NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9

17 Oct 2026, 16:45

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Fortuna Sittard

Away

Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

AI call Fortuna Sittard or draw

25%

30%

45%

Home Win Draw Away Win

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction: Sportiko gives NEC Nijmegen a 25% chance of winning, Fortuna Sittard 45% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Fortuna Sittard

WLWWL

Last 3 meetings NEC Nijmegen · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, NEC Nijmegen will face Fortuna Sittard. NEC has demonstrated solid form at home, capitalizing on their attacking capabilities with an average of 1.5 goals per game this season. Conversely, Fortuna Sittard struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Both teams will be looking to secure crucial points, but NEC's offensive strength may give them the edge in this matchup. Overall, expect a competitive match where NEC will aim to exploit Fortuna's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

25%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

45%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fortuna Sittard goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	11	9	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ NEC Nijmegen goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

Fortuna Sittard

M. Ihattaren 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

30%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

30%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	11.4%	9.1%	4.3%	1.5%
1	7.5%	14.4%	8.9%	4.2%	1.5%
2	4.5%	6.3%	4.4%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.5%	2.0%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	NEC Nijmegen	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen	14.1%	4.2%	2.0%
Draw	10.2%	19.9%	16.9%
Fortuna Sittard	1.3%	4.2%	27.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard

1 NEC Nijmegen Wins

0 Draws

2 Fortuna Sittard Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 3	Fortuna Sittard
31 Aug 2025	Fortuna Sittard	3 - 2	NEC Nijmegen
19 Jan 2025	NEC Nijmegen	4 - 1	Fortuna Sittard

See all 10 meetings — Premium

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Fortuna Sittard — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Ajax	L	1 - 5
06 Sep	A ADO Den Haag	W	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Groningen	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	H AZ Alkmaar	L	0 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.