Groningen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9

18 Oct 2026, 14:45

Post on X

Ajax

Away

Euroborg, Groningen

AI call Ajax to win

16%

81%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Groningen vs Ajax prediction: Sportiko gives Groningen a 3% chance of winning, Ajax 81% and the draw 16%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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75% 71% 72%

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 20.3%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Groningen

WDDLL

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 3 meetings Groningen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Eredivisie clash, Groningen faces Ajax, with both teams bringing contrasting forms into the match. Ajax has historically dominated this fixture, boasting a superior head-to-head record and a strong attacking lineup, averaging over 2.5 goals per game this season. Groningen, while playing at home, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The key for Groningen will be to tighten their defense and capitalize on any set-piece opportunities, while Ajax will look to maintain their aggressive offensive strategy to secure the win.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	17	20	15	9	4
1	2	6	6	5	3	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Groningen goals · most likely 0–2 (20.3%)

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Players in form

Groningen

T. van Bergen 4 gls

B. Willumsson 4 gls

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

81%

Draw

16%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

81%

Draw

16%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

96% Away (No Draw) 4% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

57% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

81% Away Scores More 16% Equal Goals 3% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	17.4%	20.3%	15.2%	8.6%
1	1.7%	6.1%	6.1%	4.6%	2.6%
2	0.4%	0.8%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Groningen	Draw	Ajax
Groningen	1.7%	1.5%	1.4%
Draw	1.5%	11.7%	24.3%
Ajax	0.1%	1.3%	56.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

Away Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Groningen vs Ajax

1 Groningen Wins

1 Draws

1 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	Groningen	3 - 1	Ajax
02 Dec 2025	Ajax	2 - 0	Groningen
14 May 2025	Groningen	2 - 2	Ajax

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Groningen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Twente	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Fortuna Sittard	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A PSV Eindhoven	L	5 - 1

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.