked higher and boasting a strong home record this season. Their attacking unit, led by key forwards, has been effective in creating chances, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Conversely, PEC Zwolle struggles defensively, conceding 1.9 goals per game, which could be exploited by Utrecht's dynamic offense. This matchup is crucial for Zwolle to avoid falling deeper into the relegation zone, while Utrecht aims to solidify their top-half position.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
20%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
1
Utrecht Wins
2
Draws
0
PEC Zwolle Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Utrecht | 1 - 1 | PEC Zwolle |
| 31 Aug 2025 | PEC Zwolle | 0 - 2 | Utrecht |
| 01 Feb 2025 | PEC Zwolle | 3 - 3 | Utrecht |
Utrecht — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | A Telstar | L | 4 - 2 |
| 29 Oct | A Kozakken Boys | W | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H PEC Zwolle | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Twente | W | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Oct | H Willem II | W | 3 - 1 |
PEC Zwolle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Willem II | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H ADO Den Haag | W | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H FC OSS | L | 1 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Utrecht | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H GO Ahead Eagles | W | 4 - 1 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 23 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Cambuur
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 |
PEC Zwolle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Salvatore Bocchetti
1
Schendelaar
33
Haar
24
Viergever
28
Graves
3
Aertssen
8
Sommer
30
Thomas
11
Mbayo
25
Oosting
37
Wal
17
Hooijdonk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Schendelaar | G |
| 3 | O. Aertssen | D |
| 28 | S. Graves | D |
| 24 | N. Viergever | D |
| 33 | D. van der Haar | D |
| 30 | R. Thomas | M |
| 8 | T. Sommer | M |
| 37 | Gilles van der Wal | M |
| 25 | T. Oosting | M |
| 11 | D. Mbayo | M |
| 17 | S. van Hooijdonk | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | D. Verduin | G |
| 4 | T. Velthuis | D |
| 9 | E. Sørensen | F |
| 42 | Dylan Ruward | D |
| 20 | G. Reiziger | M |
| 26 | Jadiel Pereira da Gama | M |
| 7 | Y. Namli | F |
| 10 | K. Kostons | F |
| 34 | N. Fichtinger | M |
| 16 | T. de Graaff | G |
| 6 | Jan Bürger | D |
| 22 | I. Cissoko | F |
Utrecht
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Correia
22
Padt
92
Zagré
5
Panagiotou
3
Didden
2
Horemans
38
Agougil
8
Overeem
11
Alarcón
10
Cathline
23
Vesterlund
20
Wit
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | S. Padt | G |
| 2 | S. Horemans | D |
| 3 | M. Didden | D |
| 5 | N. Panagiotou | D |
| 92 | A. Zagré | D |
| 8 | J. van Overeem | M |
| 38 | O. Agougil | M |
| 23 | N. Vesterlund | M |
| 10 | Y. Cathline | M |
| 11 | Ángel Alarcón | M |
| 20 | D. de Wit | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | N. Amrabat | F |
| 15 | A. Blake | F |
| 31 | M. Eppink | G |
| 33 | K. Gadellaa | G |
| 32 | P. Kloosterboer | D |
| 18 | J. Medić | D |
| 6 | G. Offerhaus | D |
| 21 | N. Ogidi Nwankwo | D |
| 9 | Artem Stepanov | F |
| 34 | D. van den Berg | M |
| 17 | S. van Duijn | F |