Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction
FT
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
AI call
Excelsior or draw
31%
27%
42%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Willem II vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives Willem II a 31% chance of winning, Excelsior 42% and the draw 27%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 20:52.
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- 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
8'
David Garden
assist: Irakli Yegoian
⚽
0–2
34'
Rick Meissen
assist: Simon Janssen
Eser Gürbüz
⇄ T. Vilhena
45'
⇄
Mats Lemmens
⇄ Maxim Dekker
45'
⇄
HT 0–2
Kasper Boogaard
Yellow Card
51'
▮
Kasper Boogaard
⇄ Thomas Verheydt
63'
⇄
⇄
64'
Aymen Sliti
⇄ Ilano Silva Timas
⇄
65'
Eric da Silva Moreira
⇄ Daniel van Vianen
⇄
71'
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
⇄ Nesto Groen
Jaden Slory
Yellow Card
81'
▮
⇄
82'
David Garden
⇄ Giuliano Cairo
Jaden Slory
⇄ O. Martin
82'
⇄
⚽
0–3
85'
Irakli Yegoian
assist: Stijn van Gassel
▮
87'
Nesto Groen
Yellow Card
FT 0–3
Willem II
Match Stats
Excelsior
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Goal
6
7
Shots off Goal
3
7
Blocked Shots
4
11
Shots insidebox
10
5
Shots outsidebox
2
7
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
505
Total passes
362
419
Passes accurate
280
13
Free Kicks
10
Willem II
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nathan Tjoe-A-On D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 41 (36%) | 3 |
| 28 Thomas Verheydt F | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | 2 | 7 (3%) | – |
| 52 T. Vilhena M | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 7 Jaden Slory M | 6.5 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 22 (20%) | 3 |
| 6 Calvin Twigt M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 67 (56%) | – |
| 3 Finn Stam D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (68%) | – |
| 5 Hidde ter Avest D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (48%) | 2 |
| 23 Maxim Dekker D | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | – | 41 (39%) | – |
| 9 Devin Haen F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 50 Eser Gürbüz M | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 8 Kasper Boogaard M | 6.0 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 2 |
| 83 Mats Lemmens D | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 39 (32%) | 1 |
| 26 M. Delanghe G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (22%) | – |
| 17 O. Martin F | 5.9 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 19 Uriel van Aalst M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 29 (24%) | – |
Excelsior
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Irakli Yegoian M | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 32 (29%) | 1 |
| 3 Rick Meissen D | 8.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 36 (32%) | – |
| 4 Casper Widell D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (40%) | – |
| 14 Jan Plug D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (48%) | 2 |
| 15 Simon Janssen D | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 41 (34%) | – |
| 19 David Garden F | 7.6 | 82' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (8%) | – |
| 1 Stijn van Gassel G | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 39 (20%) | – |
| 20 Lennard Hartjes M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 32 (29%) | – |
| 2 Eric da Silva Moreira D | 7.0 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 6 Daniel van Vianen M | 7.0 | 25' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 24 Giuliano Cairo M | 6.8 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 7 Aymen Sliti M | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 11 (6%) | 1 |
| 21 Ilano Silva Timas F | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 30 Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | 1 |
| 28 Nesto Groen F | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Our lean
Excelsior or draw
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Willem II
LLDLD
Excelsior
DLDWW
Last 3 meetings
Willem II · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
Willem II faces Excelsior in an Eredivisie clash where both teams will look to secure vital points. Willem II has shown a solid defensive record this season, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Excelsior's attack has been inconsistent, scoring only 1 goal per game on average. The match could hinge on Willem II’s ability to exploit Excelsior's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly on set pieces. Additionally, the effectiveness of both teams in transitioning from defense to attack could play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
31%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
42%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Willem II
No scorer data.
Excelsior
A. Sliti
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Willem II vs Excelsior
0
Willem II Wins
2
Draws
1
Excelsior Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2019 | Excelsior | 1 - 1 | Willem II |
| 15 Sep 2018 | Willem II | 2 - 2 | Excelsior |
| 06 Apr 2018 | Excelsior | 2 - 1 | Willem II |
Willem II — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Fortuna Sittard | L | 0 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | A Ajax | L | 5 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A AZ Alkmaar | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Excelsior | L | 0 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | H Heerenveen | D | 2 - 2 |
Excelsior — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Ajax | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Utrecht | L | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A NEC Nijmegen | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A Willem II | W | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Aug | H Sparta Rotterdam | W | 2 - 1 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |
PEC Zwolle
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
Excelsior
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: R. den Uil
1
Gassel
15
Janssen
14
Plug
4
Widell
3
Meissen
2
Moreira
30
Þorsteinsson
20
Hartjes
8
Yegoian
7
Sliti
19
Garden
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. van Gassel | G |
| 2 | Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira | D |
| 3 | R. Meissen | D |
| 4 | C. Widell | D |
| 14 | J. Plug | D |
| 15 | S. Janssen | D |
| 7 | A. Sliti | M |
| 8 | I. Yegoian | M |
| 20 | L. Hartjes | M |
| 30 | Á. Þorsteinsson | M |
| 19 | D. Garden | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | D. van Vianen | M |
| 22 | O. Turay | D |
| 18 | V. Sulzbacher | M |
| 21 | I. Silva Timas | F |
| 40 | Tijmen Holla | G |
| 28 | N. Groen | F |
| 23 | Y. Finey | M |
| 9 | Mario Domínguez | F |
| 24 | Giulliano Cairo | M |
| 12 | K. Bos | F |
Willem II
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Stegeman
26
Delanghe
24
Tjoe-A-On
83
Lemmens
3
Stam
5
Avest
6
Twigt
8
Boogaard
7
Slory
19
Aalst
50
Gürbüz
9
Haen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | M. Delanghe | G |
| 5 | H. ter Avest | D |
| 3 | F. Stam | D |
| 83 | M. Lemmens | D |
| 24 | N. Tjoe-A-On | D |
| 8 | K. Boogaard | M |
| 6 | C. Twigt | M |
| 50 | E. Gürbüz | M |
| 19 | Uriel van Aalst | M |
| 7 | J. Slory | M |
| 9 | D. Haen | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | A. Ciranni | D |
| 23 | M. Dekker | D |
| 31 | K. de Leeuw | G |
| 15 | A. Et-Taïbi | D |
| 14 | Jens Mathijsen | D |
| 17 | O. Martin | F |
| 21 | W. van der Steen | G |
| 22 | Per van Loon | M |
| 28 | T. Verheydt | F |
| 52 | T. Vilhena | M |