Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction
FT
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
AI call
Excelsior or draw
45%
27%
29%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Excelsior vs Utrecht prediction: Sportiko gives Excelsior a 45% chance of winning, Utrecht 29% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 12:12.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 74%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
36'
Artem Stepanov
HT 0–1
⇄
62'
Ángel Alarcón
⇄ M. Broholm
⇄
62'
Artem Stepanov
⇄ Yoann Cathline
⇄
62'
Adrian Blake
⇄ Sem van Duijn
David Garden
⇄ Mario Domínguez
70'
⇄
K. Bos
⇄ Simon Janssen
70'
⇄
Eric da Silva Moreira
⇄ Valentin Sulzbacher
70'
⇄
Valentin Sulzbacher
Yellow Card
71'
▮
Aymen Sliti
assist: Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
77'
⚽
1–1
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
⇄ Alireza Jahanbakhsh
80'
⇄
⇄
81'
Niklas Vesterlund
⇄ Joris van Overeem
Mario Domínguez
Yellow Card
85'
▮
Lennard Hartjes
⇄ Giuliano Cairo
85'
⇄
⚽
1–2
90+2'
Dani de Wit
⇄
90+4'
Arthur Zagre
⇄ Jakov Medić
FT 1–2
Excelsior
Match Stats
Utrecht
56%
Ball Possession
44%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
6
3
Shots off Goal
4
3
Blocked Shots
2
8
Shots insidebox
8
2
Shots outsidebox
4
5
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
532
Total passes
436
439
Passes accurate
339
8
Free Kicks
9
Excelsior
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aymen Sliti M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 28 (21%) | 1 |
| 14 Jan Plug D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 85 (79%) | 2 |
| 30 Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson M | 6.9 | 80' | – | 1 | 2 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 4 Casper Widell D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 77 (66%) | 2 |
| 1 Stijn van Gassel G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (24%) | – |
| 2 Eric da Silva Moreira D | 6.5 | 70' | – | – | – | 39 (32%) | 1 |
| 11 Alireza Jahanbakhsh F | 6.4 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 3 Rick Meissen M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (57%) | 2 |
| 12 K. Bos D | 6.3 | 70' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 2 |
| 20 Lennard Hartjes M | 6.2 | 85' | – | – | – | 46 (39%) | 2 |
| 15 Simon Janssen D | 6.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 19 David Garden F | 6.1 | 70' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 24 Giuliano Cairo M | 6.0 | 5' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 9 Mario Domínguez F | 6.0 | 20' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 8 Irakli Yegoian M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (44%) | – |
| 18 Valentin Sulzbacher M | 5.8 | 20' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | – |
Utrecht
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dani de Wit M | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 30 (22%) | 1 |
| 9 Artem Stepanov F | 7.9 | 62' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | – |
| 3 Matisse Didden D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (50%) | – |
| 10 Yoann Cathline F | 6.8 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 11 Ángel Alarcón F | 6.7 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 16 (13%) | – |
| 15 Adrian Blake F | 6.6 | 62' | – | – | 4 | 23 (18%) | 1 |
| 34 Davy van den Berg M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (41%) | 2 |
| 80 M. Broholm F | 6.6 | 28' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | – |
| 2 Siebe Horemans D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (32%) | 1 |
| 92 Arthur Zagre M | 6.4 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 43 (37%) | 1 |
| 17 Sem van Duijn F | 6.4 | 28' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 5 Nikolas Panagiotou D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (48%) | – |
| 8 Joris van Overeem M | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | 8 (2%) | – |
| 1 Vasilis Barkas G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (18%) | – |
| 23 Niklas Vesterlund M | 6.0 | 81' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Our lean
Excelsior or draw
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Excelsior
DLDWW
Utrecht
LWDLD
Last 3 meetings
Excelsior · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Excelsior faces Utrecht, with both teams looking to secure crucial points early in the season. Historically, Utrecht has displayed stronger form, finishing higher in the league standings over recent campaigns. Excelsior will need to leverage their attacking capabilities, as they average 1.5 goals per game, but they must improve their defensive solidity, conceding 1.8 goals per game on average. Utrecht's midfield control and pressing could be decisive, particularly if they can exploit Excelsior's vulnerabilities. This match will be pivotal for both teams as they aim to establish momentum in the league.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
29%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Excelsior
A. Sliti
3 gls
Utrecht
Artem Stepanov
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Excelsior vs Utrecht
1
Excelsior Wins
1
Draws
1
Utrecht Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | Excelsior | 5 - 0 | Utrecht |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Utrecht | 4 - 1 | Excelsior |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Excelsior | 1 - 1 | Utrecht |
Excelsior — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Ajax | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Utrecht | L | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A NEC Nijmegen | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A Willem II | W | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Aug | H Sparta Rotterdam | W | 2 - 1 |
Utrecht — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Feyenoord | L | 5 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Excelsior | W | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | H GO Ahead Eagles | D | 3 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | H PSV Eindhoven | L | 1 - 6 |
| 22 Aug | A Sparta Rotterdam | D | 3 - 3 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |
PEC Zwolle
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
Excelsior
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: R. den Uil
1
Gassel
12
Bos
14
Plug
4
Widell
2
Moreira
3
Meissen
30
Þorsteinsson
20
Hartjes
8
Yegoian
7
Sliti
19
Garden
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. van Gassel | G |
| 2 | Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira | D |
| 4 | C. Widell | D |
| 14 | J. Plug | D |
| 12 | K. Bos | D |
| 3 | R. Meissen | M |
| 7 | A. Sliti | M |
| 8 | I. Yegoian | M |
| 20 | L. Hartjes | M |
| 30 | Á. Þorsteinsson | M |
| 19 | D. Garden | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Celton Biai | G |
| 24 | Giulliano Cairo | M |
| 9 | Mario Domínguez | F |
| 23 | Y. Finey | M |
| 28 | N. Groen | F |
| 11 | A. Jahanbakhsh | F |
| 15 | S. Janssen | D |
| 21 | I. Silva Timas | F |
| 18 | V. Sulzbacher | M |
| 22 | O. Turay | D |
| 6 | D. van Vianen | M |
Utrecht
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: A. Correia
1
Barkas
5
Panagiotou
3
Didden
2
Horemans
92
Zagré
34
Berg
20
Wit
23
Vesterlund
15
Blake
9
Stepanov
11
Alarcón
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Barkas | G |
| 2 | S. Horemans | D |
| 3 | M. Didden | D |
| 5 | N. Panagiotou | D |
| 23 | N. Vesterlund | M |
| 20 | D. de Wit | M |
| 34 | D. van den Berg | M |
| 92 | A. Zagré | M |
| 11 | Ángel Alarcón | F |
| 9 | Artem Stepanov | F |
| 15 | A. Blake | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | N. Amrabat | F |
| 10 | Y. Cathline | F |
| 33 | K. Gadellaa | G |
| 32 | P. Kloosterboer | D |
| 18 | J. Medić | D |
| 6 | G. Offerhaus | D |
| 21 | N. Ogidi Nwankwo | D |
| 22 | S. Padt | G |
| 17 | S. van Duijn | F |
| 8 | J. van Overeem | M |
| 80 | M. Broholm | F |