Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction
FT
Euroborg, Groningen
AI call
Difficult Groningen win or draw
59%
22%
19%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle prediction: Sportiko gives Groningen a 59% chance of winning, PEC Zwolle 19% and the draw 22%. Last updated 18 Sep 2026, 19:54.
Premium picks
Premium- Under 4.5 74%
- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 71%
- Away to Score 71%
- Home 1H Over 0.5 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Thom van Bergen
assist: David van der Werff
20'
⚽
1–0
⇄
28'
Ibrahim Cissoko
⇄ Elias Sørensen
Jorg Schreuders
43'
⚽
2–0
HT 2–0
⇄
61'
Dylan Mbayo
⇄ Gabriel Reiziger
⇄
61'
Thijs Oosting
⇄ Sydney van Hooijdonk
Jacob Ondrejka
⇄ Tygo Land
66'
⇄
Marco Rente
⇄ Hans Hateboer
66'
⇄
Tygo Land
assist: David van der Werff
68'
⚽
3–0
▮
79'
Sherel Constancio Floranus
Yellow Card
▮
79'
Koen Kostons
Yellow Card
⇄
80'
Koen Kostons
⇄ Gilles van der Wal
⇄
80'
Olivier Aertssen
⇄ Jan Bürger
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
⇄ Alvin Nordin
85'
⇄
David van der Werff
⇄ Nils Eggens
85'
⇄
Márk Csinger
⇄ Jesper Mosselaar
90'
⇄
FT 3–0
Groningen
Match Stats
PEC Zwolle
52%
Ball Possession
48%
17
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
1
2
Shots off Goal
2
8
Blocked Shots
6
8
Shots insidebox
4
9
Shots outsidebox
4
5
Corner Kicks
6
7
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
496
Total passes
452
412
Passes accurate
372
11
Free Kicks
7
Groningen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 David van der Werff M | 8.6 | 85' | – | 2 | 3 | 29 (23%) | 2 |
| 14 Jorg Schreuders D | 8.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 51 (44%) | 6 |
| 26 Thom van Bergen M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 23 (20%) | 1 |
| 18 Tygo Land M | 7.8 | 24' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (14%) | 1 |
| 4 Márk Csinger D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (41%) | 5 |
| 5 Marco Rente D | 7.5 | 66' | – | – | – | 49 (44%) | 1 |
| 3 Thijmen Blokzijl D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (65%) | 1 |
| 33 Hans Hateboer D | 7.1 | 24' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | – |
| 16 Alvin Nordin M | 6.8 | 5' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 1 Etienne Vaessen G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (28%) | – |
| 8 Tika de Jonge M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 46 (39%) | 1 |
| 9 Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson F | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 21 (14%) | – |
| 24 Pelle Clement M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (46%) | 1 |
| 20 Nils Eggens F | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 11 Jacob Ondrejka M | 6.3 | 66' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 1 |
PEC Zwolle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Simon Graves D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (55%) | – |
| 10 Koen Kostons F | 6.5 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 26 (19%) | – |
| 17 Sydney van Hooijdonk F | 6.4 | 29' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 25 Thijs Oosting M | 6.4 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 22 (21%) | 2 |
| 9 Elias Sørensen F | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 1 |
| 24 Nick Viergever D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (48%) | 1 |
| 34 Nick Fichtinger M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (39%) | 4 |
| 6 Jan Bürger D | 6.0 | 10' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 1 Jasper Schendelaar G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (23%) | – |
| 3 Olivier Aertssen D | 5.9 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 33 (24%) | 3 |
| 37 Gilles van der Wal M | 5.9 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 2 Sherel Constancio Floranus D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (40%) | – |
| 8 Tobias Sommer M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (30%) | 2 |
| 20 Gabriel Reiziger M | 5.7 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 22 Ibrahim Cissoko M | 5.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 11 Dylan Mbayo M | 5.5 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 16 (16%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (59%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Groningen win or draw
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Groningen
WDDLL
PEC Zwolle
LLDLW
Last 3 meetings
Groningen · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
In the Eredivisie clash between Groningen and PEC Zwolle, both teams are looking to improve their standings. Groningen has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, while Zwolle has shown a more solid defensive unit, allowing 1.4 goals per match. Offensively, Groningen has been slightly more productive, averaging 1.3 goals per game compared to Zwolle's 1.1. The match could hinge on Groningen's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities and tighten their defense against Zwolle's counter-attacks. Expect a closely contested match with both teams vying for crucial points.
Live insights
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Groningen leads 3-0. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.
69'
Goal
85% sure
Groningen now leads 3-0 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 55.1%.
45'
Goal
85% sure
Groningen now leads 2-0 with 94.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 81.2%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 2-0. Groningen leads. Win probability: 94.9%. Over 0.5 more goals: 81.2%.
21'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-0. Groningen win: 81%. BTTS: 61.3%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
59%
10%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
19%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Groningen
T. van Bergen
4 gls
B. Willumsson
4 gls
PEC Zwolle
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Groningen vs PEC Zwolle
0
Groningen Wins
2
Draws
1
PEC Zwolle Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | PEC Zwolle | 1 - 1 | Groningen |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Groningen | 2 - 2 | PEC Zwolle |
| 18 May 2025 | PEC Zwolle | 2 - 0 | Groningen |
Groningen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H PEC Zwolle | W | 3 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A GO Ahead Eagles | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Twente | D | 2 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | H Fortuna Sittard | L | 2 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A PSV Eindhoven | L | 5 - 1 |
PEC Zwolle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Groningen | L | 3 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Feyenoord | L | 0 - 7 |
| 04 Sep | A Sparta Rotterdam | D | 2 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H NEC Nijmegen | L | 1 - 3 |
| 22 Aug | A Heerenveen | W | 0 - 2 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |
PEC Zwolle
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
PEC Zwolle
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: David Pagou
1
Schendelaar
2
Floranus
24
Viergever
28
Graves
3
Aertssen
34
Fichtinger
22
Cissoko
8
Sommer
25
Oosting
11
Mbayo
10
Kostons
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Schendelaar | G |
| 3 | O. Aertssen | D |
| 28 | S. Graves | D |
| 24 | N. Viergever | D |
| 2 | S. Floranus | D |
| 34 | N. Fichtinger | M |
| 11 | D. Mbayo | M |
| 25 | T. Oosting | M |
| 8 | T. Sommer | M |
| 22 | I. Cissoko | M |
| 10 | K. Kostons | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | Jan Bürger | D |
| 9 | E. Sørensen | F |
| 26 | Jadiel Pereira da Gama | M |
| 20 | G. Reiziger | M |
| 42 | Dylan Ruward | D |
| 37 | Gilles van der Wal | M |
| 33 | D. van der Haar | D |
| 17 | S. van Hooijdonk | F |
| 16 | T. de Graaff | G |
| 41 | D. Verduin | G |
| 4 | T. Velthuis | D |
| 18 | O. Velanas | M |
Groningen
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: D. Lukkien
1
Vaessen
4
Csinger
5
Rente
3
Blokzijl
14
Schreuders
24
Clement
8
Jonge
11
Ondrejka
26
Bergen
17
Werff
9
Willumsson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Vaessen | G |
| 14 | J. Schreuders | D |
| 3 | T. Blokzijl | D |
| 5 | M. Rente | D |
| 4 | M. Csinger | D |
| 8 | T. de Jonge | M |
| 24 | P. Clement | M |
| 17 | D. van der Werff | M |
| 26 | T. van Bergen | M |
| 11 | J. Ondrejka | M |
| 9 | B. Willumsson | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | L. Štubljar | G |
| 20 | Nils Eggens | F |
| 44 | Besnik Mashuku | M |
| 30 | P. Boevink | G |
| 53 | J. Hall | M |
| 33 | H. Hateboer | D |
| 18 | T. Land | M |
| 42 | J. Mosselaar | D |
| 16 | A. Nordin | M |
| 19 | O. Zawada | F |