PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1

09 Aug 2026, 12:30

Post on X

Ajax

Away

AI call Ajax to win

14%

21%

64%

Home Win · 6.25 Draw · 4.80 Away Win · 1.51

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax prediction: Sportiko gives PEC Zwolle a 14% chance of winning, Ajax 64% and the draw 21%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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PEC Zwolle

LLLLW

Ajax

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings PEC Zwolle · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

PEC Zwolle faces Ajax in an Eredivisie clash on August 9, 2026. Historically, Ajax has dominated this matchup, boasting a superior head-to-head record. Ajax's attacking prowess, highlighted by their average of 2.5 goals per game last season, contrasts with Zwolle's defensive struggles, conceding 1.8 goals per game. Zwolle will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks to challenge Ajax effectively. Expect a high-tempo game with Ajax likely controlling possession and creating more scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	11	13	9	5	2
1	3	11	10	7	4	2
2	2	4	4	3	1	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ PEC Zwolle goals · most likely 0–2 (12.8%)

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

21%

Home Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

21%

Home Win

14%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

85% Away (No Draw) 15% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	10.9%	12.8%	9.0%	4.7%
1	3.2%	10.5%	9.8%	6.9%	3.7%
2	1.7%	3.6%	3.8%	2.7%	1.4%
3	0.4%	0.9%	1.0%	0.7%	0.4%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

29%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	PEC Zwolle	Draw	Ajax
PEC Zwolle	5.4%	2.7%	2.3%
Draw	5.5%	13.8%	21.2%
Ajax	1.0%	3.6%	44.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

0 PEC Zwolle Wins

1 Draws

2 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Mar 2026	PEC Zwolle	0 - 0	Ajax
13 Sep 2025	Ajax	3 - 1	PEC Zwolle
09 Mar 2025	PEC Zwolle	0 - 1	Ajax

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PEC Zwolle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Hannover 96	L	3 - 0
26 Jul	H AEK Athens FC	L	2 - 3
17 May	H Feyenoord	L	0 - 2
10 May	A Fortuna Sittard	L	3 - 2
03 May	H Heracles	W	1 - 0

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Shelbourne	W	3 - 1
02 Aug	A FC Volendam	W	1 - 3
30 Jul	H Vojvodina	W	4 - 1
26 Jul	H Burnley	W	2 - 1
23 Jul	A Vojvodina	W	1 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	4	0	+4	3
2	Fortuna Sittard	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	PEC Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	NEC Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Willem II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	ADO Den Haag	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	GO Ahead Eagles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Cambuur	1	0	1	0	4	-4	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.