NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction
FT
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
AI call
Difficult NEC Nijmegen win or draw
53%
24%
23%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives NEC Nijmegen a 53% chance of winning, Excelsior 23% and the draw 24%. Last updated 8 Sep 2026, 18:40.
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- Away to Score 73%
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Timeline
Jamiro Monteiro
Yellow Card
4'
▮
Adam Tahaui
assist: Willum Thor Willumsson
10'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
43'
David Garden
assist: Irakli Yegoian
Jamiro Monteiro
⇄ P. Schuurs
45'
⇄
Bram Nuytinck
⇄ Philippe Sandler
45'
⇄
⇄
45'
Simon Janssen
⇄ K. Bos
HT 1–1
▮
52'
Lennard Hartjes
Yellow Card
D. Geiger
⇄ Noe Lebreton
63'
⇄
Isak Hansen Aarøen
⇄ Kevin Kers
63'
⇄
⇄
67'
David Garden
⇄ Nesto Groen
⇄
67'
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
⇄ Aymen Sliti
▮
70'
Rick Meissen
Yellow Card
⇄
71'
Eric da Silva Moreira
⇄ Valentin Sulzbacher
⚽
1–2
73'
Valentin Sulzbacher
assist: Aymen Sliti
⇄
81'
Ilano Silva Timas
⇄ Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Gabriel Brás
⇄ Clement Bischoff
87'
⇄
Noe Lebreton
assist: P. Schuurs
90+2'
⚽
2–2
▮
90+5'
Valentin Sulzbacher
Yellow Card
FT 2–2
NEC Nijmegen
Match Stats
Excelsior
69%
Ball Possession
31%
11
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
5
3
Blocked Shots
4
8
Shots insidebox
7
3
Shots outsidebox
7
2
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
0
5
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
675
Total passes
297
579
Passes accurate
212
15
Free Kicks
5
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Noe Lebreton M | 7.8 | 27' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 19 Adam Tahaui M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 39 (31%) | – |
| 99 Clement Bischoff F | 6.9 | 3' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | – |
| 34 Kevin Kers F | 6.9 | 27' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 21 Tobias Storm D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (71%) | 3 |
| 35 Jamiro Monteiro M | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 32 (30%) | 2 |
| 3 Philippe Sandler D | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 57 (52%) | 1 |
| 4 P. Schuurs D | 6.5 | 44' | – | 1 | 2 | 46 (40%) | 2 |
| 11 Willum Thor Willumsson M | 6.4 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 49 (41%) | 1 |
| 17 Bram Nuytinck D | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 1 |
| 73 Gabriel Brás D | 6.3 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 101 (88%) | 1 |
| 18 D. Geiger M | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 43 (37%) | 2 |
| 12 Nikolas Polster G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (47%) | – |
| 8 Isak Hansen Aarøen M | 6.1 | 63' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| 77 A. Thomas M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 39 (33%) | 2 |
| 10 Dušan Tadić F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (23%) | – |
Excelsior
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 David Garden F | 7.8 | 67' | 1 | – | 2 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 18 Valentin Sulzbacher M | 7.2 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 2 | – |
| 7 Aymen Sliti F | 6.9 | 23' | – | 1 | 1 | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 8 Irakli Yegoian M | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 5 | 28 (20%) | 2 |
| 14 Jan Plug D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (26%) | 5 |
| 12 K. Bos F | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 11 Alireza Jahanbakhsh F | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 21 Ilano Silva Timas F | 6.6 | 81' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 3 |
| 28 Nesto Groen F | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 30 Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson F | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 1 Stijn van Gassel G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (35%) | – |
| 2 Eric da Silva Moreira M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 19 (12%) | 4 |
| 4 Casper Widell D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (38%) | 1 |
| 15 Simon Janssen M | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 20 Lennard Hartjes M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (14%) | – |
| 3 Rick Meissen D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 32 (21%) | 3 |
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Confidence
Medium (53%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult NEC Nijmegen win or draw
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NEC Nijmegen
DLLDL
Excelsior
DLDWW
Last 3 meetings
NEC Nijmegen · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
NEC Nijmegen will face Excelsior in a crucial Eredivisie matchup. NEC has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game this season, while Excelsior has struggled, allowing 1.8 goals per match. Offensively, NEC has been more efficient, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game compared to Excelsior's 1.2. The key for NEC will be to leverage their defensive stability to stifle Excelsior's attack, while Excelsior must find a way to improve their goal-scoring to compete effectively. This match could be pivotal in shaping the early season standings for both teams.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
53%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
23%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
NEC Nijmegen
No scorer data.
Excelsior
A. Sliti
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
3
NEC Nijmegen Wins
0
Draws
0
Excelsior Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr 2026 | Excelsior | 0 - 2 | NEC Nijmegen |
| 09 Aug 2025 | NEC Nijmegen | 5 - 0 | Excelsior |
| 06 May 2024 | Excelsior | 0 - 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H GO Ahead Eagles | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | A Juventus | L | 5 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Cambuur | L | 3 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Excelsior | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Feyenoord | L | 1 - 3 |
Excelsior — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Ajax | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Utrecht | L | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A NEC Nijmegen | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A Willem II | W | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Aug | H Sparta Rotterdam | W | 2 - 1 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |
PEC Zwolle
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 2 |
Excelsior
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: R. den Uil
1
Gassel
14
Plug
4
Widell
3
Meissen
15
Janssen
20
Hartjes
8
Yegoian
2
Moreira
30
Þorsteinsson
19
Garden
21
Timas
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. van Gassel | G |
| 3 | R. Meissen | D |
| 4 | C. Widell | D |
| 14 | J. Plug | D |
| 2 | Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira | M |
| 8 | I. Yegoian | M |
| 20 | L. Hartjes | M |
| 15 | S. Janssen | M |
| 21 | I. Silva Timas | F |
| 19 | D. Garden | F |
| 30 | Á. Þorsteinsson | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | K. Bos | F |
| 24 | Giulliano Cairo | M |
| 9 | Mario Domínguez | F |
| 28 | N. Groen | F |
| 11 | A. Jahanbakhsh | F |
| 23 | Y. Finey | M |
| 7 | A. Sliti | F |
| 18 | V. Sulzbacher | M |
| 22 | O. Turay | D |
| 6 | D. van Vianen | M |
| 16 | Celton Biai | G |
NEC Nijmegen
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Ramón Catalá
12
Polster
21
Storm
17
Nuytinck
73
Brás
77
Thomas
18
Geiger
35
Monteiro
19
Tahaui
8
Hansen-Aarøen
11
Willumsson
10
Tadić
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | N. Polster | G |
| 73 | Gabriel Brás | D |
| 17 | B. Nuytinck | D |
| 21 | T. Storm | D |
| 19 | Adam Tahaui | M |
| 35 | Jamiro Monteiro | M |
| 18 | D. Geiger | M |
| 77 | A. Thomas | M |
| 11 | W. Willumsson | M |
| 8 | I. Hansen-Aarøen | M |
| 10 | D. Tadić | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | K. Sierhuis | F |
| 38 | Joep Geneste | G |
| 1 | G. Crettaz | G |
| 9 | T. Chery | M |
| 66 | Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar | D |
| 34 | Kevin Kers | F |
| 20 | N. Lebreton | M |
| 99 | Clement Bischoff | F |
| 3 | P. Sandler | D |
| 4 | P. Schuurs | D |