Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction
FT
AI call
Excelsior or draw
44%
26%
30%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction: Sportiko gives Excelsior a 44% chance of winning, Sparta Rotterdam 30% and the draw 26%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 16:23.
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Timeline
▮
20'
Jens Toornstra
Yellow Card
Aymen Sliti
24'
⚽
1–0
Yellow Card
28'
▮
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
Yellow Card
37'
▮
⇄
39'
Robin van Cruijsen
⇄ Casper Terho
HT 1–0
⚽
1–1
48'
Milan Zonneveld
assist: Mitchell van Bergen
Aymen Sliti
⇄ Alireza Jahanbakhsh
59'
⇄
Daniel van Vianen
⇄ Eric da Silva Moreira
59'
⇄
David Garden
⇄ Nesto Groen
67'
⇄
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
⇄ Ilano Silva Timas
67'
⇄
⇄
83'
Jens Toornstra
⇄ Alwande Roaldsoy
⇄
83'
Mitchell van Bergen
⇄ Joel Ideho
⇄ K. Bos
85'
⇄
⇄
89'
Julian Baas
⇄ Nick Verschuren
Nesto Groen
assist: Ilano Silva Timas
90+2'
⚽
2–1
FT 2–1
Excelsior
Match Stats
Sparta Rotterdam
44%
Ball Possession
56%
14
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots off Goal
4
5
Blocked Shots
4
11
Shots insidebox
5
3
Shots outsidebox
5
6
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
7
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
364
Total passes
480
286
Passes accurate
403
6
Free Kicks
13
Excelsior
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nesto Groen F | 8.2 | 23' | 1 | – | 2 | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 7 Aymen Sliti F | 8.1 | 59' | 1 | – | 3 | 21 (17%) | – |
| 8 Irakli Yegoian M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 36 (29%) | 1 |
| 14 Jan Plug D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (42%) | 2 |
| 4 Casper Widell D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (25%) | – |
| 21 Ilano Silva Timas F | 6.7 | 23' | – | 1 | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 12 K. Bos F | 6.6 | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 2 Eric da Silva Moreira F | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | – | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 6 Daniel van Vianen M | 6.5 | 59' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 3 Rick Meissen D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | 2 |
| 20 Lennard Hartjes M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | – |
| 19 David Garden F | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 1 Stijn van Gassel G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (26%) | – |
| 30 Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson F | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | 1 |
| 11 Alireza Jahanbakhsh F | 6.0 | 31' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
Sparta Rotterdam
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Milan Zonneveld F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 17 (8%) | – |
| 11 Mitchell van Bergen M | 7.3 | 83' | – | 1 | 1 | 37 (32%) | – |
| 3 Marvin Young D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (60%) | 3 |
| 4 Bruno Martins Indi D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (71%) | – |
| 6 Julian Baas M | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | – | 45 (39%) | – |
| 10 Shunsuke Mito M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | 1 |
| 5 Bas Kuipers D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (34%) | 1 |
| 22 Joel Ideho F | 6.3 | 7' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 17 Casper Terho F | 6.3 | 51' | – | – | 2 | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 8 Jens Toornstra M | 6.2 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 49 (40%) | 2 |
| 13 Nick Verschuren D | 6.1 | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 16 Alwande Roaldsoy M | 6.1 | 7' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 7 Robin van Cruijsen M | 6.0 | 39' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 1 Filip Bednarek G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (28%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (44%)
At a glance
Our lean
Excelsior or draw
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Excelsior
DLDWW
Sparta Rotterdam
LLDLD
Last 3 meetings
Excelsior · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
Excelsior faces Sparta Rotterdam in an Eredivisie clash on August 29, 2026. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with Excelsior averaging 1.2 goals per match this season, while Sparta has a slightly better offensive output at 1.5 goals. Defensively, Excelsior has struggled, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game compared to Sparta's 1.3. Key players to watch include Excelsior’s leading scorer, who has netted 5 goals this season, and Sparta’s solid midfielder, contributing both assists and defensive stability. This matchup will likely hinge on Excelsior's ability to tighten their defense against a more prolific Sparta attack.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
44%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
30%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Excelsior
A. Sliti
3 gls
Sparta Rotterdam
M. Zonneveld
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
1
Excelsior Wins
0
Draws
2
Sparta Rotterdam Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 - 3 | Excelsior |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Excelsior | 0 - 1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 2 | Excelsior |
Excelsior — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Ajax | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Utrecht | L | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A NEC Nijmegen | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A Willem II | W | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Aug | H Sparta Rotterdam | W | 2 - 1 |
Sparta Rotterdam — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Heerenveen | L | 0 - 4 |
| 13 Sep | A PSV Eindhoven | L | 4 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H PEC Zwolle | D | 2 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Excelsior | L | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Utrecht | D | 3 - 3 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |
PEC Zwolle
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
Excelsior
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: David Pagou
1
Gassel
20
Hartjes
14
Plug
4
Widell
3
Meissen
7
Sliti
6
Vianen
8
Yegoian
30
Þorsteinsson
19
Garden
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. van Gassel | G |
| 3 | R. Meissen | D |
| 4 | C. Widell | D |
| 14 | J. Plug | D |
| 20 | L. Hartjes | M |
| 8 | I. Yegoian | M |
| 6 | D. van Vianen | M |
| 7 | A. Sliti | F |
| 19 | D. Garden | F |
| 30 | Á. Þorsteinsson | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | K. Bos | F |
| 5 | S. Henderikx | D |
| 40 | Tijmen Holla | G |
| 11 | A. Jahanbakhsh | F |
| 23 | Y. Finey | M |
| 21 | I. Silva Timas | F |
| 18 | V. Sulzbacher | M |
| 2 | Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira | F |
| 28 | N. Groen | F |
Sparta Rotterdam
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: David Pagou
1
Bednarek
6
Baas
5
Kuipers
4
Indi
3
Young
7
Cruijsen
8
Toornstra
9
Zonneveld
11
Bergen
10
Mito
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Bednarek | G |
| 3 | M. Young | D |
| 4 | B. Martins Indi | D |
| 5 | B. Kuipers | D |
| 6 | J. Baas | M |
| 8 | J. Toornstra | M |
| 7 | Robin van Cruijsen | M |
| 10 | S. Mito | M |
| 11 | M. van Bergen | M |
| 9 | M. Zonneveld | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | G. Vianello | D |
| 13 | N. Verschuren | D |
| 17 | C. Terho | F |
| 16 | A. Roaldsøy | M |
| 12 | B. Reith | D |
| 14 | Teo Quintero | D |
| 20 | P. Kuiper | G |
| 22 | Joel Ideho | F |