Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 2

15 Aug 2026, 18:00

Post on X

PSV Eindhoven

Away

AI call Too close to call

38%

26%

36%

Home Win · 4.89 Draw · 4.65 Away Win · 1.64

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven prediction: Sportiko gives Excelsior a 38% chance of winning, PSV Eindhoven 36% and the draw 26%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 06:06.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.5%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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Excelsior

WWWDW

PSV Eindhoven

LLDWW

Last 3 meetings Excelsior · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Excelsior faces PSV Eindhoven in an Eredivisie clash on August 15, 2026. PSV has shown strong form in recent seasons, boasting a potent attack led by key forwards, which has contributed to their high goal-scoring record. Excelsior, while competitive, may struggle defensively against a PSV side that excels in exploiting spaces and creating chances. The match will likely hinge on Excelsior's ability to contain PSV's attacking threats and capitalize on any defensive lapses. It promises to be an intriguing battle between a seasoned contender and a resilient opponent.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

PSV Eindhoven goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	5	3	1
1	5	12	8	4	2	1
2	5	9	7	4	2
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1
5		1	1

↑ Excelsior goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

36%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

36%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 18% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 36% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	4.7%	4.9%	2.7%	1.1%
1	5.0%	11.5%	8.3%	4.5%	1.8%
2	5.3%	8.6%	6.9%	3.7%	1.5%
3	3.0%	4.8%	3.9%	2.1%	0.9%
4	1.2%	2.0%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Excelsior	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior	24.5%	5.4%	3.1%
Draw	12.5%	14.6%	13.6%
PSV Eindhoven	2.3%	4.2%	20.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven

0 Excelsior Wins

0 Draws

3 PSV Eindhoven Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Jan 2026	PSV Eindhoven	5 - 1	Excelsior
27 Sep 2025	Excelsior	1 - 2	PSV Eindhoven
02 Apr 2024	Excelsior	0 - 2	PSV Eindhoven

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Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Cambuur	W	0 - 4
01 Aug	A De Graafschap	W	1 - 5
17 May	A Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 3
10 May	H FC Volendam	D	1 - 1
02 May	A Groningen	W	2 - 3

PSV Eindhoven — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H AZ Alkmaar	L	0 - 4
25 Jul	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
11 Jul	H Raków Częstochowa	D	2 - 2
17 May	H Twente	W	5 - 1
10 May	A GO Ahead Eagles	W	1 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	4	0	+4	3
2	Fortuna Sittard	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	PEC Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	NEC Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Willem II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	ADO Den Haag	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	GO Ahead Eagles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Cambuur	1	0	1	0	4	-4	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.