Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Utrecht

Away

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

AI call Sparta Rotterdam or draw

39%

29%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht prediction: Sportiko gives Sparta Rotterdam a 39% chance of winning, Utrecht 32% and the draw 29%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.

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Home to Score 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 16'

Matisse Didden assist: Yoann Cathline

Marvin Young assist: Bas Kuipers

45' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

⚽ 1–2 46'

Artem Stepanov assist: Niklas Vesterlund

Nökkvi Þórisson ⇄ Milan Zonneveld

62' ⇄

Bruno Martins Indi ⇄ Mitchell van Bergen

62' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Ángel Alarcón ⇄ Kevin Paredes

FT 3–3

Sparta Rotterdam

Match Stats

Utrecht

53% Ball Possession 47%

0.52 Expected Goals (xG) 1.81

8 Total Shots 13

1 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 6

6 Shots insidebox 8

2 Shots outsidebox 5

4 Corner Kicks 7

1 Offsides 2

6 Fouls 8

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 0

303 Total passes 264

252 Passes accurate 214

83% Passes % 81%

-0.77 goals_prevented -0.77

Sparta Rotterdam

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Marvin Young D	7.5	60'	1	–	1	36 (30%)	2
5 Bas Kuipers M	7.2	60'	–	1	–	27 (24%)	1
7 Lushendry Edward Martes M	6.9	60'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	–
6 Julian Baas M	6.9	60'	–	–	–	38 (37%)	1
11 Ayoni Santos F	6.9	60'	–	–	1	21 (19%)	1
8 Robin van Cruijsen F	6.6	60'	–	–	3	15 (11%)	2
9 Nökkvi Þórisson F	6.5	60'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–
2 Nick Verschuren D	6.3	60'	–	–	1	41 (35%)	1
4 Bruno Martins Indi D	6.3	60'	–	–	1	54 (46%)	1
1 Filip Bednarek G	6.3	60'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	–
10 Shunsuke Mito M	6.0	60'	–	–	–	13 (8%)	2

Utrecht

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Matisse Didden D	7.6	60'	1	–	1	38 (31%)	1
23 Niklas Vesterlund M	7.3	60'	–	1	–	20 (17%)	1
18 Artem Stepanov F	6.9	60'	1	–	1	17 (14%)	–
10 Yoann Cathline F	6.9	60'	–	1	1	15 (12%)	–
34 Davy van den Berg M	6.9	60'	–	–	1	32 (27%)	1
92 Arthur Zagre M	6.7	60'	–	–	–	28 (23%)	3
20 Dani de Wit M	6.7	60'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	1
2 Siebe Horemans D	6.5	60'	–	–	2	24 (20%)	1
11 Ángel Alarcón F	6.5	60'	–	–	1	15 (12%)	–
1 Vasilis Barkas G	6.2	60'	–	–	–	26 (19%)	–
21 Neville Nwankwo D	5.9	60'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	1

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Sparta Rotterdam or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Sparta Rotterdam

LLDLD

Utrecht

LWDLD

Last 3 meetings Sparta Rotterdam · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Sparta Rotterdam will face Utrecht in an Eredivisie clash on August 22, 2026. Historically, Sparta has struggled against Utrecht, with the away team winning 60% of their last five encounters. Sparta's defensive record has been solid at home, conceding an average of 1 goal per match this season, while Utrecht boasts a potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game. This matchup promises to be tightly contested, with both teams aiming to secure crucial points early in the season. Expect tactical battles in midfield to dictate the game's flow.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

32%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Utrecht goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	8	5	2
1	12	15	6	2
2	9	8	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Sparta Rotterdam goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Sparta Rotterdam

M. Zonneveld 4 gls

Utrecht

Artem Stepanov 5 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.4%	8.4%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
1	12.1%	14.8%	6.2%	2.0%	0.5%
2	8.9%	8.4%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
3	3.8%	3.6%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%
4	1.2%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam	26.5%	5.1%	1.9%
Draw	15.9%	21.4%	13.1%
Utrecht	1.4%	3.1%	11.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht

2 Sparta Rotterdam Wins

1 Draws

0 Utrecht Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jan 2026	Utrecht	0 - 1	Sparta Rotterdam
17 Aug 2025	Sparta Rotterdam	2 - 1	Utrecht
14 May 2025	Utrecht	1 - 1	Sparta Rotterdam

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sparta Rotterdam — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heerenveen	L	0 - 4
13 Sep	A PSV Eindhoven	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Excelsior	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Utrecht	D	3 - 3

Utrecht — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Feyenoord	L	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Excelsior	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	3 - 3
30 Aug	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 6
22 Aug	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	3 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Utrecht

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Anthony Correia

1 Barkas

21 Nwankwo

3 Didden

2 Horemans

92 Zagre

34 Berg

20 Wit

23 Vesterlund

10 Cathline

18 Stepanov

11 Alarcón

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Vasilis Barkas	G
2	Siebe Horemans	D
3	Matisse Didden	D
21	Neville Nwankwo	D
23	Niklas Vesterlund	M
20	Dani De Wit	M
34	Davy van den Berg	M
92	Arthur Zagre	M
11	Ángel Alarcón	F
18	Artem Stepanov	F
10	Yoann Cathline	F

Substitutes

25	Michael Brouwer	G
33	Kevin Gadellaa	G
6	Guus Offerhaus	D
32	Per Kloosterboer	D
35	Viggo Plantinga	D
30	Kevin Paredes	M
14	Zidane Iqbal	M
9	David Min	F
15	Adrian Blake	F
47	Emmanuel Owen	F