Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 6

Post on X

Ajax

Away

Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard

AI call Difficult Ajax win or draw

15%

20%

64%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax prediction: Sportiko gives Fortuna Sittard a 15% chance of winning, Ajax 64% and the draw 20%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 20:00.

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5 75%
Away 2H Over 0.5 75%
Under 4.5 73%
Away to Score 2+ 70%

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Timeline

▮ 6'

Jorthy Mokio Yellow Card

▮ 23'

Youri Baas Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 35'

Julian Brandt

Lequincio Zeefuik Yellow Card

44' ▮

Lequincio Zeefuik ⇄ Anthony Descotte

45' ⇄

HT 0–1

Anthony Descotte

52' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 57'

Oliver Valaker Edvardsen ⇄ Abdellah Ouazane

⇄ 58'

Jorthy Mokio ⇄ Davy Klaassen

⚽ 1–2 62'

Thilo Kehrer

▮ 64'

Steven Berghuis Yellow Card

⇄ 68'

Steven Berghuis ⇄ Viktor Tsygankov

▮ 71'

Caio Henrique Yellow Card

⚽ 1–3 73'

Davy Klaassen assist: Thilo Kehrer

⇄ 74'

Tolu Arokodare ⇄ Kasper Dolberg

⇄ 74'

Julian Brandt ⇄ Oscar Gloukh

Jasper Dahlhaus ⇄ Nick de Groot

76' ⇄

Mohamed Ihattaren ⇄ Syb van Ottele

76' ⇄

⚽ 1–4 79'

Kasper Dolberg assist: Oscar Gloukh

▮ 81'

Abdellah Ouazane Yellow Card

Édouard Michut ⇄ Moussa Gbemou

86' ⇄

Ole Romeny ⇄ Kevin van Burgsteden

89' ⇄

⚽ 1–5 90+6'

Youri Baas assist: Viktor Tsygankov

FT 1–5

Fortuna Sittard

Match Stats

Ajax

34% Ball Possession 66%

8 Total Shots 27

4 Shots on Goal 11

2 Shots off Goal 12

2 Blocked Shots 4

4 Shots insidebox 24

4 Shots outsidebox 3

3 Corner Kicks 11

2 Offsides 1

5 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

6 Goalkeeper Saves 3

322 Total passes 622

261 Passes accurate 564

12 Free Kicks 5

Fortuna Sittard

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Anthony Descotte F	8.1	44'	1	–	2	10 (7%)	–
31 Mattijs Branderhorst G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	–
10 Ole Romeny F	6.4	89'	–	–	3	13 (9%)	–
28 Justin Hubner D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	33 (31%)	–
20 Édouard Michut M	6.3	86'	–	–	1	42 (37%)	1
22 Shiloh 't Zand M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	1
3 Rodrigo Guth D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	50 (43%)	1
25 Lequincio Zeefuik F	6.1	46'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
12 Ivo Pinto D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	32 (26%)	5
35 Kevin van Burgsteden M	6.0	1'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	2
6 Syb van Ottele D	5.8	14'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
38 Moussa Gbemou M	5.8	4'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
8 Jasper Dahlhaus D	5.7	76'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	3
15 Nick de Groot D	5.7	14'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
23 Philip Brittijn D	5.5	90'	–	–	–	36 (27%)	–
52 Mohamed Ihattaren M	5.4	76'	–	–	–	19 (12%)	1

Ajax

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Thilo Kehrer D	8.5	90'	1	1	2	61 (56%)	2
8 Julian Brandt M	8.1	74'	1	–	4	60 (53%)	–
9 Kasper Dolberg F	7.4	16'	1	–	2	5 (3%)	–
3 Anton Gaaei D	7.3	90'	–	–	2	68 (57%)	2
4 Sofyan Amrabat M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	99 (92%)	1
18 Davy Klaassen M	7.2	32'	1	–	2	13 (10%)	–
23 Steven Berghuis F	7.1	68'	–	–	1	50 (45%)	–
20 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F	7.0	57'	–	–	1	24 (22%)	–
1 Marc-André Ter Stegen G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	23 (21%)	–
12 Caio Henrique D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	71 (65%)	–
11 Viktor Tsygankov F	6.7	22'	–	–	1	13 (12%)	–
99 Tolu Arokodare F	6.7	74'	–	–	7	12 (10%)	–
68 Abdellah Ouazane M	6.6	33'	–	–	1	16 (16%)	–
10 Oscar Gloukh M	6.5	16'	–	1	1	11 (11%)	–
15 Youri Baas D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	71 (70%)	–
24 Jorthy Mokio M	6.1	58'	–	–	1	25 (21%)	1

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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Ajax win or draw

Most likely score

1:2 · 9.8%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

69%

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Fortuna Sittard

WLWWL

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 3 meetings Fortuna Sittard · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Fortuna Sittard will face Ajax, a match that sees the latter as significant favorites given their historical performance and squad depth. Ajax has consistently dominated the league, showcasing a potent attack, averaging over 2 goals per match in the last season. Conversely, Fortuna Sittard has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. With Ajax's offensive capabilities and Sittard's defensive vulnerabilities, the visitors are expected to assert control and aim for a decisive victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

10%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

64%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4	6	8	7	4	2
1	2	9	10	8	5	3
2	2	5	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	2	1	1
4		1	1	1
5

↑ Fortuna Sittard goals · most likely 1–2 (9.7%)

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Players in form

Fortuna Sittard

M. Ihattaren 3 gls

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

20%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

12%

1.5

88%

31%

2.5

69%

53%

3.5

47%

73%

4.5

27%

87%

5.5

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

20%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

81% Away (No Draw) 19% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Away Scores More 20% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

12%

1.5

88%

31%

2.5

69%

53%

3.5

47%

73%

4.5

27%

87%

5.5

13%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

19%

22%

20%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.7%	5.7%	8.4%	7.0%	4.4%
1	2.1%	8.8%	9.8%	8.1%	5.1%
2	1.8%	4.5%	5.7%	4.7%	3.0%
3	0.7%	1.8%	2.2%	1.8%	1.1%
4	0.2%	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

15%

25%

29%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
Fortuna Sittard	9.5%	4.4%	4.3%
Draw	4.9%	10.9%	19.9%
Ajax	1.0%	3.1%	42.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

Away Exact Goals

21%

27%

22%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax

0 Fortuna Sittard Wins

0 Draws

3 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	Ajax	4 - 1	Fortuna Sittard
06 Dec 2025	Fortuna Sittard	1 - 3	Ajax
09 Feb 2025	Fortuna Sittard	0 - 2	Ajax

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Fortuna Sittard — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Ajax	L	1 - 5
06 Sep	A ADO Den Haag	W	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Groningen	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	H AZ Alkmaar	L	0 - 2

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Ajax

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Míchel

1 Stegen

12 Henrique

15 Baas

6 Kehrer

3 Gaaei

8 Brandt

4 Amrabat

24 Mokio

20 Edvardsen

99 Arokodare

23 Berghuis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. ter Stegen	G
3	A. Gaaei	D
6	T. Kehrer	D
15	Y. Baas	D
12	Caio Henrique	D
24	J. Mokio	M
4	S. Amrabat	M
8	J. Brandt	M
23	S. Berghuis	F
99	T. Arokodare	F
20	O. Edvardsen	F

Substitutes

2	Lucas Rosa	D
68	A. Ouazane	M
26	M. Paes	G
38	Marcos Leonardo	F
21	Jofre Torrents	D
11	V. Tsygankov	F
5	O. Wijndal	D
18	D. Klaassen	M
36	D. Janse	D
22	J. Heerkens	G
10	O. Gloukh	M
9	K. Dolberg	F

Fortuna Sittard

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: D. Buijs

31 Branderhorst

8 Dahlhaus

28 Hubner

3 Guth

23 Brittijn

12 Pinto

22 Zand

20 Michut

52 Ihattaren

10 Romeny

25 Zeefuik

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	M. Branderhorst	G
12	Ivo Pinto	D
23	P. Brittijn	D
3	Rodrigo Guth	D
28	Justin Quincy Hubner	D
8	J. Dahlhaus	D
52	M. Ihattaren	M
20	É. Michut	M
22	Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand	M
25	L. Zeefuik	F
10	O. Romeny	F

Substitutes

9	A. Descotte	F
39	Ganni Buyukhan	M
38	Moussa Gbemou	M
1	L. Koopmans	G
44	David Stockbrink	F
15	N. de Groot	D
35	K. van Burgsteden	M
6	S. van Ottele	D
33	K. Reitmaier	G