Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
FT
Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
AI call
Difficult Feyenoord win or draw
55%
23%
22%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: Sportiko gives Feyenoord a 55% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar 22% and the draw 23%. Last updated 10 Oct 2026, 18:42.
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Timeline
▮
11'
Lewis Schouten
Yellow Card
Nacho Ferri
13'
⚽
1–0
▮
23'
Ro-Zangelo Daal
Yellow Card
🖵
43'
Mexx Meerdink
Penalty cancelled
Oussama Targhalline
Yellow Card
45+2'
▮
HT 1–0
Javi López
assist: Charles Vanhoutte
59'
⚽
2–0
▮
67'
Wouter Goes
Yellow Card
⇄
68'
Ro-Zangelo Daal
⇄ Weslley Patati
⇄
68'
Elijah Dijkstra
⇄ Denso Kasius
Gjivai Zechiël
⇄ Tobias van den Elshout
77'
⇄
⇄
80'
Jordy Clasie
⇄ Bendegúz Kovács
Nacho Ferri
⇄ Gaoussou Diarra
89'
⇄
FT 2–0
Feyenoord
Match Stats
AZ Alkmaar
43%
Ball Possession
57%
2.23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
15
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
2
8
Shots off Goal
6
3
Blocked Shots
4
8
Shots insidebox
9
7
Shots outsidebox
3
7
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
374
Total passes
506
299
Passes accurate
421
13
Free Kicks
12
Feyenoord
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Charles Vanhoutte M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 40 (37%) | 7 |
| 16 Javi López D | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 19 Nacho Ferri F | 7.3 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 19 (7%) | 1 |
| 6 Jeremiah St. Juste D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (38%) | 2 |
| 26 Givairo Read D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 2 |
| 28 Oussama Targhalline M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 34 (30%) | 1 |
| 35 Mika Mármol D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (39%) | 4 |
| 1 Tjark Ernst G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (18%) | – |
| 10 Luciano Valente F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 39 (33%) | 2 |
| 27 Gaoussou Diarra F | 6.4 | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 23 Anis Hadj Moussa F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 34 (29%) | 2 |
| 8 Gjivai Zechiël M | 6.3 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 29 (22%) | – |
| 22 Tobias van den Elshout M | 6.2 | 13' | – | – | 3 | 7 (5%) | – |
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Peer Koopmeiners M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 70 (61%) | 4 |
| 3 Wouter Goes D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 75 (67%) | 2 |
| 4 Lewis Schouten D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (63%) | 5 |
| 18 Bendegúz Kovács F | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 7 Weslley Patati F | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 14 Calvin Stengs M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (36%) | – |
| 28 Jari De Busser G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | – |
| 8 Jordy Clasie M | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | 1 |
| 22 Elijah Dijkstra D | 6.2 | 68' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 9 Mexx Meerdink F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 11 (8%) | – |
| 24 Ayoub Oufkir F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 29 (24%) | 2 |
| 30 Denso Kasius D | 6.0 | 22' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 11 Ro-Zangelo Daal F | 5.9 | 68' | – | – | – | 32 (20%) | 4 |
| 5 Mateo Chávez D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (24%) | 5 |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Feyenoord win or draw
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Feyenoord
LLDDL
AZ Alkmaar
LLLWD
Last 3 meetings
Feyenoord · 1W 2D 0L
Match summary
Feyenoord faces AZ Alkmaar in a critical Eredivisie matchup. Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities this season, with Feyenoord averaging 2.1 goals per game and AZ not far behind at 1.8. Defensively, Feyenoord has a slight edge, conceding only 1 goal per match compared to AZ's 1.3. Set-pieces and midfield control will likely play pivotal roles, as both teams excel in creating chances from these situations. The outcome may hinge on individual performances, particularly from key forwards.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
55%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
22%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Feyenoord
A. Hadj-Moussa
6 gls
G. Zechiël
5 gls
Nacho Ferri
5 gls
L. Valente
5 gls
AZ Alkmaar
R. Daal
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
1
Feyenoord Wins
2
Draws
0
AZ Alkmaar Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Feyenoord | 1 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 21 Sep 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 - 3 | Feyenoord |
| 05 Apr 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 - 1 | Feyenoord |
Feyenoord — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Heerenveen | L | 5 - 3 |
| 03 Nov | H Inter | L | 0 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | H Fortuna Sittard | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A PSV Eindhoven | D | 1 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | A Real Betis | L | 1 - 0 |
AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Juventus | L | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Ajax | L | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Twente | L | 0 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Ararat-Armenia | W | 0 - 4 |
| 18 Oct | A Cambuur | D | 2 - 2 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 23 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Cambuur
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: L. Echteld
28
Busser
5
Chávez
4
Schouten
3
Goes
22
Dijkstra
6
Koopmeiners
14
Stengs
8
Clasie
11
Daal
9
Meerdink
24
Oufkir
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | J. De Busser | G |
| 22 | E. Dijkstra | D |
| 3 | W. Goes | D |
| 4 | L. Schouten | D |
| 5 | M. Chávez | D |
| 8 | J. Clasie | M |
| 14 | C. Stengs | M |
| 6 | P. Koopmeiners | M |
| 24 | A. Oufkir | F |
| 9 | M. Meerdink | F |
| 11 | R. Daal | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | Weslley Patati | F |
| 45 | Jerolldino Armantrading | F |
| 27 | Wassim bouziane | F |
| 1 | R. Owusu-Oduro | G |
| 2 | S. Maikuma | D |
| 21 | D. Kwakman | M |
| 30 | D. Kasius | D |
| 31 | R. Ichihara | D |
| 29 | W. Hoedt | D |
| 34 | M. de Wit | D |
| 17 | V. Byskov | M |
| 18 | B. Kovacs | F |
Feyenoord
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: G. van Bronckhorst
1
Ernst
16
López
35
Màrmol
6
Juste
26
Read
28
Targhalline
34
Vanhoutte
8
Zechiël
10
Valente
19
Ferri
23
Hadj-Moussa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Ernst | G |
| 26 | G. Read | D |
| 6 | J. St. Juste | D |
| 35 | Mika Màrmol | D |
| 16 | Javi López | D |
| 8 | G. Zechiël | M |
| 34 | C. Vanhoutte | M |
| 28 | O. Targhalline | M |
| 23 | A. Hadj-Moussa | F |
| 19 | Nacho Ferri | F |
| 10 | L. Valente | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | M. Deijl | D |
| 36 | J. Zinhagel | F |
| 27 | G. Diarra | F |
| 33 | F. Kastenmeier | G |
| 24 | T. Kraaijeveld | M |
| 57 | J. Schaken | F |
| 14 | S. Steijn | M |
| 22 | T. van den Elshout | M |
| 39 | L. Bossin | G |
| 50 | T. Deligiannidis | M |
| 65 | D Slory | D |
| 32 | T. Wessels | D |